Outlaw Golf

This week’s Outlaw Tour event is the TPC Champions Classic. It’s taking place at TPC Scottsdale—Champions Course, which is the sister site to the TPC Scottsdale venue that the PGA uses for the Phoenix Open every year. The event this week begins on Tuesday and has a three-round format with a cut taking place after round two where only the top half of the field will make it to the final round.

Set your lineups here: Outlaw Showdown $150K Resurgence [$50K to 1st] (Round 1)


How do the Outlaw Tour events operate?

Most of the events are three rounds and offer a cut-line after the second round. For DraftKings purposes, since they are only offering showdown contests on these events right now, we don’t have to worry about the cutline. Many of their events operate mid-week and the entrants all have to pay an entry fee and then compete for a purse. The fields are generally much smaller than a regular PGA events, coming in at around 50-85 players.

For DraftKings, only round by round Showdown contests are available for this week’s event. Regular DraftKings PGA Showndown Scoring applies.


THE FIELD

The field this week has been drastically reduced over last week as only 81 players will be teeing it up. The quality of the field has gone down a bit, too, as we don’t have any PGA regulars making an appearance here. While that may change in coming weeks, as we get close to the tentative June 11 PGA restart, this week the field favorite is Korn Ferry Tour regular Dylan Wu, who has become a weekly regular on the Outlaw. Joining him will be recent Outlaw Tour winners KK Limbhasut and Nicolo Galletti who both ply their trades on one of the minor Tours in North America as well. The Paul brothers, Yannik and Jeremy, who have been mainstays in these events over the past month or so, will also be in attendance.


THE COURSE

TPC Scottsdale—Champions
7,114 yds – Par 71, Greens: TiffDwarf Bermuda

As mentioned above, the venue this week will be TPC Scottsdale, which is an adjacent venue to the TPC Scottsdale Stadium course which is used on the PGA Tour every season. The venue also plays as a Par 71, much like the Stadium venue, but the Champions venue also feature a bit of a quirky setup as it has a non-traditional set-up with four Par 5s and five Par 3s.

Like the better known TPC Scottsdale, the Champions venue plays as a pretty traditional desert track but isn’t set up to play nearly as hard as its compatriot. The extra Par 5 should also provide some better scoring opportunities for the players throughout the week, although a couple of the Par 5s do play somewhat long at over 570 yards. Still, this is a venue that should produce some low scores, assuming the wind doesn’t get up, and last year the event was won at 16-under par by Brett Drewitt, who won by three strokes over Aaron Whalen.

The forecast for this week looks a little bit cooler than the past couple of events, and it should be noted that winds are expected to reach 15-17 mph on Tuesday afternoon with them generally calming on the last two days of the event.


RECENT FORM

Dylan Wu ($11,400, Recent Finishes: T10-T10-T5): As mentioned above, Wu is the outright favorite for this week’s event. While he’s yet to pay off for anyone in that regard since joining the Outlaw Tour, he has been consistent in his overall play. He’s pricy for the first round, but at some point you have to figure a slate breaking round may be coming from his scorecard.

Jeremy Paul ($10,200, Recent Finishes: T20-3rd-T5): Paul’s been sickly consistent over the past month and a half of play on the Outlaw Tour, landing a T7 or better finish in four of his past five starts. While he dropped to T20 last week, he rebounded nicely after a slow start in a more competitive field and could be ready to breakthrough for a win soon.

Nick Arman ($7,400, Recent Finishes: T49-T7-T22): Arman hasn’t been overly flashy, but he’s been a consistent value target in many of these Outlaw showdown slates. He struggled for portions of last week’s event, but closed with a 65 two week’s ago at the Legacy Classic.


DFS Targets

Nick Mason ($10,000): With the wind set to come up a bit as the day progresses in the first round, I like targeting the early tee times on Tuesday. Mason comes in at $10K flat here, but he also goes off in the first group on Tuesday at 9:04 a.m. This factor alone makes him an attractive target and his recent form certainly looks promising. He put in three rounds of 69 or better in Scottsdale and had produced T3 and T5 finishes in Outlaw events back in April, opening with a 62 at the Arrowhead Classic, where he eventually finished T5. Given his consistent play in his return to action last week I don’t see any issues targeting him here for the first round and he’s already produced some good opening rounds for DFS purposes which adds to his attractiveness.

Matt Marshall ($8,200): Marshall seems to be trending like a player who could bust through for a big week soon. The MacKenzie Tour regular was a winner on the Outlaw Tour way back in November and finished T3 and T11 on his past two events played on this Tour, also adding a T10 to his resume from the Golden State Tour at the Legacy Classic event two weeks ago. Marshall closed with rounds of 66 and 65 in that event and carries with him a pretty early 10:35 a.m. tee time (eighth group off out of 27). I really like this price and set up on him for the first round and also as a long shot play for outright bets this week.

Patrick Flavin ($9,800): Flavin is a bit of a new addition to the mini-Tour grouping of players as the 24-year-old made an appearance at the Scottsdale Open last week and finished a tidy T13 off the back of three rounds of 68 or better. Flavin has experience playing on a multitude of different tours and finished T4 at an Outlaw event back in March where he closed with rounds of 62 and 60. I like the form he showed last week and the fact he tees off in the earlier wave at just before 11:30 a.m. makes him an instant target for me here.

Stuart MacDonald ($7,900): MacDonald is another player who we haven’t seen much since the mini-Tour DFS contests started, but the Canadian played some good golf two weeks ago at the Legacy Classic where he finished T5 and posted two 66s and a 67 for his week. He hasn’t played a ton of mini-Tour events, but has made a lot of Korn Ferry Tour starts over his career and made the cut in each of his two KF Tour starts in 2020 before the stoppage. Coming in with some decent form and a sub-$8K salary, I really targeting MacDonald for the first round as a pure salary play. His level of play and talent seem to be far better than many players ranked above him in salary.


VALUETOWN

Juan Diego Fernandez ($7,500): Fernandez is appealing on multiple fronts as he goes off early in the very first group in round one and also looks like a solid value from a DraftKings salary perspective. The Mexican has experience playing on much bigger Tours, including the Korn Ferry Tour, and finished a very solid T13 in the GCU Championship three weeks ago, where he closed with two rounds of 65. I love the early tee time and the fact he’s got experience against much tougher fields.

Thomas Lehman ($7,000): Lehmen is the son of former Open Champion and current Champions Tour member Tom Lehman. Thomas has been playing some solid golf in his own right, however, making the cut in four of his past five mini-Tour starts. He even came up with a T7 finish his last time out at the Legacy Classic, where he opened with a 66 and closed with a 63. He looks like great value at just $7K and has a very early tee time at 10:22 a.m. in just the seventh group out for round one.

Grant Booth ($6,800): Booth is a player I’ve written up multiple times over the past few weeks. The Aussie was a college standout and seems like he’s been putting some decent rounds of late and is perhaps building toward a big week soon in one of these mini-Tour events. He opened with two 67s against a tough field last week and feels underpriced here at under $7K against a much weaker field.


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.