WATCH: PGA COURSE PREVIEW
With Quail Hollow hosting the PGA Championship this year, the Wells Fargo Championship has moved to Eagle Point Golf Club in Wilmington this weekend. Eagle Point is not a course many players have a lot of familiarity with, so it should be a tough test all weekend long with a solid mix of long par 3s and 5s. Here are a few golfers from every price range to get you started.
Dustin Johnson ($13,000) – The most expensive option on the board by far, the fact is he would probably cost even more in this field if it weren’t for the injury that has held him out since just prior to Augusta. He has won each of his last three times appearing on PGA Tour, and he leads in virtually all of the categories I would consider most important for this weekend, like Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, Par 5 Scoring and Greens in Regulation Percentage (GIR %).
Jon Rahm ($11,000) – A step down in price from DJ, he actually is, for me, the only player in the field with the same upside. He can score in droves when his game is right, as evidenced by at least 17 holes under par in three straight tournaments heading into the Masters. He has been inside the top-10 in four of his last six and has been doing all of this on unfamiliar courses. This weekend, at least, he isn’t at a disadvantage in that department.
Paul Casey ($9,900) – At the Masters, he finished off his solo sixth place finish with a final round of 68, moving him to -4 for the weekend. This course could actually be reminiscent of Augusta, with some narrow targets off the tee and well-protected greens. Currently 20th in Scoring Average and 14th in GIR %, he has the skill-set to excel here this weekend.
Webb Simpson ($9,700) – A member at Eagle Point, he might be the player most familiar with the course when the field tees off on Thursday. The North Carolina resident has said in interviews he likes to play here at least twice a year, which could be enough to make him a great cash game play, even if you don’t trust his recent performances enough to get him into your GPP lineups.
Wesley Bryan ($9,100) – He has four top-10 finishes on the year, and should be able to compete again this weekend as long as he isn’t too erratic off the tee. His lack of length shouldn’t be too much of a problem, but with the announcement that the course is going to let the rough get to three inches in spots, if he is missing left and right it could impact his ability to hit quality approaches. 36th in Total Strokes Gained on the season, he is doing all of that in close to the green, so that variability makes him more of a GPP-only play for me.
Kevin Kisner ($8,400) – This price doesn’t make a lot of sense to me. He lost in a playoff this past weekend while teamed up with Scott Brown, a playoff only made necessary due to Kisner’s eagle on 18. He has three top-10s this season, hasn’t missed a cut and has been no worse than T11 in four of his last six. He is top-20 in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, Approach-the-Green and Around-the-Green, displaying a diverse skill set that makes him a threat every weekend and certainly makes him a potential value at this price for any format contest.
William McGirt ($7,900)* – Another player with some solid form recently and a history of performing well in some important metrics for this course, McGirt is someone I could trust in either a GPP or a cash game lineup for this weekend. He was T3 at Harbour Town with four rounds under 70, good for his third top-25 since the beginning of February, and is sitting 22nd on Tour in GIR % at the moment.
Kevin Tway ($7,200) – Tway and Kelly Kraft combined for a T3 this past weekend at the Zurich Classic, close on the heels of another T3, this one all by himself at the Valero Texas Open. He ended that one with 16 birdies and an eagle against just seven bogeys and one double, good for 90+ fantasy points, and a 40-spot jump in Strokes Gained: Total. A solid player off the tee, he combines good power and very solid accuracy in a way that might enable him to see some easier looks into the green this weekend than some other players, a skill set that you could ride to a very valuable fantasy showing.
Brian Harman ($6,700) – He has been inside the top-15 in two of his last four starts against some very solid fields at the RBC Heritage and the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He is inconsistent at best, so I will use him in GPPs where I am loading up on stud options, but he could be the pick that puts you over the top with his ability to score points in the short game and to go on the occasional putting streak that can put him in contention any given weekend.
Graeme McDowell ($6,500) – McDowell, when he is playing well, is the kind of steady shot-maker that can succeed anywhere. So far this year he has only missed one cut, and he has been inside the top-30 in five of his last six. He might not be playing well enough for you to assume he’s going to be able to score with the top options on the board this weekend, but at this price you don’t need him to – a solid top-25 or so performance would make him a very worthwhile cash game choice, and he still has the solid all-around game to get you there (top-50 in Total Strokes Gained).
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theasquad) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.