The PGA Tour makes the lone stop in Mexico this weekend for the OHL Classic. Hosted at El Cameleon GC in Playa del Carmen, this is one of the last few tournaments before the tour takes about a month off from December into January. This tournament has only been a stand-alone event on Tour since 2013, and the pros who have showed up since then haven’t had too much trouble scoring (average under 70 last year for the par-71 course), so there should be plenty of fantasy points to go around. Good luck.
Patton Kizzire ($10,700) – Even if you don’t end up rostering him, you have to consider it, if only to familiarize yourself. The latest rookie who seems prepared to make an impact on Tour, he has a T2 and a T4 so far this season, after finishing up last season with a T5 at the Web.com Tour Championship. This is exactly the kind of field a kid with a hot streak can handle.
Patrick Rodgers ($10,500) – The T20 he finished with last weekend at Sanderson Farms was his worst showing in his last three, following up a T6 at the Frys.com Open and a T13 at the Shriners. Last Sunday was his first round over par in that entire stretch, and if he plays with that kind of consistency on this forgiving course, he will have enough fantasy points to warrant the price.
Jason Bohn ($10,300) – He has been inside the top-10 in each of his last two trips here, and has top-three performances in two of his last three. While you were busy watching the CIMB or the WGC tournaments over the past couple of weekends, he was dominating fields that looked a lot like this one.
Brendan Steele ($9,900) – One of my favorite picks this weekend, he offers just enough savings over the guys in front of him to almost qualify him as a value play. At the CIMB a couple of weeks ago, he shot an impressive 67-63-66-68 to finish T3, wedged between Adam Scott and Hideki Matsuyama (who would be the two most expensive players on hand this weekend if they were playing here).
Chris Stroud ($9,300) – He has played here five times. He has three finishes inside the Top-5 and has never finished outside the Top-25. And his success isn’t all in the past – he has flashed some potential recently as well, with a T2 at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship in Scotland and a T10 at the Frys.com Open.
Jhonattan Vegas ($8,800) – The Venezuelan golfer has been solid lately, going over 70 fantasy points in every tournament this season. This might be the easiest course of the three, which could leave him with plenty of opportunities to score. He has had 20, 15 and 15 birdies in his last three tournaments, with a total of only 16 bogeys in all three. He is already avoiding bogeys – if you throw a few more birdies his way because the course is forgiving he should put up very respectable fantasy numbers and potentially challenge for the top of the leaderboard.
Alex Cejka ($8,400) – He has been inside the top twenty twice here, including a T16 last year. He has also been inside the top twenty twice in the past two weeks, including a T17 at the CIMB.
David Hearn ($8,400) – He has played here three times, made the cut every time, and finished with a T16 last year. He has been inside the top-30 in both of the last two tournaments he has appeared in, with only two rounds over par over that stretch. He should be able to avoid those blow-up holes this weekend, and a guy who can hole 19 birdies at the CIMB is one who is certainly capable of a big score on this course, against this field.
Smylie Kaufman ($7,900) – He won the Shriners’ Hospital for Children Memorial two weeks back. The most impressive thing about that win: he did it on the back of a 61 on Sunday. A sixty-one on any course pretty much proves you’re ready to handle what this tour is going to throw at you. Good luck!
Carlos Ortiz ($7,500) – The Mexico native played here once before and had a nice showing, finishing inside the top-10 for the first time in his career. He did that by simply not leaving any strokes on the course, using solid iron play to attack the greens. If he could avoid the blowups holes that could take him out of contention, he should be able to rack up enough points in this one to be a useful fantasy option.
Jerry Kelly ($7,000) – Jerry Kelly is very inconsistent, but with upside. You need to determine which of those is more important: are you trying to double your money or win a big GPP? If all you want is a guaranteed decent performances, Kelly is not your an, but if you want to take a shot on someone who could drastically outplay his price tag, he could be your man.
Andrew Loupe ($6,800) – He hasn’t been playing against the very best competition, but the rest of these guys aren’t bad. He has five top-25 finishes in his last nine starts at tournaments of all different levels, including a T10 at the Frys.com Open. A top-15 showing is definitely within reach, which is more than enough to make him a bargain at this price.