WATCH: SLEEPER PLAY – CHAD CAMPBELL
TPC Deere Run plays host to the John Deer Classic this weekend. Most of the top golfers in the world aren’t on hand for this one, but that still leaves you with plenty of intriguing decisions as you construct your rosters. Here are a few names from each price range to consider as you get started.
Daniel Berger ($11,300) – After a couple of weeks off, he is returning with his most recent appearance resulting in a solo-second at the Travelers Championship. While he’s been slightly inconsistent, when he is on, he can hole enough birdies to at least give him the upside to make you want to build a GPP lineup around him.
Brian Harman ($10,900) – Harman won here back in 2014, and has been hot so far this summer, with three top-10s since May, including a win at the Wells Fargo Championship and a T2 at Erin Hills. He is putting extremely well (eighth in Strokes Gained (SG): Putting), which is enabling him to take a ranking of 110th in Greens in Regulation Percentage (GIR %) and convert it into a top-25 Birdie or Better clip, the real number you need to look to for someone’s inherent fantasy value.
Charley Hoffman ($9,700) – He has been inside the top-10 several times this year, including twice in his last two appearances, a trend he would like to see continue against some diminished competition this weekend. If he finds himself in that position here at TPC Deere Run come Sunday, he should have a nice opportunity to close it out and come home with better than just a close call this time around. Sitting at 22nd in SG: Off-the-Tee, he should consistently find himself with some manageable scoring chances and is the first of the top options I would want to build around for either a GPP or a cash game lineup.
Jamie Lovemark ($9,300) – He has never missed a cut here, and has been inside the top-10 twice since the beginning of June. He finished T3 last weekend with four straight rounds in the 60s and ended up with 20 birdies against just seven holes over par. He is currently showing a positive number in every strokes gained category, good for 37th in total SG on tour. That and his record of success on this course is a convergence of history and recent performance that makes Lovemark another player I would consider in any format contest.
Ben Martin ($8,300) – He hasn’t missed a cut since March, and he finished as high as T5 just two weeks ago at the Quicken Loans National. Last week he finished just T37, but ended up with 73.5 fantasy points, on the back of an opening round 64 and 20 total birdies. Combine that upside with seven straight made cuts, and he’s someone I would consider.
Nick Watney ($7,900) – Watney has had a low round of 64 in each of his last two tournaments, ultimately finishing T37 and T13 at the Greenbrier Classic and Quicken Loans National, respectively. Despite not finishing at the top of the rankings, rounds like that helped him pile up more than 70 fantasy points in each outing. Top-10 in SG: Approach-the-Green in each week, he is striking the ball well enough to be someone I would look to especially as a GPP play this weekend.
Chad Campbell ($7,600) – Campbell has never missed a cut here, and has finished T15 or better four times. Combine that with his T9 showing from last weekend when he went 70-69-65-67 and holed 17 birdies against just seven bogeys, and he is someone I love to outplay his price tag this weekend, providing both good value and upside.
Johnson Wagner ($7,500) – He is very hard to ignore here this weekend, with a T5 on his record from just two weeks ago and a great history here at TPC Deere Run. He has finished inside the top-five each of the last two years and was T7 the year before that. He is inconsistent at best, with plenty of missed cuts this season, but on a course he seems to like, it’s easy to see the upside here.
Scott Brown ($7,000) – He has been inside the top-25 four times here, including twice inside the top-10, more than enough to justify this price tag. With multiple missed cuts in the last two months, that might not be enough to trust him in your cash lineups, but the upside is there for a player who is just inside the top-100 for both Par 3 and Par 4 Scoring and Birdie or Better Averages.
Trey Mullinax ($7,000) – Another rookie getting the win this weekend might not happen, but it’s entirely possible for Mullinax to be in the conversation, considering the way his game has been shaping up over the last couple of months. A bomber off the tee (sixth in Driving Distance), he is converting that skill into legitimate scoring opportunities at a rapid clip, finishing inside the top-20 in GIR % every week since he came through with his T9 showing at the U.S. Open.
Scott Stallings ($6,900) – He finished T16 here last year, finishing inside the top ten in GIR %, and actually almost playing himself into contention over the weekend. He has made two straight cuts and is someone who is definitely more poised to contend in this kind of diminished field. When he finds success, it is usually his work with his irons that does it (T39 in SG: Approach), a skillset that should give him more than enough opportunities to score on this course.
Seamus Power ($6,600) – On the cheap, Power gives you an option who has only missed one cut since March, and someone who typically finds himself offsetting birdies with bogeys, which as a fantasy option, makes him a lot more appealing than someone who manages to finish in the top-50 just by avoiding mistakes. Even without a lot of top finishes, in all those made cuts, he has only ended up with fewer than 50 fantasy points once, making him a nice cash-game lineup filler for me this weekend.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theasquad) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.