Time is flying as we are 29 events deep into the season with less than 20 events remaining and only 15 until the FedEx Cup Playoffs. This week the PGA Tour moves to Colonial Country Club for the newly sponsored Dean and DeLuca invitational. This event is the longest running event at a single course in PGA Tour history with the Colonial Invitational having been hosted here for over 70 years. With that king of storied history you can expect some fireworks this week, so you’ll have to select golfers carefully. Below is a list of golfers I love, like and hate this week.
Golfers I Love
Matt Kuchar ($11,000) – Kevin Chappell is getting a lot of talk among golf experts because of his 3 top 10s in his 4 most recent appearances; however, there is another golfer who also fits these criteria. Matt Kuchar. He should go overlooked because of his inflated price, but look for Kuchar’s game to suit this course again this week and to have a good chance to continue his string of top 10s.
Patrick Reed ($10,000) – Patrick Reed has a field leading Birdie or Better Conversion Percentage which means he takes advantages of birdies. This is going to be absolutely critical at Colonial Country Club. With a price tag at only $10,000, Patrick Reed should be a great option for GPPs this week with winning upside.
Kevin Na ($9,200) – I just can’t get enough of Kevin Na this year, particularly on courses like Colonial which will reward good proximity stats and scrambling. Kevin Na has both in spades. Na will be a great fit for this course and has 5 top 20 finishes at this event historically to back that up which makes Na a great option in both GPPs and cash games this week.
Jimmy Walker ($8,500) – Jimmy Walker is going to make my love list this week for many of the same reasons that Kevin Na does. However, Walker will not be landing in any of my cash lineups this week because of his volatility. We haven’t seen his game pick up enough to use him in anything but GPP formats, but he is coming off a top 25 last week, and he projects very well at in my statistical model.
Will Wilcox ($6,700) – Will Wilcox didn’t do anything amazing in his recent events; however, he has shown top 15 potential, and this course should suit his game nicely. At only $6,700 I’ll be looking for Wilcox to make the cut again this week and hope he reaches his upside for GPP purposes.
Golfers I like
Jordan Spieth ($12,800) – Many people are down on Spieth for many reasons including his putter struggles of late and his inability to finish. However, his average finish over the last 13 weeks is 14th, not including his one missed cut in that span, which means the “down” version of Jordan Spieth is nearly a top 15 week-to-week. On the PGA tour where the advantages are minimal, Spieth is not far from being back in the winner’s circle.
Zach Johnson ($10,700) – If there were such thing as a course horse, Zach Johnson would be Exhibit A at Colonial Country Club. Between 2009-2013 Zach Johnson won twice and finished outside the top 5 once for a whopping 9th place finish. He’s also never missed a cut in 11 years and makes a great cash option again this week as usual.
Jim Furyk ($8,600) – We’ve now seen Jim Furyk play twice since his injury last September, and he has improved both events. I feel comfortable enough with having watched Furyk over the last two events to feel like he is a viable option at $8,600. My only concern is that he may not have winning upside like some of the others in the same salary range.
Boo Weekley ($7,400) – Boo Weekley is not someone I typically find myself rostering. However, it’s the same reason I expect his ownership to stay down this week. His proximity from the rough and driving accuracy should give him a shot to finish this tournament high enough to pay off his salary.
Brian Harman ($6,900) – You might be surprised to know that Brian Harman ranks 6th in Strokes Gained Putting, which is a nice stat. Also, his proximity stats and total birdies stats that are well above average. His top 10 finish at this event last year makes me strongly considering Harman in GPPs this week.
Golfers I Hate
Adam Scott ($11,300) – My statistical model is very unique this week at Colonial Country Club in that it actually punishes the long drivers off the tee which is going to be a common thread in my hate section this week. All that being said, Scott is the one I feel least confident putting in the hate section in my article this week because even though his driving won’t help him, his impeccable tee to green game most certainly will.
Charley Hoffman ($10,400) – While I have been rostering Charley Hoffman regularly over the past month, it’s important to know when to get off a golfer, and this course is not a good fit for Charley Hoffman. I don’t expect his string of good play to end permanently, though, so I’ll look to get back on him soon.
Charl Schwartzel ($9,000) – It’s shocking to say this, but Charl Schwartzel feels almost too expensive at only $9,000. He has been really off his game recently and hasn’t been playing much, so it could be a matter of being rusty from his time off. While I don’t doubt Schwartzel’s game, I’ll be taking a wait and see approach this week.
Bill Haas ($8,300) – Bill Haas has one of the weaker birdie or better percentages on Tour, and as a result his fantasy score suffers. Haas has only broken 90 Draftkings points once this year including his multiple top 10s and 2nd place finish at the Valspar. His game is just not conducive to fantasy scoring, and I don’t think it suits this course all that well with the exception of his accuracy off the tee.
Anirban Lahiri ($7,100) – It pains me to have to put Lahiri in my hate section this week, but as any true fantasy golf player knows, you can’t play favorites. Lahiri just does not make sense on a course where bombers can’t expect to perform well consistently, and Lahiri does not have proximity stats to support his deficiencies elsewhere this week. So, for those reasons, Lahiri is a complete fade for me this week.
Do you have questions about golfers who aren’t in this article? Get more weekly analysis and answers to any of your questions by following me on Twitter @BradMessersmith