We are nearing the end of the FedEx cup playoffs with the 3rd of 4 legs, the BMW Championship at Crooked Stick Golf Club in Carmel, Indiana. We’ve only got the best golfers in the world in this short field event of seventy players, which means you’ll have to make your selections carefully when building lineups. So I’ve created a list of golfers I love, like, and hate below for help when building your rosters.
Golfers I Love
Rory McIlroy ($11,900) – I’ve been chasing Rory for what seems like the entire year knowing at some point he would find a win, and that was definitely the case last week. Rory is likely to be a crowd favorite this week after his convincing win, but I think it’s ok to jump back on the Rory train knowing that he won this event in 2012, when it was last played at Crooked Stick.
Jordan Spieth ($10,500) – Jordan Spieth is under $11k, just let that sink in for a moment. In the relevant stat categories, Spieth ranks eighth on average! Which means he is a perfect fit in this event and it feels like Spieth could go under the radar.
Patrick Reed ($9,700) – I’m shocked that Patrick Reed’s price has not breached the $10k mark with his recent performance. With top fifteen finishes in seven of his last eight events, Patrick Reed comes in with arguably the best form in the field.
Ryan Moore ($8,700) – In case you missed it somehow, Ryan Moore has been on absolute fire. Three top ten finishes in his last four events means Moore is a great value at his price. While he doesn’t stand out statistically in any of the categories I find important, he is above average in all which is enough for me to jump back on Moore this week.
Golfers I Like
Jason Day ($11,600) – Jason Day’s fifteenth place finish last week is a black spot on an otherwise very clean set of recent performances. You read that right, a fifteenth place finish is becoming a down week for the number one golfer in the world.
Sergio Garcia ($9,500) – With each of the top four golfers in the world rounding into form as we head into the home stretch, Sergio Garcia is going relatively under the radar. At only $9,500 Sergio Garcia could very easily go on a run and win this event and it wouldn’t shock anybody including myself, which is why I’ll be taking Sergio in a lot of spots in big field tournaments on Draftkings.
Bubba Watson ($8,600) – I am going to be following up Bubba’s first missed cut all season by putting him in a number of my lineups. He managed to burn a lot of people with the missed cut which should leave him incredibly low owned and he comes in at a price that I just can’t argue with. Don’t make the mistake of overlooking Bubba based on one poor result.
Char Schwartzel ($7,300) – Welcome to Schwartzelville where all I do is suggest rostering Schwartzel each week! I’ll continue to do so though, despite his recent sub-par results (for lack of a better term). Schwartzel continues to be underpriced and I won’t overthink the fact that he gives you a ton of freedom when it comes to roster construction.
Kevin Na ($6,800) – If I could shout it from the mountain tops I would, but I can’t so I’ll shout it here: Kevin Na plays well in tough field events on difficult courses! It’s a fact of life at this point and has rang true largely for two years running.
Golfers I Hate
Louis Oosthuizen ($9,300) – I had a lot of lineups with Louis last week and it worked out very well for me, but I won’t be chasing his result. As much as Louis fit the course last week, he doesn’t fit this week. With a 163rd rank Birdie or Better Percentage he is most likely not going to perform.
Emiliano Grillo ($8,500) – This rookie sensation and winner on tour has been hot as of late, which means he is going to continue to be incredibly popular. His popularity is the big reason I want to avoid Grillo this week, but statistically he does not suit this course in a big way which makes this the perfect spot to find some other options in this price range.
Daniel Berger ($7,800) – At this price it’s pretty tough to make a case for fading Berger, but since his WD citing a shoulder injury, we’ve seen one fifth place finish and a slew of very poor results. Berger could snap out of his cold streak at any time, but in an event with a short field I don’t think I want to take on the risk associated with Berger.
Luke Donald ($7,000) – Luke Donald has one very important and scary statistic that forces him into the hate section of my article. Being ranked 179th in Birdie or Better Percentage translates to one thing, historically bad fantasy scoring. I don’t expect this trend to change in short field made up of only the top golfers in the world.
Do you have questions about golfers who aren’t in this article? Get more weekly analysis and answers to any of your questions by following me on Twitter @BradMessersmith
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is IthinkIcan1) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.