Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2016 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)

1Brad Keselowski$10,300
2Kevin Harvick$10,700
3Kyle Busch$10,500
4Carl Edwards$10,100
5Kurt Busch$9,000

1. Brad Keselowski ($10,300) – Back-to-back wins will take anyone to the top of the rankings. At the last two July New Hampshire races, Keselowski has topped 100 fantasy points each time. (5.1 fppk)

2. Kevin Harvick ($10,700) – Points per race can be misleading. A monster fantasy NASCAR day or a standout performance at a plate race can skew a driver’s average. That’s not the case with Harvick. He’s a lock for 60 points each week. Harvick dominated New Hampshire last Fall before running out of gas. (6.6 fppk)

3. Kyle Busch ($10,500) – New Hampshire is a great track for Kyle. Add it to the list. He wrecked last fall, but won in July. In the two seasons before last year, he had an 8th place finish and three consecutive second place finishes. He won at Martinsville and finished 4th at Phoenix (short, flat tracks). (4.8 fppk)

4. Carl Edwards ($10,100) – Not all short tracks are created equal. Edwards has two short tracks wins this season, but they did not occur at flat banked short tracks. That being said, most of the strategy that goes into winning at a short track is the same. Edwards was a nanosecond from winning at Phoenix and finished 6th at Martinsville. (5.4 fppk)

5. Kurt Busch ($9,000) – Let me just copy and paste what I write about Kurt every week. He’s a lock for the top 10, but he never dominates a race. His price has dipped a little this week, and he makes for a great #3 driver to pair with two dominators. (4.7 fppk)

6Matt Kenseth$9,100
7Martin Truex Jr. $9,300
8Joey Lagano$9,900
9Dale Earnhardt Jr$8,700
10Chase Elliott$8,900

6. Matt Kenseth ($9,100) – The price went back up a little this week, but it seems too low. The Fall New Hampshire victory was a tad bit lucky, but you have to put yourself in position to be lucky. Over the last 5 New Hampshire races, Kenseth has the second highest driver rating (115.2). (3.7 fppk)

7. Martin Truex Jr. ($9,300) – We may have reached the end of the “Summer of Martin.” The 78 car flexed its muscle at intermediate tracks this year. At short flat tracks, drivers need finesse not muscle. Truex should finish inside the top 10, but this is not a race that he dominates. (5.9 fppk)

8. Joey Logano ($9,900) – If you’re in to the “hometown track” strategy, New Hampshire is Joey’s track. Forget the fact that he grew up in Connecticut and he moved south when he was seven, but sure this is his hometrack. Logano has three consecutive top 5 finishes at his hometrack. (3.7 fppk)

9. Dale Earnhardt Jr. ($8,700) – Plate tracks and short, flat tracks are Junior’s strengths. Earnhardt Jr has 4 top 10s in the last 5 New Hampshire races (98.9 driver rating). He’s not a favorite to win, but like Kurt Busch he pairs well with two dominators. (4.0 fppk)

10. Chase Elliott ($8,900) – In the Xfinity series, Elliott has two top 10s in two races at New Hampshire. In the Sprint Cup series, Elliott has 11 top 10s this season. Track history becomes more relevant this week, but current form is still king. (4.1 fppk)

11Jimmie Johnson$9,700
12Trevor Bayne$6,400
13Denny Hamlin$9,500
14Ryan Newman$7,700
15Austin Dillon$8,300

11. Jimmie Johnson ($9,700) – This has been Jimmie’s worst season in 10 years. He only has 7 top 10s in 18 races, and his two wins were strategy plays, not displays of automotive excellence. There’s a new price tag, but it’s still too expensive for a driver that is not dominating races. (3.7 fppk)

12. Trevor Bayne ($6,400) – Sometimes I give Bayne credit, and sometimes I give him no credit at all. The reality is that he’s the best value pick this year. His 4.4 fppk ranks 7th among full time drivers. He’s this season’s Aric Almirola. (4.4 fppk)

13. Denny Hamlin ($9,500) – New Hampshire is a bigger version of the Martinsville “Paperclip” track. Hamlin has been a powerhouse at Martinsville and New Hampshire for most of his career, but his performance has dipped at both recently (2.8 fppk)

14. Ryan Newman ($7,700) – Over the last 10 New Hampshire races, Newman has 7 top 15s. His top 10 rate at New Hampshire is the 3rd best (61% – 17 top 10s). Newman should be a popular #4 or #5 driver on rosters this week. (4.1fppk)

15. Austin Dillon ($8,300) – If the playoffs started today, Dillon would qualify. Not because he wins, but because he’s a consistent top 15 driver. Dillon has top 10s at both short, flat tracks this season and his average finish at New Hampshire is 14th. (3.9 fppk)

16Kyle Larson$8,500
17Ryan Blaney$7,500
18Tony Stewart$8,100
19Kasey Kahne$7,900
20AJ Allmendinger$7,100

16. Kyle Larson ($8,500) – Last season was the dreaded sophomore slump for Kyle Larson. This was no more evident than in his New Hampshire races (17th & 31st). How’d he do his rookie season? He finished 2nd and 3rd at New Hampshire. (3.9 fppk)

17. Ryan Blaney ($7,500) – The rookie was decent at Martinsville (19th) and Phoenix (10th). This could be a trying week. Blaney has raced at New Hampshire just once in the truck series. You can fade the wet behind the ears rookie, or believe that he’s a pro and wouldn’t be at this level, if he didn’t know what he was doing. (3.6 fppk)

18. Tony Stewart ($8,100) – I believe in Tony. Why not? His price. Alright, maybe I don’t believe in Tony. He’s been a top 15 driver this year and has 3 top 10s in the last 4 races. Like most tracks, Tony has great early career stats at New Hampshire (3 wins & 14 top 5s). (3.6 fppk)

19. Kasey Kahne ($7,900) – With just a handful of races left before the Chase, Kahne’s chances are not looking good. He has to win to get in, so expect bold moves and homerun cuts as this team tries to secure a spot in the Chase. (3.4 fppk)

20. A.J. Allmendinger ($7,100) – If Trevor Bayne is not your guy, then Allmendinger is. In fact, rostering both should be a popular play. New Hampshire is a short, flat track with slow corners that requires a rhythm. This type of racing is where The Dinger excels. (4.2 fppk)

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.