Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2016 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)

RankDriverSalary
1Martin Truex Jr$10,900
2Kevin Harvick$10,700
3Kyle Busch$10,200
4Matt Kenseth$9,700
5Brad Keselowski$9,800

1. Martin Truex, Jr. ($10,900) – This looks like what I wrote last week, but Truex leaves me no other option. He dominates every scoring category, every week. Truex embarrassed the field at Charlotte in May, he was the 3rd fastest car last fall, and the fastest in the spring 2015 Charlotte race. (6.1 fppk)

2. Kevin Harvick ($10,700) – It should not be a surprise that Harvick is a monster at intermediate tracks, but he’s even scarier at Charlotte (110.95 driver rating over the last 10 Charlotte races). (6.0 fppk)

3. Kyle Busch ($10,200) – As I stated last week in the rankings, Rowdy found the speed he had earlier this season. He scored the 3rd most fantasy points at Dover. In the May Charlotte race, Rowdy ran inside the top 10 for most of the race until wrecking with a handful of laps remaining. (5.1 fppk)

4. Matt Kenseth ($9,700) – I wrote this before the Chicago race, but it has to be said again. In the first two 1.5 mile races of the season, Kenseth suffered a costly penalty and got in a wreck while charging through the field. In the next 6 races, he finished 11th or better. (3.9 fppk)

5. Brad Keselowski ($9,800) – There are a few drivers that might have an answer for Truex. BK has two intermediate track wins this season, and his average finish at 1.5 mile tracks ranks 3rd this season. (4.9 fppk)

6. Kurt Busch ($8,700) – After a Darlington wreck, Kurt bounced back with a 13th place finish at Chicago. Before Darlington, Kurt had the best average finish at intermediate tracks this season. (3.9 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
6Kurt Busch$8,700
7Jimmie Johnson$10,000
8Denny Hamlin$9,300
9Joey Lagano$9,100
10Ryan Newman$7,400

7. Jimmie Johnson ($10,000) – As far as track history goes, Johnson is the head of the class at Charlotte. Johnson’s track history hasn’t been the best predictive stat this year, so lean on current form. The 48 car was fast at Chicago two weeks ago, and it was the second fastest car at Charlotte in May. (3.9 fppk)

8. Denny Hamlin ($9,300) – Either this team struggled to find long run speed at intermediate tracks earlier this season or they were experimenting. Either way, Hamlin got back on track when summer began. Hamlin has 11 top 10s in the last 12 Charlotte races. (3.8 fppk)

9. Joey Logano ($9,100) – Last fall, this race was rained out. It switched from a night race to a day race and Logano ran away with it. He won the next week at Kansas, as well. This year is a different story. Logano has not scored top tier fantasy points since Las Vegas. (3.9 fppk)

10. Ryan Newman ($7,400) – He’s averaging a 13th place finish at intermediate tracks and he’s good at Charlotte. In his last 10 at Charlotte, his worst finish is 20th and his average finish is 11th. (3.6 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
11Kyle Larson$9,600
12Carl Edwards$9,400
13Jamie McMurray$7,600
14Ryan Blaney$7,700
15Danica Patrick$6,200

11. Kyle Larson ($9,600) – Larson has double digit place differential scores in 3 of the last 4 Charlotte races. (4.1 fppk)

12. Carl Edwards ($9,400) – In the spring, it looked like Cousin Carl was the driver to beat. Since then, he’s cooled off. His highest fantasy output in the last 20 races is 51 points. (4.3 fppk)

13. Jamie McMurray ($7,600) – The only time Jamie McMurray feels like a good pick is when he qualifies towards the back. McMurray has had very few bad races this year, but last week was one of them. McMurray’s average finish at intermediate tracks is 16th. (3.9 fppk)

14. Ryan Blaney ($7,700) – At Chicago, Blaney’s team gambled by skipping a pit stop to grab track position. It paid off and Blaney finished 4th. The rookie is capable of top 10s, but there will be weeks where he makes DFS owners cringe (e.g. last week at Dover). (3.3 fppk)

15. Danica Patrick ($6,200) – This is a different Danica. She’s not becoming a great driver, but compared to the other drivers around $6,000, she’s clearly the best. Her worst intermediate track finish is 24th (average finish of 21st). She’s a safe play, and if she’s qualifies mid-20s or worse, she’s a better play for larger field tournaments. (4.2 fppk)

RankDriverSalary
16Paul Menard$6,800
17Chase Elliott$8,900
18Kasey Kahne$8,500
19Alex Bowman$8,000
20Austin Dillon$8,200

16. Paul Menard ($6,800) – At Kansas, Menard suffered a mechanical failure. At the other intermediate tracks, Menard’s average finish is 19th. That may not sound that great, but the value plays have struggled at the 1.5 mile tracks this season. (3.0 fppk)

17. Chase Elliott ($8,900) – It’s hard to lead laps when you don’t nail restarts. Elliott has a great chance at finishing inside the top 10 (6 at intermediate tracks in 2016). Elliott does not have a great chance at scoring fast lap and laps led points. (4.2 fppk)

18. Kasey Kahne ($8,500) – There’s just one thing left for Kahne to do – win a race. It’s safe to assume that the old Kasey Kahne is back, but he needs to win or at least lead a good number of laps to finalize his return. Charlotte is a good track for Kasey Kahne (4 wins). (3.9 fppk)

19. Alex Bowman ($8,000) – The Hendrick cars were impressive at Chicago. Bowman finished 10th. Where did they find their intermediate track speed? That doesn’t matter. Hendrick had speed at Charlotte in the spring (3 cars finished inside the top 15). (3.1 fppk)

20. Austin Dillon ($8,200) – It’s not fair to compare Dillon to Elliott, or maybe it is. Dillon is the poor man’s Chase Elliott. Neither can control a race. Neither have proven they can win a race. Elliott is a safe top 10 guy; Dillon is a safe top 15 guy. (4.0 fppk)



I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.