Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Joey Logano – The old Joey Logano is dead. Forget everything we know about Joey at JGR. Logano has 13 top 5s, 16 top 10s, and 2 wins this season. Over the last month, he’s been scoring fast lap and lead lap points, as well. Kyle Busch is getting a lot of attention for being in the zone, but Logano is doing the exact same thing. Logano has finished inside the top 10 in the last 5 Michigan races. His 118.6 driver rating over the last four Michigan races ranks 2nd, just 0.4 points behind Harvick.
2. Kevin Harvick – Once again, Harvick had the fastest car last week (just not enough fuel). In June, Harvick had the fastest car in Michigan. Harvick’s tire changer caused a flat tire in that race, and before Harvick could roar back to the front, rain cancelled the remainder of the race. Before the June race, Harvick had finished second in the four previous Michigan races. Harvick ran 17 fast laps and led 63 laps in the June race. Harvick has the highest driver rating over the last four Michigan races.
3. Brad Keselowski – Michigan is Brad’s home track and he desperately wants to win this weekend. In June, Brad was in the middle of a funk and was not running well, but he still finished 6th. Now, Brad is heating up (five top 10s in a row). Over the last four Michigan races, Keselowski has the third highest driver rating (106.8).
4. Kyle Busch – Back in June, Kyle hit a patch of wet asphalt and he wrecked. Everyone said, “how horrible. His season is over!” The Zen Master said, “we’ll see.” I need a calendar to remind me what day is Sunday because Kyle is making the Sprint Cup races look like Xfinity races. The problem is that Kyle is horrible at Michigan. He’s finished 30th or worse in 5 of the last 7 Michigan races. This is where you decide do you prefer track stats or 2015 stats?
5. Dale Earnhardt Jr. – Michigan suits the 88’s passive, laid back style. This track requires power, and Junior’s Hendrick engine has not let him down in the past (he’s finished 7th or better in 5 of his last 7 Michigan races). The interesting angle this week is the 2015 rules package change. NASCAR’s high drag setup failed at Indianapolis, but if everything goes as planned this weekend, Michigan will mimic a restrictor plate race with pack racing. Who’s the best restrictor plate driver in NASCAR? Dale Jr.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Carl Edwards – Is this a true long shot? Edwards is usually priced in a tier along with other drivers not expected to win. In the June race, Edwards ran the second most fast laps (14) and led the second most laps (41). It’s hard to rely on finishing positions from the June race because it was shortened by rain. However, one thing is certain, fast is fast. It’s been years since Edwards experience success at Michigan. However, his move to JGR should turn that around.
2. Tony Stewart – It seems that Tony is finally figuring things out. Sure, Watkins Glen was a disaster due to a mechanical failure, but that was no fault of his own. Tony looked very strong at Indianapolis where NASCAR mandated a similar high drag setup. A high powered engine is necessary to win at Michigan and Stewart has one of the best. If this race turns into a pack race similar to Daytona, then this is an advantage for Tony. At Michigan, Smoke has 20 top 10s.
3. Danica Patrick – At Indianapolis, when NASCAR made a quick change to the 2015 rules package, the small teams suffered (the best small team finish was 26th). In order to find a viable long shot, DFS players will need to turn to the lesser driver on big teams. Patrick will have a competitive ride at Michigan. In her five races at this 2 mile speedway, she has 4 top 20 finishes and an average finish of 17.4. Patrick has been serviceable this season with an average finish of 21.9 and 9 top 20s (two of those coming in the last two races).
Kyle Busch – You know the story. At Watkins Glen, Rowdy was just seconds behind Logano and took home a second place finish. Nothing can stop Kyle Busch. In his last 5 races, his worst average position is fifth.
Joey Logano – For the second week in a row, Logano and Kyle Busch were running one and two at the end. This time, Logano didn’t run out of gas. Since Indy, Logano is no longer just a top 5 guy. He’s a leader.
Matt Kenseth – The 20 car has finished 7th or better in the last 5 races with a win at Pocono. He scored double digit place differential points in three of those races (+22 at Watkins Glen).
Kurt Busch (June 2015)
Jeff Gordon (August 2014)
Jimmie Johnson (June 2014)
Joey Logano (August 2013)
Greg Biffle (June 2013)
PICK TO WIN
Brad Keselowski – The hometown kid will bring it home this weekend. He’s got the car and he’s in a groove. Logano can’t win back to back, Rowdy stinks at Michigan, and Harvick just does not have luck on his side. The NASCAR stars will align this weekend.