Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. Kyle Busch – His team nailed the setup in the spring (352 laps led), so they’ll roll into Martinsville with a slight advantage over the field. Kyle won the truck race that weekend as well but don’t worry about last week in Talladega. Before that, the 18 car had shown top 3 speed. At the high banked short tracks, Kyle has 3 wrecks this season but the flat, short tracks are a different story. He‘s finished each of the 6 races inside the top 10 (4 top 5s).
2. Kevin Harvick – Is Martinsville a Kevin Harvick track? Yes, every track is a Kevin Harvick track. In the spring, Kyle Busch dominated the race, but Harvick still managed to score 35.5 fast lap points (almost as many as Kyle Busch). If Harvick starts this race from inside the top 10 (started 19th in the spring), he’s a lock for a top 5 fantasy score. In the last 3 Martinsville races, Harvick’s worst performance is 81 fantasy points.
3. Denny Hamlin – Although Hamlin has struggled at Martinsville of late, this is still his best track. To say he’s struggled at Martinsville is simply a product of how high Hamlin has raised the bar. In his first 11 Martinsville races, he had 10 top 10s and 3 wins. In his last 10, he has 6 top 10s and one win. That’s still pretty good, but not otherworldly like his first 11 races at Southside Virginia. His 39th place finish in the Spring has nothing to do with his recent “struggles.” He looked good in that race until a rare wheel hop sent him careening into the wall.
4. Brad Keselowski – Coming into this short track, Brad has a streak of three consecutive 4th place finishes. Unfortunately, Brad’s championship chances ended last week with a blown engine at Talladega. This race means nothing, or you can look at it another way, Brad has nothing to lose. Martinsville is a race where drivers can make up a lot of spots by skipping a pit stop. Brad can take chances that other elite drivers cannot. In each of the last three Martinsville races, the #2 car has finished inside the top 5 in terms of fast lap points.
5. Joey Logano – The 22 car has been strong at Martinsville, so it was surprising to see Logano start up front and quickly fade in the spring. That was 27 races ago; Penske better understands the 2016 rules package. Even in that disappointing race, Logano finished 11th. That’s just about where he has run at every short track race this season. His car is very close. With a slight adjustment, he’s a top 5 car, and that’s where he typically runs at Martinsville (average running position of 7th or better in 4 of the last 5 races).
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Jeff Gordon – This is the final curtain call for the Rainbow Warrior. Last year, Gordon won the fall Martinsville race. Over his career at Martinsville, he has 37 top 10s (a ridiculous 80%). The driver rating stat was created in 2005, Jeff Gordon’s driver rating at Martinsville since the creation of the statistic is 119.4.
2. A.J. Allmendinger – Forget the road courses, Martinsville is The Dinger’s best track. He finished 2nd in the spring and 11th last fall. With JTG Daugherty racing, he has a mechanical failure and 4 finishes of 11th or better in 5 races at Martinsville.
3. Danica Patrick – At short, flat tracks, Danica deserves a look. The hard braking at these tracks is similar to her Indy Car upbringing. In the 6 races at this type of track in 2016, Danica has 5 top 20 finishes.
Kasey Kahne – Ignore the Talladega results. They do not reflect a driver’s current form. Before Talladega, Kahne had 9 top 15s in the last 10 races.
Kyle Busch – The top 10 streak ended last week, but that’s Talladega. Busch and his JGR teammates were racing not to wreck. Talladega aside, his worst finish in the last two months is 11th.
Kevin Harvick – In the 11 short track races this season, Harvick has 8 top 10s. If his car doesn’t break and his pit crew doesn’t slip, he’s a lock for a top 5 finish.
Kyle Busch (Spring 2016)
Jeff Gordon (Fall 2015)
Denny Hamlin (Spring 2015)
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. (Fall 2014)
Kurt Busch (Spring 2014)
PICK TO WIN
Kyle Busch – The race starts on Friday. Qualifying is huge at Martinsville. Passing at Martinsville almost doesn’t happen, so the best way to gain spots is by qualifying in the top 5 on Friday. Kyle will nail qualifying, get a great pit location, and roll on Sunday.
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