Another week, another race. Here we’ll break down all the most important Daily Fantasy NASCAR information in order to drive your success! The information below is provided by DraftKings. The information is not developed or provided by NASCAR, Inc., or its affiliates.
TOP 5 FAVORITES TO WIN
1. AJ Allmendinger – In the nascent daily fantasy NASCAR world, The Dinger has never produced at a road course. Marcos Ambrose and Juan Pablo Montoya were the kings, but they exited NASCAR before DraftKings launched contests. Allmendinger inherited the the road expert throne. He looked good in 2015, but suffered mechanical failures. He was on the verge of a win at Sonoma, but his pit crew got hit with an out-of-control tire penalty. It’s win or go home this weekend. The Dinger has to win this race to make the Chase. That’s exactly what he did at Watkins Glen in 2014.
2. Kyle Busch – Some drivers excel at specific track types. Very few drivers in the history of NASCAR have excelled everywhere. Kyle Busch could race rovers on the Moon and win. Kyle’s good at road courses. He won at Sonoma last year and finished 7th this year, and that’s his weak road course. At The Glen, Rowdy has 9 top 10s in 11 races (2 wins). Track history is a key stat this week, but if you want to stick to the current form statistic, then no one has been better than Rowdy over the last two seasons.
3. Joey Logano – The final result of Pocono was not so good (wreck), but he was a possible winner for most of the race. He was a top 10 driver at Kentucky before he wrecked, and he got caught up in the madness at Dover. In the other 7 races this summer, Logano finished inside the top 10. At Watkins Glen, Logano has three consecutive top 10s. He won last year’s race. He’s been pretty good at Sonoma, too (top 5s in the last two races).
4. Brad Keselowski – Road courses are not the same. Sonoma and Watkins Glen are world’s apart. Some drivers are superior at one, but not the other. Brad Keselowski prefers Watkins Glen (the super speedway of road courses) over Sonoma (the short track of road courses). BK has suffered two horrific wrecks during Watkins Glen testing over his career. Only fast and fearless drivers rip a car to shreds during practice. Fast and fearless has a lot of Daily Fantasy NASCAR upside. In his 6 races at The Glen, BK has three 2nd place finishes and a 7th place finish.
5. Kevin Harvick – Last year, Harvick led the most laps at the Glen. He was on his way to the win, but ran out of fuel on the last lap. The #4 car is fast every week at whatever track; the track really hasn’t mattered over the last three years. In the last four road races, Harvick has finished inside the top 10 in each. His average road course finish of 13th ranks 3rd. This could easily be the number one play at The Glen, but there’s that thing with Harvick never winning races.
LONG SHOTS TO SCORE BIG
1. Kyle Larson – The Summer months are where Larson shines. Some drivers are notorious for slow starts to a season; Tony Stewart comes to mind. The mad mixture of Summer race tracks seems to suit Larson. At The Glen, he’s finished 12th and 4th. Larson hasn’t finished outside of the top 15 in the last 4 road races.
2. Tony Stewart – The Sonoma win was very fortunate (a perfectly timed debris caution and Hamlin’s mistake on the last turn). In Tony’s defense, when he was given the lead, he held off his competition until the last lap. Stewart is good road racer. He had good car at The Glen last year (started 3rd), but suffered a mechanical failure.
3. Clint Bowyer – At Sonoma, Bowyer was exuberant. He thought his small team had built a top 5 car, but he suffered a mechanical failure early in the race. Bowyer is another standout road racer (11th or better in 8 of the last 10).
Kyle Busch – Summertime didn’t start out well (4 consecutive races of 30th or worse), but now, the living is easy (average finish of 6.5 over the last 6 races).
Tony Stewart – Don’t hold a late race wreck at Daytona against him. Other than that, his worst finish over the last two months is 11th. Last week’s Pocono race was his 4th top 5 over that span.
Kevin Harvick – The Summer Daytona race remains the one stain on 2016, but other than that, Harvick has been squeaky clean. Harvick’s on his 4th top 10 streak of 4 or more races this year (5 streaks of 3 or more top 10s).
- Joey Logano (2015)
- A.J. Allmendinger (2014)
- Kyle Busch (2013)
- Marcos Ambrose (2012)
- Marcos Ambrose (2011)
PICK TO WIN
AJ Allmendinger – This is the 4th road course Cheat Sheet and the 4th time The Dinger has been the pick to win. Two mechanical failures and a pit road penalty ruined the first three. What else could go wrong? This is it.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.