The tournament this week is being played at Doha Golf Club, in Qatar. Let’s get right into some of my top targets!
Martin Kaymer ($10,800): Kaymer has a great record on this desert swing the Euro Tour is on, and while this event isn’t his favorite, I won’t be shocked if he ends up as the winner this week. Kaymer hasn’t missed a cut in his last 21 starts world-wide and is desperately looking to get back in the winner’s circle since he hasn’t won since the 2014 U.S. Open. This event is played at an open links style venue which should favor Kaymer, who seems to thrive in these types of courses. He hasn’t played in Qatar since 2014, but did record back-to-back T9’s in 2013 and 2012 here.
Rafa Cabrera Bello ($10,300): Even if he never wins, dodging Rafa Cabrera-Bello, especially in a weaker field event, feels absolutely fruitless right now. Bello has made his last 18 cuts world-wide and played through back pain last week to post a decent T19 finish. All things considered, if he’s healthy when he tees it up this week, I expect him to be in the mix again, as he’s made his last six cuts in Qatar, with three top five finishes to his credit (but no wins). Make sure you check his status before tee-off, but he’s worth consideration if he starts.
Thorbjorn Olesen ($9,300): Olesen wasn’t really in the mix at all last week, but his track record at this event speaks for himself. In his last three trips to Qatar he’s gone 2nd — MC — 3rd, and the missed cut simply fell in between some injury time and poor form. Olesen broke a string of poor play with a huge win in the Euro playoffs last season, his fourth win already on Tour, and comes into this season looking for a return back into the top 50 in the world. At this tournament, in his current form, I think he’s worth paying up for.
George Coetzee ($8,200): Coetzee played poorly last week, and while $8,200 seems like a lot for a golfer coming off a bad week, his track record at this event makes him a nice target. Coetzee has never missed the cut at this event in five appearances, and has finished inside the top 12 four times, including a 2nd place finish from back in 2013. The open style venue quite clearly suits his game and for DFS purposes it also makes him a strong play in larger tournaments.
Paul Dunne ($7,300): Dunne is a young golfer on the rise who should also benefit from the open-links style nature of this venue. Dunne famously led the Open Championship after 54 holes in 2015, and, even if he didn’t win it, this result showed us what his upside is on links courses. Dunne faded on the weekend in Abu Dhabi, but looks close to a big week, and this tournament could be the one he finally breaks through at.
Marc Warren ($7,200): Marc Warren is another golfer with a decent links record who has a pretty strong record at this event as well. The Scotsman has been up and down over the past year or so, but posted much better results in the latter half of 2016 than the first. He faded a bit last week but also finished 2nd at this event in 2015, making a better result in Qatar seem quite likely.
Edoardo Molinari ($6,900): Molinari has been on the comeback trail lately. He didn’t play in Abu Dhabi last week, but has now gone 14th and 7th in his last two starts on Tour and seems ripe for another good week here. The two-time winner on the Euro Tour has recorded rounds of 64 and 63 over his last eight competitive rounds of play and seems ready to contend on Tour once again. Of all the players under $7k he might carry the most upside for DFS based on recent form.
Callum Shinkwin ($6,900): Shinkwin had a strong week in Abu Dhabi, ending the week in 23rd place. Wile he threw in a couple of 74’s last week, he also rounded it out with an impressive 65, one of the best rounds of the tournament. Shinkwin is a young golfer who looks certain to win on Tour at some point. At $6,900, with some good vibes from last week to fall back on, he’s my next top target under $7k this tournament.
Matteo Manassero ($6,400): At the lower end of the spectrum siding with talented golfers who we know are capable of pulling out one big week — even if their recent form has been bad — is never a bad idea. Manassero dominated the Tour at a young age but hasn’t won since 2013. He showed signs of popping out of his funk last season and played solidly last week to finish 39th. At $6,400, he’s more than worth a look here as another week like the last one will mean a decent return on investment.
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