The CFL is back! Below, I’ll break down my top targets from every position for Thursday night’s slate.
Mike Reilly ($10,200) – While the projected point total in the Montreal-Edmonton game isn’t huge (49 points) the fact that Edmonton are eight-point favorites is telling. Reilly had a fantastic start to the year on the road, going 20-28 for 315 yards and 2 TDs against a generally well-thought-of Lions team. He faced Montreal twice last year and put up 24 and 30 DK points respectively. With most DraftKings players likely targeting Bo Levi Mitchell at this price point, I’d argue Reilly’s running prowess (nine rushing TDs last year) gives him just as much upside and he could garner lower ownership.
Ricky Ray ($8,800) – Ray was incredible Week 1 throwing for over 500 yards against a tough defense. While many may believe that was an aberration, I suspect Marc Trestman and Ray will keep this offense humming for at least the first few games, until teams figure out a game plan to stop them. Ray gets the Lions in Week 2 who were nearly as bad as Hamilton against the pass in their opener. Either way, I’m riding the Argo’s pass game until they prove me wrong.
Notes – The Stamps have an implied team total of over 31 points this week meaning Bo Levi Mitchell (Calgary) is again a great, safe target. Matt Nichols (Winnipeg) is also extremely cheap and, as mentioned below, makes for a great stack target with his explosive WR Darvin Adams.
Marquay McDaniel ($8,400) – We have a great situation to target this week with McDaniel, as Calgary’s other top WR DaVaris Daniels is likely to miss Week 2. This means extra targets for a guy who was already considered the top dog in Calgary and who just crushed Ottawa Week 1 with 10 catches for 114 yards. The Stamps have the highest implied team total on the board this week by a lot, and McDaniel is only the fourth most expensive receiver, he’s an easy target for me this week.
Darvin Adams ($7,700) – Winnipeg will open its season Week 2 (thanks, odd numbered league) which means some people may forget about how good Darvin Adams was towards the end of last season. Adams posted three games of at least six catches and at least 100 receiving yards in his last five starts last year and will get the Roughriders who struggled to defend explosive WRs like Adams last season. He and QB Matt Nicols make a logical, cost-effective stack Week 1.
DeVier Posey ($6,000) – I nearly wrote up Posey for Week 1, but decided against it due to the uncertainty surrounding who was going to be seeing the targets for Toronto. The easy answer now is everyone will apparently see targets since the Argo’s threw for over 500 yards in Week 1. Posey is an NFL level talent who had the entire offseason to get in synch with Marc Trestman and Ricky Ray, and I expect him to lead Toronto in receiving for the year (assuming Ray stays healthy). BC allowed Edmonton to throw for numerous big plays Week 1 meaning we could see a second huge game from Posey to start the year.
Notes – The Red Blacks Diontae Spencer (Ottawa) should play more with Kenny Shaw being out. He’s also returning kicks (return yards count as points) and makes for a nice bounce back target in Week 2. Brandon Zylstra and Duke Williams (Edmonton) are likely to split work in the number two role all year, with Duke being the better red zone/deep ball target.
John White ($7,700) – White looked great Week 1 as he ran for over 100 yards and a TD on just 17 carries. While a big game wasn’t expected from him Week 1, there’s every chance for a repeat or better game from him in Week 2. Montreal gave up 103 rush yards to a much weaker Saskatchewan rushing game in Week 1, and with the Esks eight-point favorites, White’s carry total may actually exceed his Week 1 numbers. A huge season may be in order for White, and this is a prime spot for him to post another big game.
Andrew Harris ($7,400) – With not a lot of great value options at RB, paying up is likely the best option at RB this week, and Andrew Harris seems like a logical target. Harris was the Bombers workhorse last year accumulating over 100 yards rushing and over 70 receptions in 16 games. Saskatchewan wasn’t a pushover Week 1, but the Bombers rush game is a big jump from what they just faced. Keep an eye on Harris up to game time as he was rested a bit last week but looks good to go for the opener.
Notes – The Ottawa situation is one to watch as Mossis Madu Jr. ($5,100) would get the start if William Powell (questionable) doesn’t suit up. If Powell sits, Madu would be a nice value target. Also of note is the fact Kienan Lafrance (Saskatchewan) is expected back this week which would likely move Cameron Marshall into a backup role. Stefan Logan (Montreal) at $4,400 is a decent DraftKings tournament play as he returns kicks (return yards count) and gets carries for Montreal too.
Blue Bombers ($4,700) – Winnipeg brought in a lot of new defensive pieces over the summer and looked poised to make a jump defensively this season. For their opener, they’ll get the extremely un-mobile Kevin Glenn as opposing QB, who will be a favorite target of mine all season. While the spread predicts a close, fairly low scoring game, the Bombers are favorites on the road which does tell us something. On DraftKings they’ll make a nice tournament play against the likely heavier owned options like Edmonton and Calgary.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.