After one day off, the Premier League returns with a full Wednesday slate that includes Chelsea and Liverpool at home as large favorites, as well as a top-six battle between Manchester United and Tottenham. Decisions will have to be made in the EPL 30K Rush The Pitch [$5K to 1st] and it’s not about backing all of the favorites.
Willian, Chelsea vs. Aston Villa, $9,300 — This price may seem high for a player who was just benched, but Willian should return to the starting XI in a great matchup. If he starts, Willian will be the main set-piece taker against Aston Villa, who have given up the most chances and third-most corners in the past 10 gameweeks. He has at least 17 fantasy points in his past three home starts and this matchup is as favorable as those ones.
Other Options — Sadio Mane, Liverpool, $9,800; Jamie Vardy, Leicester City, $9,400; Marcus Rashford, Manchester United, $7,500
VALUESIsmaila Sarr, Watford at Leicester City, $5,000 — This isn’t a great slate if you’re looking to save money on your second forward, but Sarr could be viable if he starts. He was electric over the weekend, taking four shots and sending in two crosses. There’s a chance he doesn’t do anything in a tougher spot, but it’s not like Leicester are invincible after giving up numerous opportunities on the counter against Everton last match. If Sarr doesn’t start, Troy Deeney ($5,100) could be the guy.
Other Options — Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Liverpool, $6,600; Richarlison, Everton, $6,000; Sebastien Haller, West Ham, $5,700
James Maddison, Leicester City vs. Watford, $9,500 — It’ll be hard to pass on Maddison in another favorable matchup. He’s hit at least 12 fantasy points in every match this season and that’s unlikely to change against Watford, who sit bottom of the table and have allowed five goals in their past two matches against Southampton and Burnley. That points to heavy possession for Leicester and more set pieces for Maddison.
Other Options — James Ward-Prowse, Southampton, $7,600; Jack Grealish, Aston Villa, $7,500; Adama Traore, Wolverhampton, $7,300
VALUESKenny McLean, Norwich City at Southampton, $5,700 — You could go cheaper, but this is a great price for Norwich’s main set-piece taker the past few matches. McLean has 12 corners and at least 13 fantasy points in each of his past three starts, and Southampton has allowed the fifth-most corners in the past 10 gameweeks. If Emiliano Buendia ($5,600) starts, I’d grab him instead because he’d likely take over corners.
Other Options — Onel Hernandez, Norwich City, $5,300; Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton, $4,600; Jesse Lingard, Manchester United, $4,400
Ben Chilwell, Leicester City vs. Watford, $5,600 — It’ll be hard not to use Trent Alexander-Arnold, but if there was a match to avoid him, this may be it. He didn’t surpass 10 fantasy points against Man City and they are the only team to allow fewer crosses than Everton. I think you can get similar production from Chilwell in a better matchup. He has 18 crosses in the past three matches and while he doesn’t have Alexander-Arnold’s upside, their floors could be similar.
Other Options — Trent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool, $7,100; Lucas Digne, Everton, $5,800; Ricardo Pereira, Leicester City, $5,200
VALUESChristoph Zimmermann, Norwich City at Southampton, $2,800 — If you want to get the best floor plays, you’ll have to save money somewhere. Zimmermann has revitalized the Norwich back line and while that may not equal fantasy success, it wouldn’t be surprising if this match finished in a scoreless draw. At the least, Zimmermann had five points last match from tackles and interceptions.
Other Options — Max Aarons, Norwich City, $3,400; Jonny Evans, Leicester City, $3,300; Issa Diop, West Ham, $2,700
Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester City vs. Watford, $5,800 — If for some reason you have extra money, Schmeichel has at least 7.4 fantasy points in his last 10 starts and has a good chance to do that again. Watford have scored nine goals in 14 matches this season and they have the lowest implied goal total on the slate.
Other Options — Adrian, Liverpool, $5,600; Rui Patricio, Wolverhampton, $5,500; Alex McCarthy, Southampton, $5,400
VALUESTim Krul, Norwich City at Southampton, $4,200 — Krul is almost too easy of a play because no one would be surprised if Norwich won and secured a clean sheet. Either way, Krul has made 22 saves in his last five starts and should finish in the positive against an unreliable Southampton attack.
Other Options — David de Gea, Manchester United, $4,900; David Martin, West Ham, $4,100; Jordan Pickford, Everton, $3,800
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