Everything you need to know for Week 12 of the CFB season is right here, all in one place!
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Brandon Doughty $8800
Doughty is just about the most consistent fantasy option in all of DFS. He has a legitimate floor of 25 points this week, and his upside is always in the 40 point range. FIU has been a solid secondary this year, but they have yet to face an opponent as capable as Doughty and WKU. Doughty will, once again, throw the ball 35-40 times and should easily hang 4 touchdowns on FIU. Western Kentucky has a team total of 41.5, so I fully expect Doughty to be the top performer this week.
Josh Rosen $6800
Some people might be pushed away from Rosen due to the less-than-ideal matchup with Utah, but it doesn’t bother me too much. The weakness in Utah’s defense this year has been their secondary, and even with a banged up receiving corps, Rosen has been able to spread the ball around and get the job done, albeit against mediocre defenses. UCLA has a team total of 28, all of which could very well come by the arm of Josh Rosen, considering Utah’s stout run defense.
Jordan Howard $8000
Jordan Howard is back and just as good as ever after missing time with an ankle injury. In his last two games, he got back to workhorse status, rushing the ball 22 and 35 times respectively, while accumulating 412 yards over that two game span. This week, he gets the wonderful matchup with Maryland. Indiana actually comes in to this game as a 3 point underdog, which doesn’t bother me too much at all, as Howard has displayed a bit of a pass catching ability this season.
Travon McMillian $7600
McMillian is one of the guys who randomly burst on the scene in the middle of the season when the opportunity was given to him. He’s been a workhorse back for Virginia Tech over the past month and a half, and has not disappointed. This week, VaTech gets the marquee matchup against North Carolina and their egregious run defense that has allowed 206 rushing yards per game. McMillian should see 20+ carries, no matter the game script, and shouldn’t have any problems rushing for over 100 yards for the fourth straight week.
Juju Smith-Schuster $7000
Juju is one of those guys that is either going to set the world on fire for you, or annoy every fiber of your being by being aggressively mediocre. In 10 games this season, Juju has had 2 games in which he scored between 16 and 30 fantasy points; he’s boom or bust. This week, I’m leaning towards boom against a pathetic Oregon defense that is allowing 317 passing yards per game and 31.7 points per game. The USC passing attack has left much to be desired this year, but I strongly believe this is the week to own Juju Smith-Schuster.
Taywan Taylor $6200
I saw Taylor’s price tag this week and immediately inserted him in my lineup. All of the good things I said about Doughty hold true for Taylor as well. He’s a great player in a great spot with a great price tag and he should be on your teams. He’s posted at least 20 fantasy points in 8 of his last 9 games, and been over 35 points in 4 of those games. If you’re playing cash games, Taylor is all but a must play.
Nate Sudfeld $5100
Every time I go look at the line for this game, it baffles me that Maryland is the favorite. I fully expect Sudfeld to throw for 300 yards and at least 1 touchdown. If this happens, he’s hit value at his price tag. Maryland will struggle on defense and Sudfeld will exploit their weaknesses. Indiana still has a team total of 35.5, which just tells me to stack away, as most of their players are underpriced, especially Sudfeld.
C.J. Beathard $5800
A couple weeks ago, I went to the Beathard well just a game too early; since then, he’s posted fantasy totals of 23 and 25, exceeding value at his current price tag. Iowa has a team total of 39, which bodes well for Beathard, even though he’s playing in a run-first offense with a workhorse running back returning from injury. I’m not expecting much more than 20-23 out of CJ, but anything less than that would be a big surprise against a very underwhelming Purdue defense.
Ronald Jones II $5100
Jones has had 15+ carries in 3 of his last 4 games. Since Tre Madden went down, USC has used a committee to run the ball, but Jones is the most talented back they have and is being treated as such. He did struggle last week against a pretty poor Colorado defense, but that should just be an outlier, as I expect him to bounce back in a nice way against a struggling Oregon defense.
Brandon Ross ($3300)
Ross had seen his production and his workload decrease over the past few games, but the opportunity will be there once again this week, as the other half of the Maryland running back committee, Wes Brown, has been suspended. This game should stay close throughout, and Maryland is actually a slight favorite, so game flow should work in Brown’s favor. Indiana is, quite possibly, the worst defense in all of college football, and Brown is almost impossible to pass up at his current price tag.
Devin Lucien $4500
I think part of the reason I like Devin Lucien so much is his name; Lucien is just a really cool last name. That being said, he’s also a very talented player who happens to have a great matchup this week. Arizona is a pretty terrible defense, and it’s a rivalry game, so I expect ASU to keep the pedal to the metal for as long as possible, with Lucien getting his typical 5 catches for 70 yards and a touchdown.
Deon Cain $4500
Cain has been the epitome of consistency over the last month or so. He just makes big play after big play, and racks up yardage like it’s his job (which it kind of is). He’s got one of the best quarterbacks in the country throwing him incredibly accurate bombs down field and he’s taking advantage of it; he has a catch of at least 38 yards in 5 straight games and has scored a touchdown in 3 straight. Wake Forest has been solid against the pass this year, but they’re not ready to stop the deep threat combo of Deshaun Watson and Deon Cain.
USC vs Oregon (-4.5) O/U 71.5
I’ve already mentioned the USC players that I think will be successful in this one. The only other guy I would target for the Trojans is Justin Davis for GPP lineups, as he’s the cheaper back in the timeshare and should see something like 11-14 carries. Cody Kessler is a solid GPP option, but It’s really hard to trust him in cash games this year, as he’s been very underwhelming. On the Oregon side, Vernon Adams is an intriguing play, but I’d also reserve him for GPP lineups as his floor is somewhat non-existent. Royce Freeman is almost always a great play, as he is this week due to his expected workload and tolerable matchup. I would love to see him get involved in the passing game like he was earlier in the year, but that’s just me being selfish. Darren Carrington is the top receiver in the Oregon offense and he should have a nice game against USC. He’s in the weird 5K price range for receivers that typically makes roster construction weird for some reason, so I probably won’t have a ton of exposure to him, but he’s a solid play.
Underowned QB/WR Pair
Chad Kelly/Laquon Treadwell – Ole Miss
Ole Miss has a team total of 30, which isn’t something I’d normally target with QB/WR stack, but I can make an exception for this one. Treadwell has been one of the best receivers in the entire country all year long, and LSU doesn’t have the lockdown corner they’ve had in the past. Treadwell is still very underpriced relative to his production and upside, and should continue to produce in a way similar to what he’s been doing all year long. The Rebels really don’t look to score much on the ground, unless it’s a Chad Kelly keeper. What I’m trying to say here is, I think at least 75% of the points scored by Ole Miss come by at least one, if not both of these players.
Paxton Lynch $8100
I’m one of the biggest Paxton Lynch truthers there is. I think he’s a great college quarterback and I also think he has the ability to produce in this game. However his price is a bit too high for my liking in a matchup with one of the toughest defenses in the country, especially on the road. His underwhelming production of late also doesn’t help my opinion on him for this week.
Depth Chart News
Greg Ward – QB Houston
Ward left the game last week with an ankle injury and is doubtful to play this week. Kyle Postma should step in and fill the void if Ward does sit, and makes for a very intriguing tournament play against Connecticut.
Anu Solomon/Nick Wilson – QB/RB Arizona
Both players are banged up and are questionable for this game. If Solomon sits, it’s go time for Jarrard Randall, a true dual threat QB that was tearing it up in limited time early this season, but has since taken a back seat to Solomon, who has really stepped up his game lately. If Wilson can’t go, it only gives a couple more carries to Jared Baker, who doesn’t really do it for me this week in a game that they’ll most likely be trailing throughout.