Welcome to the Sweet 16!  We get the first 4 games tonight and there is plenty of action to be had.  Take a look at a couple of the tournament links below and best of luck!

 

Tournament Alert

We have money up for grabs at all different price points today. Take your shots to be the big winner below in college hoops.

$100K Blue Chip Survivor (3 Round Survivor) – $300 Entry

$25K Full Court Press – $27 Entry

$20K Buzzer Beater – $3 Entry

 

Game Analysis

We have 4 games on the slate tonight and it gets kicked off by Wichita St-Notre Dame and that game offers us an O/U of 138 and is projected to be the closest of the evening.  The second game brings us UNC-Wisconsin with the Badgers being a 6.5 point favorite in a game with the highest O/U of the night at 145.  The third game brings us West Virginia trying to knock off Goliath (Kentucky).  This game has Kentucky as 13.5 point favorites and offers an O/U of 136.5.  The final game of the night brings us Xavier-Arizona where Arizona is an 11 point favorite in a game that has an O/U of 136.  As you can see the O/U’s are very similar which really allows us to take the best players we can and we should not worry a ton about overall totals.

 

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GUARD TARGETS
 
Studs

 
Fred Van Vleet, Wichita St ($8,700) – Van Vleet has probably been the best fantasy player thus far in the NCAA tourney and I think he continues his excellent play tonight against Notre Dame.  He has averaged 35.25 fantasy points over his last 3 and has been ultra consistent as he has gone for 34.5+ in all 3 games.  This game is projected to be the closest of the night as Wichita St is actually a 1.5 point favorite against the higher seeded Irish.
 
Marcus Paige, UNC ($8,000) – Paige is going to have to be the man for the Tar Heels tonight against the very tough Wisconsin team.  Paige’s teammate, Kennedy Meeks, is a game time decision and that would be a huge blow to their offensive production.  Last time out, Paige struggled in the first half as Arkansas did all they could to take him out of the game.  In the second half, Paige turned it on and really took over late.  This game offers the highest O/U of the night and should be very entertaining.
 
T.J. McConnell, Arizona ($7,800) – McConnell is coming off of a 36 fantasy point outing last round against Ohio State and should be able to contribute in all categories again tonight as over his last 5 games he has put up 66 points, 33 assists, 22 rebounds and 6 made threes.  Over his last 10 games, he has 3 games with 11 assists to go along with 3 games with 5+ rebounds.
 
Juwan Staten, West Virginia ($7,000) – Staten is going to be pretty under owned as West Virginia takes on the best defense in the country in a game where they are 13.5 point underdogs.  We get Staten at a $500 price drop after his uninspiring 17.5 fantasy point performance against Maryland.  In that game against Maryland Staten was guarded by Dez Wells, who is one of the better on ball defenders in the Nation, so I would not put a ton of stock into that performance.  Staten is going to have to deal with the length of Kentucky but I think his assist numbers have a chance to jump with driving and dishing as long as his teammates can knock down some triples.

 

Values

 

Tyler Ulis, Kentucky ($4,600) – I have been riding the Ulis wagon for a handful of games now and against Cincinnati he barely came off the court.  He is averaging over 30 minutes per game over his last 5 and has averaged over 19.5 fantasy points over that span.  In order to pay off his salary Ulis needs to put up 18.4 fantasy points and I feel like that is a lock tonight as he should see 32+ minutes of action as Kentucky is going to need his ball-handling against the press of West Virginia.  

 
Evan Wessel, Wichita St ($4,100) – Wessel plays 30+ minutes per game and is coming off of a 25.25 fantasy point performance.  In the 3 games prior to that he combined for just 18.5 fantasy points so he is definitely far from a guarantee as far as fantasy production goes.  At his current price, he has exceeded value in 4 of his last 10 games and has come close to value in 3 others.  Even thought I listed Van Vleet above, I think Notre Dame is going to try and contain the guard and Wichita St is going to need others to step up and Wessel is not afraid to fire up 5+ threes.
 
Gabe York, Arizona ($4,100) – York’s price jumped up $500 but that is ok as he still offers us 26 fantasy point upside and is capable of getting extremely hot from deep as seen in the last game against Ohio St.  He finished with 25.5 fantasy points in 29 minutes of action thanks to draining 5 threes.  He has played 57 minutes over his last 2 games and I think York sees about the same amount of action tonight against Xavier.  This one does have blowout potential and that could only lead to guaranteeing York more minutes.  He has 17+ fantasy points in 6 of his last 10 games.
 

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FORWARD TARGETS
 

Studs

 
Frank Kaminsky, Wisconsin ($9,900) – Look for Big Frank to take control tonight against UNC and get back to being the top play of the day.  Frank went for 51 fantasy points in their first tourney game and managed just 27.75 against Oregon on Sunday.  I say just because Frank has been extremely consistent on the season and rarely falls under the 30 fantasy point mark.  He is the most expensive play of the day but for good reason and he presents a big match-up problem for North Carolina.  Should the Heels try to go zone on Wisconsin, Frank has shown the ability to knock down a handful of threes but also get into the free throw line area and either get to the rim or dish for an assist as he has the highest assist rate on the team.
 
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, Arizona ($7,600) – RHJ has been a fantasy stud of late as he has put up 71 fantasy points in his two NCAA tourney games so far.  He also has a double double in each of those 2 games so far and has 41 rebounds over his last 4 games.  Xavier just does not off anybody on the wing that can contain RHJ or Stanley Johnson so both guys make great plays tonight.  I like RHJ a little more because he is just so active on the floor and is able to stuff the stat sheet.
 
Nigel Hayes, Wisconsin ($7,300) – Hayes is showing America what Badger fans started to see during his freshman year.  He has averaged 30.25 fantasy points over his last 4 games and is capable of filling the stat sheet with double digit rebounds and 3-6 assists.  He is not afraid to step out and take the three and shoots it very well for a guy that did not take a single three during his freshman year.  His basketball IQ is through the roof and he knows how to attack defenders.
 
J.P. Tokoto, UNC ($6,600) – Tokoto is a great cash game play as he does a little bit of everything but lacks the GPP upside as his scoring ability is somewhat limited.  Tokoto is coming off of a 31.25 fantasy point performance while scoring just 13 game points.  He contributed 8 assists and 5 rebounds and prior to this last game had gone for 6+ rebounds in his previous 9.  If Kennedy Meeks is forced to sit or is at all limited tonight, Tokoto will be tasked to ramp up his rebounding even more.
 

Values

 
Jalen Reynolds, Xavier ($5,200) – Reynolds is a GPP play as he is capable of putting up fantasy points quickly but he is also very foul prone as he gets called for 6.1 fouls per 40 minutes.  That is a foul every 6.7 minutes of action, which is never a good thing.  With that being said, he is coming off of a 28.5 fantasy point performance thanks to 21 points and 6 rebounds in 26 minutes.  Xavier is going to need him to combat the size of Arizona and while I do think he fouls out, they will need him to play 25+ minutes to have any chance tonight.
 
Kaleb Tarczewski, Arizona ($4,700) – Zeus is a solid cash game option as he has put up 40.5 fantasy points over his last 2 and is capable of getting us a double double any night.  He gets a lot of his points from offensive rebound put backs and is able to get to the line fairly often for a guy that plays 28ish minutes per game.  At his current price he has basically paid off his salary in 7 of his last 10 games which makes him very safe to do so again.  He just does not offer much more than 25 fantasy point upside.
 
James Farr, Xavier ($3,200) – I wanted to go down the list a little bit to find you a play that I think could pay off big in GPPs for you.  Farr’s priced dropped $900 after the last game thanks to a 5.25 fantasy point performance.  Prior to that game he had put up 40.5 fantasy points in his 2 previous games.  He grabs 42.4% of the rebounds when he is on the floor, which is one of the highest rates in the nation and should he be able to see 20+ minutes tonight, Farr should offer you great return on his $3.2K salary.
 

 

That’s what we have for today, and hopefully its a great day for you guys.  Hit me up on twitter (@Razzle11Grinds) if you have any questions or even news to share.  I will certainly do my best to share injury news.