Today’s CBB Targets break down the college basketball slate we have with a look at the studs, sleepers, and mid-range players you want to have  in your lineups.

Game Analysis

The slate consists of five games today and four of them are not really expected to be that close. It’s a very tricky slate, because those blowouts tend to only produce one or two guys that make value. If they become games where the benches are cleared with a few minutes left or even if the winning team just decides to slow the pace it could really produce some sub par DK point totals. The game to target heaviest is probably Nova and Illinois as it is the closest spread with the second highest total.

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GUARD TARGETS

Studs

  • Rayvonte Rice, Illinois ($8200) – Best player for Illinois is coming off a sub par game where he made only 1 of 7 FG attempts, but hit 8/8 from the free throw line. The points is not as big a concern to me as the lack of other stats which usually bolster his stat line. I’m going to chalk that up as a bad game where he played more of a facilitator role due to his team not really needing him to be the star. If they are going to beat Nova today though I would expect him to be heavily involved. As mentioned this should be a close game down to the end so I also think he sees a full allotment of minutes and produces a nice number around 30 DK points.

 

  • James Blackmon, Indiana ($7600) – Long range Specialist for the Hoosiers is not usually the type of player I love for daily fantasy. He basically gets very few assists and defensive stats a game, but here’s what I like about him. In the games where he has played at least 30 minutes he has averaged over 20 points and over 6 three point attempts. He has had over 30 DK points in 4 games already this season and that is a good return on a slightly depressed price for him. Indiana/Louisville game has the highest O/U on the evening and if the Hoosiers are going to keep it close I expect them to try and get Blackmon going early and often in this one.

 

Value

  • Darrun Hilliard, Villanova ($5500) – The man expected to be the key for Nova this year has not disappointed, but also not really stepped up as expected. His price has slowly risen from $4700 to $5500 today and I think the key for him is getting a few more of his long range shots to drop. Nova is going to need him to score tonight and he has taken at least 5 three point shots in each of his last 3 games. Again here I forsee an uptick from his low 20 minute a game average as this one will not be the laugher a few of the previous ones have been. The guards for Nova love to shoot the 3 and that plays nicely with the bonus DK offers for doing so.

 

  • Dylan Ennis, Villanova ($6400) – I’ll admit I had no idea who he was before this season, but as a big fan of Wildcat coach Jay Wright I watch Nova play often and this guy impressed me. I especially like his game for fantasy purposes as he fills the stat sheet in all the right spots. He probably only scores 10-12 real life points, but he rebounds very well for a guard and controls the ball so he racks up some assists. He is also a plus defender and gets his hands on a few passes every game for a couple steals. I like him tonight because a guy who stuffs a stat sheet in a close game where he should see an increase in his usual minutes points to a breakout performance.

 

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FORWARD TARGETS

Studs

  • Stanley Johnson, Arizona, ($8100) – Frosh has been living up to the Hype so far for the Wildcats and despite the rising price I am going back to the well once again here. He is a guy who always scores double digits, grabs his share of the rebounds, and the kicker for me is his defensive abilities. He already has multiple 3 steal games early in his career and I expect Arizona to be turning over Utah Valley in this one. The O/U and spread are curiously low, so on a night where we expect a few blowouts I think this one stays a little closer and therefore makes it not the worst game to target a good player in.

 

  • Georges Niang, Iowa State ($9700) – Iowa State forward is one of the best in the country. He is a double double machine who is already averaging close to 20 points, 7 rebounds, and 4 assists per game. He is one of the best players in the whole Big 12 and you should not be too overly concerned about his high price. Watch him play and you will realize it is justified. My only hesitation is whether or not this game turns into a blowout. Niang also hits a few 3 pointers and gets some steals, so he has multiple ways to pay off the high salary for you. His minutes are over 30 and that is a good sign as production stems from opportunity. He is a very high point per minute guy and if he gets enough run he will pay himself off.

 

  • Montrezl Harrell, Louisville ($8800) – Another pre-season all American I recommended using last time out. Harrell is the man for Louisville and has shown it consistently with four straight games at or above the 30 point mark. He has averaged 31.5 in his last four. He missed a double double against Savannah State in only 21 minutes of action by one rebound and in closer games like tonight may be, he should see upwards of 34 minutes of floor time unless Louisville blows it open. He has double doubles in his last three so adding another one is not out of the question. I think Indiana will stay in the game and fight on their home floor, so I would not expect a low minutes total from him and therefore he is going to be in play for me.

 

Value

  • Jayvaughn Pinkston, Villanova ($5400) – Here is my favorite play of the evening. Pinkston was supposed to be the star on this Nova team and so far he has just been ok. I’m expecting him to break out tonight as he has a better match up than the Nova guards do and should see more usage. Many people will gravitate towards his teammate Ochefu who has better DK points average so far and let them do it. Pinkston is the better player, gets more minutes, and has a better shot of smashing through his ceiling tonight then Ochefu who has a very limited skill set. I would not call him a must play tonight, but he will be in all of my lineups and you should at the very least consider him for yours.