Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday January 17th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Chris Paul at SAC ($9,800) – This is the sixth straight game that Paul is below $10,000, and I like it. He has scored more than 50 fantasy points in four of his last seven games. He has a favorable matchup against the Kings who are surrendering 51 fantasy points per game to point guards in their last 10 games. He’s not the most expensive point guard of tonight’s games, but could score the most fantasy points.
Other Studs: Stephen Curry $10,100, Damian Lillard $9,600, and John Wall $9,400
Beno Udrih vs. POR ($3,000) – Udrih got the start for the Grizzlies on Friday night as Mike Conley sat out with an ankle injury. Conley is already questionable for tonight’s game, so if he sits out, Udrih should see another start. If that’s the case, this is a great bargain. A starting point guard for the bare minimum, what more can you ask for? He did a solid job in last night’s game, as he scored 25.75 fantasy points. He should have no problem exceeding value once again tonight, so long as Conley is out.
Other Values: Mo Williams $5,800, Patrick Beverley $5,200, and C.J. Watson $4,900
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
Jimmy Butler vs. ATL ($8,400) – I decided to go with Butler over Harden today because it saves me $2,300. No to mention, the last time that Butler took on the Hawks he scored 22 real points and 40.8 fantasy points. The Hawks are giving up 42.2 fantasy points per game. The Bulls will need to score to keep up with the Hawks who are scoring over 100 points per game. Butler is there best offensive weapon and should see his fair amount of shots this evening.
Other Studs: James Harden $10,700 and Klay Thompson $7,300
Bojan Bogdanovic vs. WAS ($3,400) – Bogdanovic has started in the last three games. In each of those games he has scored more than 20 fantasy points, and has exceeded value. Tonight should be no different. Washington has struggled to cover shooting guards in their last 10 games. This is a rematch of last night’s game. He was able to score more than 20 fantasy points against the Wizards yesterday and should have no problem doing so again tonight. He can save you some money and let you spread it around elsewhere. Keep in mind his ceiling is not that high.
Other Values: Wesley Mathews $5,600, Kyle Korver $5,000, and Jamal Crawford $4,800
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Draymond Green at HOU ($8,100) – I’m very apprehensive about putting Green as a stud. He hasn’t been playing particularly well in recent games. He has scored less than 30 fantasy points in each of his last three games. However, he has the best matchup of the available studs tonight, and arguably the higher ceiling. He has played well against Houston this season, averaging over 30 fantasy points per game. I’m personally not paying for this position tonight, but if you do, take a shot on Green who can break out of his slump at any moment.
Other Studs: Andrew Wiggins $6,900
Derrick Williams vs. LAC ($4,300) – Once again, we run into a situation where a player could see extended minutes due to an injury of a teammate. Playing Williams is really dependent on Rudy Gay’s status for tonight. If Gay is out, Williams becomes a decent value play. He has more than 20 fantasy points in each of the last two games, including a 32.5 fantasy point performance earlier this week against the Mavs. The Clippers struggle against small forwards. They allow the third most fantasy points per game to small forwards (40.8). Williams can save you some money tonight, as well as hit value. You’re getting a two-for-one deal here.
Other values: Wilson Chandler $5,700, Trevor Ariza $5,600, and Jeff Green $4,300
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
LaMarcus Aldridge at MEM ($9,900) – This is the position I’m paying for tonight, and it begins with Aldridge. This is the first time in the last 10 games that his salary drops below $10,000. He hasn’t been playing up to par in recent games, but has still managed to score 40 or more fantasy points in three of the last four games. The last time he played against the Grizzlies he scored 19 real points, grab 10 boards, and scored 42.5 fantasy points.
Other Studs: Blake Griffin $9,800, Pau Gasol $9,300, Paul Milsap $8,500, and Greg Monroe $8,200
J.J. Hickson vs. MIN ($4,500) – Hickson has seen an increase in workload ever since the Nuggets traded away Mozgov. He has scored double digit real points and fantasy points in six consecutive games. He also has three double-doubles in that time frame. Tonight he has a great matchup against the Timberwolves who allow 45.6 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. He won’t hurt the bank and can easily give you over 20 fantasy points. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get that extra point for a double-double this evening.
Other Values: Robert Convington $5,500, Donte Montiejunas $5,400, and Taj Gibson $5,400
DeMarcus Cousins vs. LAC ($11,200) – Prior to last night’s game, Cousins scored more than 54 fantasy points in four consecutive games. In three of those games he scored more than 60 fantasy points. Let’s consider his 37.75 fantasy point performance on off night for him. Yes he’s expensive, but he offers such a high floor along with a high ceiling. The Clippers struggled against bigs. They have allowed over 50 fantasy points per game in their last five games to opposing centers. Cousins should get back on track tonight.
Other Studs: Andre Drummond $8,700, Marc Gasol $8,300, and DeAndre Jordan $7,700
Chris Kaman at MEM ($4,700) – This matchup is anything but ideal for Kaman, but his price is just too good to ignore. His minutes may have been reduced in the last two games, but he still has played over 25 minutes per game in his last two games. Not to mention he was able to score more than 30 fantasy points in just 27 minutes. He should be able to get the job done. Despite fewer minutes and at this low price, it’s decent value.
Other values: Bismack Biyombo $4,200 and Meyers Leonard $3,000