After a frightening three-game slate on Halloween, we’re back in action with a Friday night eight-gamer, loaded with different spots to target. Here’s your cheat sheet for each position:
Target worth paying up for: Russell Westbrook ($9,800) at Brooklyn Nets (17th)
Westbrook’s scored at least 50 DKFP in all four games with Houston this season, posting two triple-doubles, and coming one assist and three assists away in the other two games, respectively. It’s clear he was underpriced to begin the season, and while Russ’ price tag has caught up, it still isn’t appropriate for this matchup. The Rockets played in a game that featured 317 points on Wednesday, and the total in Brooklyn’s set at 244. Watch out.
Best value: Frank Ntilikina ($3,200) at Boston Celtics (1st)
Knicks fans will finally get what they want, as the team has confirmed it’ll give Frank the start at PG. He draws a tough matchup against a tough Boston backcourt, but he should see at least 25 minutes in this one, with the upside for over 30. That’s too valuable for near minimum salary.
This slate is loaded with plays to consider. Another value to look at would be Bryn Forbes ($4,400), who’s been playing great for the Spurs. Dejounte Murray will be out to rest, and he gets to face a Warriors defense that may be the worst in the league. Another strategy would be stacking this HOU/BKN game, and coming right back with Kyrie Irving ($9,000) opposite Westbrook.
Target worth paying up for: James Harden ($11,000) at Brooklyn Nets (18th)
Speaking of stacking in Brooklyn, Harden’s also someone you’re going to want exposure to. You can use two of the three studs here, or if you find a way, stack all three, and fill in the rest of your lineup with value — it’s definitely possible on this slate. Oh, and it doesn’t hurt that Harden’s coming off a near 80-DKFP outburst in D.C. two nights ago.
Best value: Marcus Smart ($4,900) vs. New York Knicks (13th)
Smart was huge for the Celtics during Wednesday’s comeback victory over the Bucks, stepping into the starting five and scoring 37.5 DKFP in 39 minutes. With Jaylen Brown (illness) essentially ruled out again, Smart should be required to see plenty of minutes against the Knicks, and he remains under $5,000.
SG is potentially even deeper than PG, but once you get past Harden, Luka Doncic ($9,700) is the only play I see worth paying up for. Otherwise just keep scattering in value, which there’s no shortage of.
Target worth paying up for: Jayson Tatum ($7,000) vs. New York Knicks (26th)
Tatum also played a huge role in the win over Milwaukee, and he has a higher ceiling without Brown in the lineup. Tatum has a really safe floor, playing at least 34 minutes and scoring at least 36 DKFP in each game this season. The matchup is also a plus, with the Knicks struggling on the perimeter.
Best value: Glenn Robinson III ($4,000) vs. San Antonio Spurs (26th)
I’d call Robinson the safest of many value considerations on the Warriors. With Stephen Curry (hand) going down, this team is now a mess, but it has to get points from somewhere. D’Angelo Russell ($8,900) is probably overpriced, and he will get all the attention now. Robinson’s averaging over 27 DKFP and 30 minutes over the last two games, a role that should only be on the rise. Jordan Poole ($3,200) and Damion Lee ($3,800) are also viable plays but carry more risk.
SF is very similar to SG, and also has a lot of the same players eligible for both positions. I’d say with so many good guard and center plays, I’m not going more expensive than Tatum here, and likely relying on value, while paying up at other positions. Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,900) would be my guy if I had to spend, and LeBron James ($9,900) just hasn’t put together the type of games we need at his price point.
Target worth paying up for: LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,100) at Golden State Warriors (7th)
The Warriors have been getting absolutely smoked defensively, so I love stacking the Spurs on this slate. LMA is coming off a brutal game a night early against the Clippers, but he had scored at least 36 DKFP in his first three games. This is the spot that brings 50-plus upside, as long as it’s even competitive in the fourth quarter.
Best value: TJ Leaf ($3,100) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (12th)
Leaf hasn’t done anything in his game log that would jump out at you, but this is a simple spend down spot to capitalize on the ankle injury to Myles Turner. Leaf should see his minutes rise, and the matchup against the Cavs is a plus.
In terms of pure PF plays, this is probably the weakest position on the slate. But so many good SF and C plays are also PF eligible, so there’s tons of value, just like the rest of the positions. LMA is my favorite GPP play, though.
Target worth paying up for: Andre Drummond ($9,500) at Chicago Bulls (28th)
Drummond’s been a beast in the early going this season, averaging 52 DKFP through five games. The Bulls have been one of the most pathetic defensive teams in the NBA, and have allowed the third-most DKFP per game to opposing centers. This sets up as another spot for Drummond to feast around the rim.
Best value: Daniel Theis ($4,000) vs. New York Knicks (12th)
On top of Brown and Enes Kanter (knee) remaining out, it appears very unlikely Robert Williams ($4,000) will be able to play through a hip injury. That just means an even more expanded role for Theis, who’s coming off 25.75 DKFP in 28 minutes against the Bucks. He’s in a terrific spot on this slate.
There are plenty of considerations at the center, with my second-favorite spot to pay up being Clint Capela ($7,400). Targeting a game with a total like that should be beneficial, and we know all eyes will be on Houston’s backcourt. Draymond Green ($7,700) is a potential popular play that feels like a fade to me, though. He’ll get ownership because all the other Warriors are out, but he isn’t the type of player that’ll pick up the scoring load. If anything he’ll just get frustrated in a losing effort.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:Anthony Davis (shoulder) ETP
Kyle Kuzma (foot) will make season debut; play 15-20 mins
Markieff Morris (ankle) QUESTIONABLE
Wendell Carter Jr. (thumb) PROBABLE
Derrick Rose (hamstring) PROBABLE
Otto Porter Jr. (face) PROBABLE
Jaylen Brown (illness) DOUBTFUL
Robert Williams (hip) DOUBTFUL
Stephen Curry (hand) OUT
Myles Turner (ankle) OUT
Dejounte Murray (rest) OUT
Enes Kanter (knee) OUT
Elfrid Payton (hamstring) OUT
Reggie Jackson (back) OUT
Kevon Looney (hamstring) OUT
Rajon Rondo (calf) OUT
Dennis Smith Jr. (personal) OUT
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.