Saturday’s slate is small and all four home teams are favored, including Manchester City, who likely will be the focus of almost every lineup. Of course, you still have to pick the correct Man City players to win the EPL $30K Saturday Chip Pass Special [$5K to 1st].
STUDSRicharlison, Everton vs. Sheffield United, $8,900 — The biggest decision on this slate will be which Manchester City players to spend on. I’m going a different direction with Richarlison, who might not have the same upside as some City players, but has a similar floor. He has at least three shots in all but one match this season and had a floor near 15 fantasy points last home match. Other Options — Sergio Aguero, Manchester City, $11,900; Raheem Sterling, Manchester City, $11,100; Ashley Barnes, Burnley, $7,900
VALUESChris Wood, Burnley vs. Norwich City, $5,500 — I almost went Joelinton ($5,700) here, but this is a perfect spot for Wood to grab his first goal of the season. Even though he’s had a slow start with just six shots and three shots assisted, he has a good chance to rebound. Norwich have allowed the most shots on goal and chances created, which has turned into the most goals and assists allowed.
Other Options — Joelinton, Newcastle, $5,700; David McGoldrick, Sheffield United, $5,200; Ismaila Sarr, Watford, $5,100
STUDSKevin De Bruyne, Manchester City vs. Watford, 11,400 — It’s not easy picking one Man City attacker, but De Bruyne has the highest floor and he’s made the scoresheet in every start this season. He’s not guaranteed to start, though I think he’ll get the call after being the first sub out in the midweek Champions League match. While he doesn’t have the same goal odds as others, he’s averaging more than 10 crosses per 90 minutes. Other Options — David Silva, Manchester City, $8,900; Emiliano Buendia, Norwich City, $6,900; Jonjo Shelvey, Newcastle, $6,600
VALUESIsaac Hayden, Newcastle vs. Brighton, $4,200 — Despite being favored, Hayden comes at a relative discount. The only two matches in which he didn’t reach seven fantasy points were the trips to Liverpool and Tottenham. He doesn’t do anything overly well, but he does a little bit of everything, which is why his floor has been decent in favorable situations.
Other Options — Christian Atsu, Newcastle, $5,200; Todd Cantwell, Norwich City, $4,600; John Fleck, Sheffield United, $4,500
STUDSOleksandr Zinchenko, Manchester City vs. Watford, $5,400 — The problems with Lucas Digne ($7,400) are he doesn’t allow you to spend on multiple Man City players and Sheffield United have allowed only 14 crosses to defenders. As for Zinchenko, he’s not reliant on one stat, and in addition to having the best clean sheet odds, his floor has been around seven points. Other Options — Lucas Digne, Everton, $7,400; Matthew Lowton, Burnley, $4,600; George Baldock, Sheffield United, $4,300
VALUESBen Mee, Burnley vs. Norwich City, $3,200 — This is mostly a play against Norwich because they’ve allowed the most tackles and second-most interceptions to defenders of teams on this slate. That’s the best news for Mee, who could have a floor around two points, though he also could get forward on set pieces as he has three shots and two chances created.
Other Options — Yerry Mina, Everton, $3,900; James Tarkowski, Burnley, $3,600; Chris Basham, Sheffield United, $2,900
STUDSJordan Pickford, Everton vs. Sheffield United, 5,600 — The odds don’t show it, but I think Sheffield United are just as likely to score as Watford. That points to the slightly cheaper Pickford over Ederson ($5,900). Pickford has won both home matches and that should happen again, assuming Everton rebound from their loss at Bournemouth. Other Options — Ederson, Manchester City, $5,900; Nick Pope, Burnley, $5,100; Martin Dubravka, Newcastle, $4,900
VALUESTim Krul, Norwich City at Burnley, $4,400 — Krul is allowing a lot of goals, but he also has 16 saves in his past three starts. While they’ve struggled away from home, Norwich are coming off a high in the win over Man City and there’s a chance they upend Burnley. Even if he allows a couple goals, saves will keep Krul’s floor around five points.
Other Options — Mat Ryan, Brighton, $4,600; Dean Henderson, Sheffield United, $3,900; Ben Foster, Watford, $3,600
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