The Premier League is back Tuesday and it’s another slate of deciding whether or not to fade Manchester City. It’s almost the same situation as Saturday, except City are a smaller favorite against a better back line and away from home. Either way, you’ll need to find value somewhere else for the EPL 35K Mini Midseason Main Event [$5K to 1st].
STUDSGerard Deulofeu, Watford at Aston Villa, $7,900 — This isn’t the slate to spend everything on Manchester City, so I’m mixing it up with Deulofeu. He shouldn’t be too popular even with at least nine fantasy points in each of his past eight starts. He had six shots assisted against Aston Villa less than a month ago and I think he makes the scoresheet this time. Plus, Villa have allowed the most shots and shots assisted in the past 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — Gabriel Jesus, Manchester City, $9,700; Willian, Chelsea, $9,300; Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Everton, $8,400
VALUESJordan Ayew, Crystal Palace vs. Southampton, $5,500 — There are three Crystal Palace players in this range and I’m going with the cheapest one. Prior to the Man City match, Ayew was a guaranteed five fantasy points every start and had at least 9.7 points in four of his past five. I won’t be as confident if Palace use the same formation as last match, but I assume they’ll change it up against Southampton, who gave up three second-half goals versus Wolverhampton over the weekend.
Other Options — Cenk Tosun, Crystal Palace, $6,000; Theo Walcott, Everton, $5,800; Miguel Almiron, Newcastle, $5,400
STUDSKevin De Bruyne, Manchester City at Sheffield United, $11,100 — If you use one Man City player, De Bruyne should be the guy after a floor of 27.6 points last match. He’s the most reliable player in the game and is maybe most likely to go a full 90 for City on a short week. He scored and assisted in the prior meeting against Sheffield United and while away from home, he could still rack up set-piece opportunities to reach close to a 15-point floor.
Other Options — Jack Grealish, Aston Villa, $9,000; Leandro Trossard, Brighton, $7,300; Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $6,800
VALUESAllan Saint-Maximin, Newcastle at Everton, $4,600 — Saint-Maximin is surprisingly cheap and if he wasn’t recently returning from a hamstring injury, he’d be in all of my lineups. Playing time is the main question for him on a short week after going a full 90 in his first start in more than a month. Otherwise, he’s hit at least 7.7 fantasy points in seven of his past eight starts and while Everton are the second-biggest favorite on the slate, they struggled to contain West Ham last match and will again be without Richarlison and Gylfi Sigurdsson.
Other Options — Matt Ritchie, Newcastle, $5,000; Bernard, Everton, $4,700; Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton, $4,500; Lucas Torreira, Arsenal, $4,000
STUDSLucas Digne, Everton vs. Newcastle, $7,000 — While I still like the cheaper Djibril Sidibe, it’s hard to pass up Digne when Sigurdsson isn’t there to steal corners. Digne was the exclusive set-piece taker last match en route to 14 crosses and four shots assisted. Even better for this matchup, Newcastle have allowed the most corners in the league in the last 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — Djibril Sidibe, Everton, $6,000; Cesar Azpilicueta, Chelsea, $5,300; Cedric Soares, Southampton, $4,700
VALUESShkodran Mustafi, Arsenal at Chelsea, $2,800 — Mustafi has gone a full 90 twice this season and while he doesn’t have a clean sheet, he has two shots on goal and seven interceptions. He’s set to start against Chelsea, which has forced the second-most interceptions and second-most tackles in the last 10 gameweeks. For the price, Mustafi is worth a play.
Other Options — Ezri Konsa, Aston Villa, $3,400; Emil Krafth, Newcastle, $3,300; Andreas Christensen, Chelsea, $3,300
STUDSJordan Pickford, Everton vs. Newcastle, $5,700 — No matter how Everton plays, Pickford seems to be the safest goalkeeper every week. He’s had at least six fantasy points in each of his past eight starts because even when he allows goals he usually makes a few saves, which is what happened last match. He’s also as likely to secure a clean sheet as Ederson and had 11.2 fantasy points at Newcastle less than a month ago.
Other Options — Ederson, Manchester City, $5,800; Ben Foster, Watford, $5,000; Mat Ryan, Brighton, $4,900
VALUESMartin Dubravka, Newcastle at Everton, $3,900 — On the other side of Pickford, Dubravka made seven saves in the last meeting between these teams and is almost a guarantee to make multiple saves again. He’s far from consistent, but Everton are without Richarlison and Sigurdsson, and holding them scoreless isn’t out of the cards.
Other Options — Pepe Reina, Aston Villa, $4,600; Vicente Guaita, Crystal Palace, $4,500; Dean Henderson, Sheffield United, $3,800
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