The biggest decision for Saturday’s slate is which Manchester City players to back. Of course, you could fade them completely and have a great shot at money in the EPL 30K Saturday Chip Pass Special [$5K to 1st] if Man City don’t repeat what they did last weekend.
STUDSGabriel Jesus, Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace, $9,700 — If Man City run out the same starting XI as last weekend, I’d bet on Jesus. In addition to being less popular than Aguero, he’s a bit cheaper despite averaging similar numbers and more shots per 90 minutes (4.71 to 4.60). Not to mention, you can’t bet on an Aguero hat-trick again. Jesus is the cheapest of the high-end City players and I think that’s worth a look if he starts, especially in tournament play.
Other Options — Sergio Aguero, Manchester City, $10,700; Riyad Mahrez, Manchester City, $10,500; Danny Ings, Southampton, $8,300; Gylfi Sigurdsson, Everton, $7,500
VALUESLeandro Trossard, Brighton vs. Aston Villa, $6,800 — This is a bit pricey for a value forward, but if you save money in the midfield, this can work. I wanted to get Trossard into my squad because he’s gone a full 90 the last three matches, producing at least 9.3 fantasy points in each. If Pascal Gross and Aaron Mooy fail to start like last weekend, Trossard will also be on the majority of set pieces. Either way, Aston Villa have allowed the most shots and shots assisted in the last 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — Teemu Pukki, Norwich City, $6,300; Callum Wilson, Bournemouth, $5,200; Pedro Neto, Wolverhampton, $5,100
STUDSEmiliano Buendia, Norwich City vs. Bournemouth, $8,700 — Buendia has at least 12.4 fantasy points in his last seven starts and at least 20 in each of his last four at home. Now he faces Bournemouth, who have lost their last five matches against teams in the bottom half of the table in addition to allowing the third-most shots and fifth-most corners in the last 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — Kevin De Bruyne, Manchester City, $11,000; Jack Grealish, Aston Villa, $8,400; Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $7,200
VALUESKenny McLean, Norwich City vs. Bournemouth, $4,000 — I don’t usually write about players on the same team at the same position, but this matchup is worth focusing on. McLean has at least five fantasy points in each of his last 10 starts and should hit that number against struggling Bournemouth. Only a month ago, McLean was priced at $6,100 home against Sheffield United.
Other Options — Bernard, $4,700; Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton, $4,500; Romain Saiss, Wolverhampton, $3,900
STUDSDjibril Sidibe, Everton at West Ham, $5,500 — Lucas Digne got the assist last match, but take that away and he was less valuable than Sidibe, who has at least 8.9 fantasy points in his last seven starts. Sidibe will never have the same upside as Digne, who takes corners, but he’s consistent and should get up the field plenty against West Ham, who seems to struggle whenever Lukasz Fabianski isn’t in the squad.
Other Options — Joao Cancelo, Manchester City, $5,700; Benjamin Mendy, Manchester City, $5,200; Ahmed El Mohamady, Aston Villa, $4,500
VALUESChristoph Zimmermann, Norwich City vs. Bournemouth, $2,700 — Zimmermann doesn’t have a floor much higher than two points, but this is one of his better chances of the season for a clean sheet. Bournemouth has failed to score in their last three league matches and that may be enough to consider one of the cheapest defenders on the slate.
Other Options — Bernardo, Brighton, $4,100; Mason Holgate, Everton, $3,100; Jan Bednarek, Southampton, $2,800
STUDSJordan Pickford, Everton at West Ham, $5,000 — I’m not sure any of the top goalkeepers are worth it so I’ll go with Pickford, who has at least 6.6 fantasy points in his last seven starts. Whenever he’s allowed a goal in that period, he’s been able to make three or more saves, which is keeping him relevant. West Ham plays better at home, but it’s not like they’re guaranteed for multiple goals.
Other Options — Ederson, Manchester City, $5,900; Mat Ryan, Brighton, $5,600; Tim Krul, Norwich City, $5,100
VALUESDean Henderson, Sheffield United at Arsenal, $4,200 — Arsenal are the fourth-biggest favorite on the slate for a reason. They’ve scored multiple goals in just one of their last four home league matches and won’t have suspended Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. As for Henderson, he’s allowing less than one goal per match and held the Gunners scoreless last meeting.
Other Options — Alex McCarthy, Southampton, $4,900; David Martin, West Ham, $4,500; Orjan Nyland, Aston Villa, $4,100
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (username: rotozdroik) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.