The Saturday slate returns with five matches and five decent-sized favorites in the EPL 30K Chip Pass Special [$5K to 1st]. There are plenty of options to choose from and the goal will be to avoid the team who will get upset, similar to Chelsea in recent home matches. Saturday also brings the likely return of Jamie Vardy, who has missed the last couple matches.
STUDSAdama Traore, Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle, $8,500 — Traore isn’t most likely to score, but he may have the best value in cash games. He’s reasonably cheap for someone who has hit double-digit fantasy points in nine of his last 10 starts with the lone down match coming against Man City and he should hit his usual crossing numbers at home against Newcastle.
Other Options — Willian, Chelsea, $9,900; Raul Jimenez, Wolverhampton, $8,200; Jamie Vardy, Leicester City, $8,100
VALUESSteven Alzate, Brighton at Everton, $4,700 — Alzate has gone a full 90 in two of the last three, producing 15.3 fantasy points in those matches. Playing time isn’t guaranteed, but if he starts, he’s surprisingly cheap for someone who has been active when on the pitch, averaging 1.25 shots, 1.15 shots assisted and 1.54 tackles won per 90 minutes.
Other Options — Leandro Trossard, Brighton, $6,100; Pedro Neto, Wolverhampton, $5,900; Chris Wood, Burnley, $5,300
STUDSJames Maddison, Leicester City vs. Southampton, $10,100 — Maddison is the guy I’d spend up for on this slate. While Southampton has gotten some positive results of late, I’ll bet on Maddison to hit his regular numbers, reaching at least 24 points in his last four starts, not against Man City or Liverpool. Helping the situation, Southampton has allowed the fifth-most corners in the last 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — Joao Moutinho, Wolverhampton, $8,000; Emiliano Buendia, Norwich City, $7,100; James Ward-Prowse, Southampton, $7,000
VALUESNemanja Matic, Manchester United vs. Norwich City, $3,100 — Matic doesn’t do much in fantasy, but he’s back from injury and has started the last two league matches. There’s a chance he does nothing and gets two fantasy points, but there’s also the chance he’s involved more than usual in the final third against a team sitting at the bottom of the table.
Other Options — Matt Ritchie, Newcastle, $5,700; Jorginho, Chelsea, $4,700; Hamza Choudhury, Leicester City, $3,000
STUDSDjibril Sidibe, Everton vs. Brighton, $5,500 — It’s unclear why Lucas Digne is more expensive than Sidibe, as they serve the same role in the new Everton system. Sidibe doesn’t cost as much and he’s accruing more defensive stats, which has led to at least 8.9 fantasy points in each of his last six starts, the trip to Man City included. Those defensive stats should give Sidibe a better floor than Digne because Brighton doesn’t allow many crosses.
Other Options — Cesar Azpilicueta, Chelsea, $5,700; Roberto Pereira, Leicester City, $5,400; Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Manchester United, $5,000
VALUESPhil Jones, Manchester United vs. Norwich City, $3,000 — I was going cheaper but noticed Jones, who is expected to start over the injured Harry Maguire. Jones is unreliable, yet he doesn’t cost anything and has decent odds to secure a clean sheet against Norwich. Even if that doesn’t happen, there should be some defensive work available given how busy Maguire has been no matter the matchup.
Other Options — Yerry Mina, Everton, $3,200; Florian Lejeune, Newcastle, $3,100; Christoph Zimmermann, Norwich City, $2,500
STUDSRui Patricio, Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle, $5,700 — Patricio had some difficult matchups over the holidays, but he’s in play for a clean sheet against Newcastle in the match with the lowest implied goal total. Newcastle is struggling with injuries and while they may get some players back, that doesn’t mean they’ll catch fire, having scored three goals in their last five matches.
Other Options — David de Gea, Manchester United, $5,800; Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester City, $5,600; Jordan Pickford, Everton, $5,400
VALUESNick Pope, Burnley at Chelsea, $3,600 — Pope is worth a bet because Chelsea has failed to score in their last two home league matches against Bournemouth and Southampton. He hasn’t been as consistent as prior seasons, but he’s made four saves in two of his last three starts.
Other Options — Mat Ryan, Brighton, $4,200; Martin Dubravka, Newcastle, $3,800; Tim Krul, Norwich City, $3,700
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