It’s a full slate Saturday, but it’s one that will be dominated by Liverpool, who are by far the biggest favorite. If you decide to fade them, you’ll be playing with fire, but if they don’t score more than one or two goals, there is a route to winning the EPL 30K Saturday Chip Pass Special [$5K to 1st], assuming you back the correct players.
STUDSMohamed Salah, Liverpool vs. Southampton, $10,900 — It’ll be hard to get around using Salah on this slate because if you fade him, he could easily repeat his performance from Wednesday (27.3 fantasy points). Liverpool is the biggest favorite and without Sadio Mane in the squad, Salah will get more opportunities. Salah has 15 shots in his last three starts and should reach a floor of at least 10 points against Southampton.
Other Options — Roberto Firmino, Liverpool, $9,900; Richarlison, Everton, $8,200; Gerard Deulofeu, Watford, $7,700
VALUESDominic Solanke, Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa, $4,100 — Solanke doesn’t have much of a floor, but he’s set to start again and added an assist last match. There’s a chance he barely touches the ball and has two fantasy points, but Bournemouth is the second-biggest favorite on the slate and that could lead to another appearance on the scoresheet for Solanke.
Other Options — Callum Wilson, Bournemouth, $6,100; Anwar El Ghazi, Aston Villa, $5,900; Joelinton, Newcastle, $5,900
STUDSEmiliano Buendia, Norwich City at Newcastle, $8,400 — Yes, Buendia is back (at least we hope so). He’s set to return from a quad injury Saturday against Newcastle, who have allowed the second-most corners and third-most crosses in the last 10 gameweeks. Buendia has at least 12.4 fantasy points in each of his last eight starts and a lot of those points have come from set-pieces and crosses.
Other Options — Jack Grealish, Aston Villa, $9,100; Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $7,200; Aaron Mooy, Brighton, $6,900; Robert Snodgrass, West Ham, $6,800
VALUESMax Meyer, Crystal Palace vs. Sheffield United, $3,400 — Not many will be diving this deep in the midfield, but Meyer could hold decent value. He’s set to start due to Cenk Tosun’s injury and while he hasn’t shown much upside, he’s hit at least six fantasy points in each of his three home starts this season despite failing to go more than 75 minutes in two of them. Meyer is cheap, plays on the wing and is home, and I think he’s worth a bet.
Other Options — Ondrej Duda, Norwich City, $5,400; Mark Noble, West Ham $5,100; Nabil Bentaleb, Newcastle, $4,600
STUDSTrent Alexander-Arnold, Liverpool vs. Southampton, $8,000 — Similar to Salah, it’ll be hard not to use Alexander-Arnold in this spot. He’s almost a guarantee to hit 10 fantasy points and should have no problem doing that home against Southampton, who he had 14 crosses against in the first meeting. The other reason he’s hard to fade is that he has 10 assists this season, which pushes his upside higher than most defenders.
Other Options — Matt Ritchie, Newcastle, $6,000; Djibril Sidibe, Everton, $5,400; Aaron Cresswell, West Ham, $5,100
VALUESChristoph Zimmermann, Norwich City at Newcastle, $2,500 — I’m not opposed to using two high-end defenders, but if you need to save money, Zimmermann remains at a minimal price. He never falls into the negative and has at least four fantasy points in each of his last three starts. Even better, Newcastle has allowed the most points to defenders this season.
Other Options — Arthur Masuaku, West Ham, $4,200; Nathan Ake, Bournemouth, $3,300; Jamaal Lascelles, Newcastle, $3,000
STUDSMartin Dubravka, Newcastle vs. Norwich City, $5,100 — Dubravka is averaging 4.08 saves per start and that’s kept his fantasy value respectable no matter the matchup. Now at home, he has a chance for a clean sheet against Norwich, who have one goal in their last three away matches. He’s not as easy to trust as Alisson, but he’s cheaper.
Other Options — Alisson, Liverpool, $5,900; Aaron Ramsdale, Bournemouth, $5,200; Lukasz Fabianski, West Ham, $4,700
VALUESPepe Reina, Aston Villa at Bournemouth, $4,100 — Reina isn’t making many saves, but that’s because Villa are playing more defensive with five in the back and that’s led to better results. They’ve allowed one goal in each of their last three matches in all competitions and that could continue against Bournemouth, who had lost four of five home matches prior to beating Brighton last week.
Other Options — Mat Ryan, Brighton, $4,500; Vicente Guaita, Crystal Palace, $4,400; Tim Krul, Norwich City, $4,200
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (username: rotozdroik) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.