All six home sides are favored in Saturday’s slate, which should make for a nice variety of lineups. Tottenham and Chelsea players likely will be the most popular, though it might be wise to consider one or two players from the Bournemouth-Norwich fixture for the EPL $40K Mini Golden Goal [$10K to 1st].
STUDSTammy Abraham, Chelsea vs. Newcastle, $9,400 — Abraham has been this season’s Harry Kane. Per 90 minutes, he’s averaging 4.06 shots and 1.41 shots assisted compared to Kane’s 3.02 shots and .76 shots assisted. Abraham is slightly behind Kane in terms of goal odds, yet Chelsea are expected to score more. Coming at a discount, Abraham is the play. Other Options — Son Heung-Min, Tottenham, $9,700; Willian, Chelsea, $9,600; Callum Wilson, Bournemouth, $7,000
VALUESDwight McNeil, Burnley at Leicester City, $5,300 — I wrote about Wesley in this spot two weeks ago, and he was the best player on the slate. That might not happen for McNeil, but he has at least 6.8 fantasy points in every match this season. Leicester aren’t a favorable matchup so upside could be limited, but a floor of seven points is good enough for the price.
Other Options — Neal Maupay, Brighton, $6,200; Joshua King, Bournemouth, $5,800; Miguel Almiron, Newcastle, $4,100
STUDSEmiliano Buendia, Norwich City at Bournemouth, 6,700 — Buendia could be considered a value play, but I expect him to score as much as the most expensive midfielders. Despite failing to find the back of the net, he’s hit at least 13 fantasy points in six of eight matches with both of his down outings coming away. While this is at Bournemouth, they’ve allowed the third-most corners and sixth-most crosses in the league. Buendia is the only player taking set pieces for Norwich, and he’s averaging 6.06 crosses per 90 minutes. Other Options — Mason Mount, Chelsea, $9,100; Jack Grealish, Aston Villa, $7,800; Adama Traore, Wolverhampton, $6,900
VALUESMarvelous Nakamba, Aston Villa at Norwich City, $3,500 — Nakamba remains one of the cheapest midfielders because he has no upside in a defensive role. However, he has at least five fantasy points in his past three starts, and that’s acceptable for the price. In Villa’s most recent home match, he assisted three shots and completed a season-high 47 passes.
Other Options — Allan Saint-Maximin, Newcastle, $4,300; Dennis Praet, Leicester City, $3,800; Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton, $3,700
STUDSDiego Rico, Bournemouth vs. Norwich City, $5,600 — Rico might be the chalkiest play on the slate, but it’ll be hard to fade him in cash games. He has at least 9.2 fantasy points in five starts and has 20 crosses in his past two. Norwich have allowed the most crosses and corners in the league, which should lead to another 10 points for Rico, especially at home. Other Options — Serge Aurier, Tottenham, $5,500; Ben Chilwell, Leicester City, $5,000; Matt Targett, Aston Villa, $4,800
VALUESWilly Boly, Wolverhampton vs. Southampton, $3,500 — Boly has been relatively consistent for a value defender, averaging 1.72 tackles won and 1.72 interceptions per 90 minutes. Conveniently, Southampton have forced the fourth-most tackles and fourth-most interceptions to defenders. Wolverhampton have back-to-back clean sheets and another one could push Boly to the 9.4 points he had last home match.
Other Options — Jannik Vestergaard, Southampton, $3,200; Lewis Dunk, Brighton, $3,000; Christian Kabasele, Watford, $2,500
STUDSRui Patricio, Wolverhampton vs. Southampton, $5,600 — Wolverhampton have three clean sheets in their past three matches in all competitions and are worth a bet against Southampton, who have eight goals from 107 shots. Any of the favorites can be used, but Patricio has 11 saves in his past three starts and that should give him a decent floor even if he allows a goal. Other Options — Kasper Schmeichel, Leicester City, $5,700; Paulo Gazzaniga, Tottenham, $5,700; Aaron Ramsdale, Bournemouth, $5,500
VALUESMartin Dubravka, Newcastle at Chelsea, $3,700 — Newcastle have been poor in recent away matches, but this is still a team that won at Tottenham and held Man United scoreless two weeks ago. Dubravka has made multiple saves in all but two matches while Chelsea have forced the second-most saves with 18 goals from 50 shots on target. Of course, if you use Abraham, I wouldn’t touch Dubravka.
Other Options — Mat Ryan, Brighton, $4,600; Michael McGovern, Norwich City, $4,200; Nick Pope, Burnley, $3,900
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (username: rotozdroik) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.