There are matches throughout Boxing Day, but this slate is only for one time period, so you won’t have to worry about who is going to start in a later contest. Chelsea is the biggest favorite, yet lost to Bournemouth last home match. They’ll still be popular in the EPL $30K Mini Boxing Day Classic [$5K to 1st], but they may not be needed to have success.
STUDSTammy Abraham, Chelsea vs. Southampton, $9,000 — Willian ($10,200) has the best floor on the slate, but when the player with the best odds to score (Abraham) is more than $1,000 cheaper than the most expensive player, you save the money. Abraham has nine shots in his past three starts and while he hasn’t hit the back of the net, Southampton has allowed multiple goals in five of its past seven away matches, and it’d be a surprise if Abraham wasn’t involved.
Other Options — Willian, Chelsea, $10,200; Wilfried Zaha, Crystal Palace, $7,900; Teemu Pukki, Norwich City, $7,100
VALUESChristian Benteke, Crystal Palace vs. West Ham, $5,200 — Benteke’s price isn’t rising despite racking up seven shots (four on goal) in his past two starts. Sure, Palace hasn’t looked great in the attack, but it is at least getting opportunities and that’ll continue against West Ham, who has been one of the more unpredictable teams away from home, winning three matches, drawing three and losing three.
Other Options — Callum Wilson, Bournemouth, $5,800; Troy Deeney, Watford, $5,600; Chris Wood, Burnley, $5,500
Jack Grealish, Aston Villa vs. Norwich City, $9,500 — Grealish’s price continues to rise and for good reason. Even if he didn’t score last match, he would’ve been close to 20 fantasy points and he has at least 10 points in his past six home starts and has surpassed 20 in four of them. I wouldn’t fade him yet because Norwich has allowed the most corners and second-most crosses this season, and that’s where Grealish thrives.
Other Options — Emiliano Buendia, Norwich City, $7,400; Ryan Fraser, Bournemouth, $7,300; James Ward-Prowse, Southampton, $6,600
Declan Rice, West Ham at Crystal Palace, $3,200 — Rice is cheap because he has no upside as a defensive midfielder. However, that doesn’t mean he can’t produce having posted at least 4.7 fantasy points in each of his past three starts mostly from nine tackles won and eight interceptions. Crystal Palace is struggling offensively and has given up the most tackles won in the past 10 gameweeks.
Other Options — Ashley Westwood, Burnley, $4,500; Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Southampton, $4,300; Philip Billing, Bournemouth, $3,300
STUDSPatrick van Aanholt, Crystal Palace vs. West Ham, $4,900 — This is a reasonable spot to jump back on Lucas Digne ($6,500), but I’ll test my luck and hope to receive similar production from van Aanholt, who is better at home. He has at least 6.4 fantasy points in his past four home starts in which he went the full 90 and three of those came against Liverpool, Leicester and Man City. Throw in solid odds for a clean sheet and he could come close to 10 points.
Other Options — Lucas Digne, Everton, $6,500; George Baldock, Sheffield United, $5,600; Matt Targett, Aston Villa, $5,000
Christoph Zimmermann, Norwich City at Aston Villa, $3,100 — I’ll keep using Zimmermann until his price shoots up. He doesn’t cost anything and has at least 3.9 fantasy points in his past five starts, none of them being clean sheets. He provides a couple tackles and interceptions every match and that won’t change against Villa.
Other Options — Charlie Taylor, Burnley, $3,700; John Egan, Sheffield United, $3,500; Mamadou Sakho, Crystal Palace, $3,300
Dean Henderson, Sheffield United vs. Watford, $5,400 — Sheffield United isn’t playing like a promoted club and has won its past three matches. That’s led to at least 10 fantasy points for Henderson in each of those contests and he could be headed for similar numbers. Watford got a random win against Man United over the weekend, but that doesn’t mean you can trust them with five goals in nine away matches.
Other Options — Bernd Leno, Arsenal, $5,200; Tom Heaton, Aston Villa, $5,100; Vicente Guaita, Crystal Palace, $5,000
Roberto Jimenez, West Ham at Crystal Palace, $4,400 — This spot goes to whoever starts for West Ham, but Roberto may be the only one who’s healthy for this match. While he’s been mostly bad in every start, he’s viable because of Crystal Palace, which has scored one goal in its past three matches.
Other Options — Tim Krul, Norwich City, $4,400; Aaron Ramsdale, Bournemouth, $4,300; Nick Pope, Burnley, $4,000
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