We head into a huge Saturday. There are twelve games and none of those early tilts so there is maximum value anywhere and everywhere. We mean EVERYWHERE!
This will be nuts! Let’s go!
Brian Elliott ($7,700) – There will be a value theme all throughout Saturday as prices are incredibly solid across the board. High end talent can be had for lower than normal prices. Elliott is no exception as he has a .925 save percentage for the season while producing solid win totals. Toronto figures to be a good sacrificial lamb for a St. Louis team needing a win. This has that look of a 25 shot, 1 GA game for Elliott and a Blues win most importantly.
Devan Dubnyk ($7,100) – We will get on board the “Dubnyk Train” one more time as Minnesota entertains the Arizona Coyotes, who are in full rebuild mode. He pitched an easy 16 save shutout against the Buffalo Sabres and though he figures to see a little more rubber here, his price tag is still quite attractive to the DFS player. The next stretch of games figures to be pretty winnable for the Wild so you may see Dubnyk quite often the next couple weeks here….at least until his $$$ value goes too far up.
Others to consider: Frederik Andersen ($8,600). — We have to wait on the LA game to see who starts…then again it is LA so expect a close game but fairly low to mid scoring.
Tyler Seguin ($7,400) – There is no excuse for this and basically this is like taking candy from a baby. Seguin was angry after the 2-1 loss to Winnipeg. He had several chances but could not cash in on Ondrej Pavelec of all people. At this point, one almost feels sorry for Washington as Justin Peters will be in net. You will see numerous prices throughout this post that make you just scream. Do not worry and just play Seguin like one normally would.
Claude Giroux ($7,100) – Philadelphia scored seven goals on Monday and have not scored since. Don’t worry as they play the Buffalo Sabres. Giroux should be able to snap out of his two game malaise along with the Flyers in general. The price is very solid if you use our $1500 per point theory. The Flyers should be able to at least out shoot and out chance the Buffalo Sabres. When we say Buffalo is historically bad, that means Flyer players might be worth having on Saturday.
Joe Pavelski ($6,500) – There is so many players that you can choose from. Six goals in ten games is hard to pass up although something tells me the center will fire more pucks on net (2.1 per game the last ten). His season average is over three but if the pucks go in the net, does it matter? Calgary gives up lots of chances but hey sometimes you have to take a shot. In this case, this might just work if you pair Pavelski with another Shark perhaps? Play the guy already!
Others I like: Anze Kopitar ($6,100), Tyler Johnson ($6,100), Pavel Datsyuk ($5,700), Nicklas Backstrom ($5,300).
Value: Jay Beagle ($2,700), Chris VandeVelde ($2,500).
Zach Parise ($6,800) – Yes the multiple point night may have been a sign of as good or even better things to come. Parise looked like he was finally enjoying hockey again and that is just what he needs right now which is great for those who own him on Saturday. Winning cures a lot of ills. You may want to consider Jason Pominville as well and even Thomas Vanek riding shotgun as stacking options at least one more tim against an Arizona team that is looking really bad out there.
Jakub Voracek ($6,200) – The last 140+ minutes have been a disaster for all Flyers and especially the top line. What better cure than to play Buffalo? That seems like a plan. Obviously we had to recommend Voracek after giving the thumbs up to Giroux. Buffalo’s penalty kill is almost as bad as Philadelphia’s. This could be interesting. Buffalo’s power play is pretty rancid too and can be ripe for shorthanded opportunities. This could be just what the Philadelphia first line really needs.
Filip Forsberg ($5,400) – Prices like this are just too funny. Even if Forsberg gets an assist and four shots, there you go. This is below the price per slot for DraftKings. Even if he has slumped below four daily points per game in the last ten contests. James Neal had two goals on Friday night which means the Neal-Forsberg duo is more or less back. Keep an eye on line rushes to see what Peter Laviolette does before the game but Forsberg is a good idea here.
Others I like: Vladimir Tarasenko ($7,200), Kyle Okposo ($6,000), Nikita Kucherov ($4,900), Mike Hoffman ($4,300).
Value: Tobias Rieder ($2,900), Matthew Nieto ($2,600).
Kevin Shattenkirk ($5,500) – Defense prices are almost insane too! St. Louis entertaining Toronto at home and Shattenkirk is approaching just about a point a game on the season. He averages nearly four daily points per night. Yet his price is almost right at DraftKings average which means he is a must play especially in GPP’s and even some cash tournaments. Why wouldn’t you take him anyway? After all, it will help you afford higher priced talent too.
P.K. Subban ($5,500) – It is just too easy as the Islanders scored six against Pittsburgh and though Montreal is without Carey Price, something wacky happens when these teams play in Montreal. Subban scored a critical goal after a very sluggish game in Columbus. Maybe that will get him to shoot the puck more. That is a DFS owner’s hope. Maybe just maybe this starts a bit of a point streak that would be much appreciated for those who want to pair him with Pacioretty.
T.J. Brodie ($5,100) – This is a quick and fun shot as Calgary may not score a lot but you could take Giordano or Brodie at this stage. Either way the price is still pretty good and expect a decent night. The question becomes how lucky is Antti Niemi? Just watch the Toronto game because literally the Maple Leafs could have scored five or six goals. San Jose and Calgary either could be low scoring, up and down hockey, or some mix. That is why you may want Brodie in your lineup.
Others I like: , Mark Streit ($4,700), Jared Spurgeon ($4,300), Dougie Hamilton ($3,800).
Value: Danny DeKeyser ($2,700), Matt Dumba ($2,600), Marc Methot ($2,500).
Thanks for reading guys and hopefully the picks help you out. If you have any questions, fire them away at me on twitter @ChrisWasselTHW and i’ll do my best to answer them.
Good luck today!