The NHL Game Breakdown keeps on keeping on here on DraftKings. We take an in-depth look at all of the games on the schedule each day in terms of expected pace of play, Vegas lines, and defense vs. position match ups. Wednesday features six games in total which is a bit high but this is a very spread out week mostly due to the NBA being on vacation.
NHL $30,000 Face-Off
We have a nice way to make some big money in a GPP for tonight.
The news is coming in as always but there will be updates on Twitter because of the nature of Wednesday’s volatile slate. All injury updates will be done via Twitter so we can keep up on the latest. Watch out for the flu!
Canadiens @ Senators
This has every look like it could be a trap game for Montreal. Ottawa has been playing a little better of late and Carey Price has nearly eight points per contest in DraftKings. That is just an insane number which has to come down eventually. However, who knows who winds up starting for Ottawa and the Senators do give up tons of scoring chances. Their offense can be quite potent at times and Montreal’s can be one that relies on the Max Pacioretty line a little too much. There are so many compares and contrasts with this one that a book could be written. Hell, there are even price inflation moves that are making DFS players shake their heads. You really almost have to start Carey Price in GPP formats just because of this type of slate but there are some risky plays. Starting the Ottawa goalie is not one of them. Watch for Mike Hoffman in this game. The Senators have some strong players on the wings, especially Mark Stone and that could give the Habs fits. This will be a harder game on the surface for Montreal even if the score does not necessarily reflect that. The Habs desperately need balanced scoring and here is a game with opportunity for that. Will it happen?
Money Line: NL , O/U 5 (very likely to move)
Players to Watch
- Carey Price, G, Habs ($9500)
- P.K. Subban, D, Habs ($7400)
- Kyle Turris, C, Sens ($5500)
- Bobby Ryan, RW, Sens ($5700)
Red Wings @ Blackhawks
These teams could play this close to the vest and that seems like the likely scenario despite the fact that Detroit can play either style and often it almost switches from game to game. There is inflationary and deflationary pricing all over this game. Jonathan Toews and Marian Hossa especially are cases of over reactions because of some very good games. In Hossa’s case, it is because he has had seven goals in five games. It is often just how it is with pricing algorithms and we have to roll along with the punches. The challenge continues and the struggle is real. Jimmy Howard is likely to face Corey Crawford and the question is if both of these guys remember their last games out, it could be a very long night for some electric players. Curiosity always seems to win out and even on defense, the team that stays together, wins together. Again this game comes down to do you trust the goaltending or the respective offenses. It is almost a one or the other ones. The offense should have its moments here but the netminders will steal the show in critical times. Anytime you basically see top ten ranks across the board for both teams, the vest gets monitored heavily. Also watch out how both teams move the puck from their blue line, that could be vital too.
Line: Blackhawks -170. O/U 5
Players to Watch
- Patrick Sharp, LW, Hawks ($5300)
- Jonathan Toews, C, Hawks ($7300)
- Tomas Tatar, LW, Wings ($5100)
- Darren Helm, C, Wings ($4300)
Wild @ Flames
The game that has a lot of ways it could go and consider that Devan Dubnyk has given up six goals in his last two games. Now the problem is goaltending and Calgary have been a bit dicey of late. Goalies seem a little skittish in this one for some reason. Those prices are a bit inflated considering what has gone on lately but less about performance. Even the Giordano price bump on defense was definitely noticed and look he is a very good player but it is what it is. The Vegas line is undecided, the bookies are too, and the media pundits are just as confusing. How Minnesota’s 2nd line matches up against Calgary’s 2nd defensive pairing could be fun. Even T.J. Brodie lately has been making some dire mistakes for Calgary. Minnesota has shown some defensive holes and they will need to sure those up if they intend on pulling off a W from the state of 10,000 lakes. Can Jiri Hudler and Johnny Gaudreau build on the momentum from the Boston comeback? Will Minnesota play a solid road game? The jury is still out.
Line: Wild -115. O/U 5
Players to Watch
- Thomas Vanek, LW, Wild ($4300)
- Ryan Suter, D, Wild ($5000)
- Jiri Hudler, RW, Flames ($4900)
- Mark Giordano, D, Flames ($7500)
Lightning @ Ducks
Here come the Ducks! This team is becoming tougher and tougher to figure out. They look incredible at times and then look like a ton of crap at others. Tampa has given up 17 goals in their last five games and Anaheim has given up 19. Talk about a big time ouch! There is a lot of firepower on both ends and too many signs are just indicating the over to still hit. The triplets from Tampa are quite cheap but so is Perry and Getzlaf. When pricing is like this, it is all about taking advantage of while it is there then balancing realistic point expectations. Too many times, we get caught in value, value, value. Hey, now is the time to look at staying away from the goaltending in this game unless you are willing to risk spending less to get Vasilevskiy or Gibson. Just check the Anaheim beat this afternoon and some of the Tampa beat as well. These are decisions tough as it is that can be magnified when made worse.
Line: Ducks -140, O/U 5.5
Players to Watch
- Steven Stamkos, LW, Bolts ($8900)
- Nikita Kucherov, RW, Bolts ($4800)
- Ryan Getzlaf, C, Ducks ($6500)
- Cam Fowler, D, Ducks ($3500)
Bruins @ Oilers
I was looking at this and the damn over just keeps hitting here too with the lower over/under. Boston has had problems scoring but their opponents have not of late. The fact that Ben Scrivens has to start at not a 100% level should raise flags. People should be wary also because Edmonton can score. Todd Richards has them playing pretty well. If he just had goaltending, I know i hear it every single day. Also look at both second lines because they could really capitalize off one enough. Defense is one position that is DFS forbidden from Edmonton and Boston is almost approaching that status already. It keeps everything to the forwards because starting Tuukka Rask in this could be a nasty proposition. Hey, no one said DFS is perfect. Sometimes you really have to take a boatload of risks just to win a few bucks. Neither of these teams is particularly good at one phase consistently at the moment.
Line: Bruins -190, O/U 5
Players to Watch
- Patrice Bergeron, C, Coyotes ($7900)
- Dougie Hamilton, D, Coyotes ($4500)
- Benoit Pouillot, LW, Oilers ($3300)
- Ben Scrivens, G, Oilers ($6600)
Kings @ Avalanche
The two teams have combined for some pretty wild outcomes of late. A bulls-eye should be squarely placed on Jonathan Quick, though he has looked much better of late. Los Angeles has won five straight, out scoring their opponents 19-11 in that span. The refurbished “That 70’s Line is on a mission but do note the increased prices of Jarome Iginla. Watch out to see if Matt Duchene can keep up his recent stretch of hot play. Once you get Los Angeles down to their second and third defensive pairings. they can be very vulnerable. The same can be pretty much said for Colorado’s whole team defense, period. This again shapes up like a game that you have to see to believe. Hopefully no one gets the bright idea of doing too much in the way of stacks. Combining two players from the same line is pretty reasonable and a steal potentially if you play the event valuations correctly. For example, Tyler Toffoli’s price is way up, why not go Dwight King even. That type of play is sneaky and usually successful. Can the rest of the Avs play any kind of team defense? Tonight will be a test!
Line: Kings -135, O/U 5
Players to Watch
- Tyler Toffoli, RW, Kings ($7200)
- Jonathan Quick, G, Kings ($8700)
- T.J. Brodie, D, Avs ($4500)
- Semyon Varlamov, G, Avs ($8100)