Hey it is Thursday and I am back for more daily picks and more here on “The Playbook”. There are a dozen games to choose from tonight so choices will be more difficult. At least there is more variety. We can be thankful for that. At any rate, let’s get to work.
This is a slate that has much more value tonight and even some old stalwarts can provide a solid punch. Let’s rock!
Jake Allen ($9,200) – The goalie had a shutout in New Jersey on Tuesday night and honestly New Jersey may be back to its days of binary scoring (1,0,1,0, etc.). St. Louis did not do much offensively itself but low scoring games which mid event totals are not always so bad. People are going to freak out over his cost but tonight seems like a night where you have to pay to play. Tonight may be the night Allen proves he is the St. Louis starter going forward.
Tuukka Rask ($8,800) – It is a good time for Rask owners as the Vezina winner has now won four of his last five starts and gets a wounded Edmonton team tonight at home. Tuukka Rask’s save percentage has risen from .875 to .906 during this run and the Oilers do not have Taylor Hall tonight. Edmonton’s defense and goaltending is still just as questionable as it ever was. Simply if Boston shows up, Rask owners will be rather happy.
Jonathan Quick ($8,600) – There is no place like home for Jonathan Quick which is unusual given the last few seasons early on in Los Angeles. Either way, Quick gets an Islanders team in the middle of the Tour De California and on the back end of a back to back. The Islanders won a tough 3-2 decision in overtime last night and that might play right into Quick’s hands. Be aware that the Kings give up over 30 shots a game at home so Jonathan Quick is likely to get his saves. Add in a high probability for a W and you have a recipe for a pretty high point night if you are willing to spend.
Others to consider: Ben Bishop ($7,900), Steve Mason ($6,400) — we will have updates later this afternoon on confirmed goalies via Twitter.
Steven Stamkos ($8,800) – Calgary continues its road show into the state of Florida as they face Tampa Bay tonight. The Lightning can indeed strike quickly, led by Steven Stamkos. It is almost set up perfectly for a good Stamkos nice. Consider that Calgary gives up around 1 1/2 times the shot attempts compared to what they muster and this has PLAY PLAY PLAY written all over it. The Stamkos price tag is a bit high but his 55 goal pace and Tampa’s propensity to score gives me hope here.
Tyler Seguin ($7,400) – Hey we all have rough nights and Seguin had one of his worst against Los Angeles. Nashville plays a bit more of a fast tempo and that will favor Seguin. Dallas’s first line can strike with reckless abandon and the Stars want to come out with fire tonight. You may want to target Jamie Benn ($6,300) as a nice duo stack for maximum the points. There is the potential for the over to hit in this one which means likely opportunities for all sides.
Tyler Johnson ($6,300) – The goals have to come at some point for the Tampa Bay pivot. He has 30 shots in his last ten games alone and no goals but 12 assists. Talk about a weird contradiction that has to rectify itself and soon. Tonight may be the night as Calgary is in town. When people thought last year was a fluke for Johnson, I was one of the few who said hell no. He’s a sneaky middle play tonight that will allow you to spend elsewhere.
Brock Nelson ($5,400) – Nelson will do anything to get points for you whether its heading the puck towards net or even playing handball to score goals. That is the kind of guy you want in your lineup. He mostly mixes his ice time somewhere in the top six and gets solid power play time adds to his appeal. His even lower price tag than the top guys does not hurt either.
Others I like: John Tavares ($6,800), Patrice Bergeron ($5,800), Bryan Little ($5,000).
Value: Jori Lehtera ($3,000), Seth Griffith ($2,900), Chris VandeVelde ($2,500).
Phil Kessel ($8.000) – Colorado is playing Reto Berra tonight. Colorado gives up what feels like 40 shots a night. Colorado is implementing a zone defense according to Patrick Roy. No zone is going to stop Phil Kessel when he has time and space. He looks angry in his mugshot for DraftKings and regardless should be an auto play every time out. Tonight is no exception. Whomever he plays with will reap the rewards.
Jakub Voracek ($7,600) – The opposition rank doesn’t even phase me here because Voracek has been so hot lately. He has 18 points in 12 games. Even against Florida, hitting the shiny red button must be hit emphatically. I would almost consider starting Claude Giroux but he worries me a bit. You can if you want to as they say. Look, Florida is bound to give up goals at some point and Philadelphia is angry after that 2-1 loss in Florida.
James Neal ($6,500) – If it is Nashville and Dallas, then this has the makings of a 3-2 or 4-3 game which means Neal is going to fire shots and he may just wind up being more than worth the money on DraftKings tonight. With Filip Forsberg ($5.800) on fire (might want to play him too), Neal is finding life in Nashville to be pretty darn good. Neal has a pretty good probability of finding the goal sanctuary tonight and you should find a way to spend the $$$ to get him on your team.
Tommy Wingels ($5,800) – I am not surprised by his recent surge as he has earned his ice time. Wingels played over 18 minutes in his last game and is seeing increasing power play time. He seems the perfect utility play that is just above per player spent value on DraftKings ($5,555). He is also averaging nearly four shots on goal per game this season which is another reason to consider Wingels. After all San Jose has a ton of weapons in their Top Six and now add in Wingels for that much more.
Others I like: Alexander Steen ($5,800), Brad Marchand ($5,600), Tyler Toffoli ($5,200).
Value: Marian Gaborik ($3,800), Jason Zucker ($2,900), Tanner Pearson ($2,800).
Mark Giordano ($7,100) – Giordano has more daily points per game than Erik Karlsson. That’s right! Giordano has 13 points in 14 games for Calgary. Now, if you want a slightly cheaper option then T.J. Brodie is for you at $4,900. This pairing really has wreaked havoc on opposing defenses with their two way play. Even if Tampa scores a bunch of goals, Calgary has enough young scoring to make this pair viable one more time.
Erik Johnson ($5,800) – Johnson has kind of sneaks up on people in DFS, especially this year. He is a better play tonight because with Toronto, usually it is shots galore. Erik Johnson is also on a five game points streak (seven points) and Colorado winds up playing more wide open no matter their original intention. The same can be said for Toronto. Add in elevation, shake well, and watch the two teams go. As for Johnson, he blocks shots very well of late which is an added bonus. I
Tyson Barrie ($4,200) – I am rolling the dice on this Toronto-Colorado game. Let’s lump Tyson Barrie into the equation who has a goal and four assists over his last four games. Barrie must shoot the puck more. It’s that simple! He should be well rested after playing a little over 16 minutes the other night. His value is still pretty good at a pretty reasonable price.
Others I like: Anton Stralman ($3,500), Eric Gelinas ($3,500).
Value: Damon Severson ($3,100), Joseph Morrow ($2,500).
Thanks for reading guys and hopefully the picks help you out. If you have any questions, fire them away at me on twitter @ChrisWasselTHW and i’ll do my best to answer them.
Good luck today!