Yes it is hump day! The slate is a very light one and yet it does have some significant star power. Two games are on the docket — one early and one late.
The pickings are slim but hey let’s get to work anyway.
This is a rough slate because of the two game schedule and the expected low event totals with Detroit and Washington. Then no one knows what to make of Nashville and Edmonton. Combine the two and you have a fatal four way where coin tosses might decide your fate. Bear with us as we try something.
Braden Holtby ($8,000) – Washington has seen far less shots hit their goalie this season. At one point early last year, Holtby had seen over 35 shots per 60. This year that number has decreased to a little over 22. Detroit does not exactly generate a lot of shots on goal normally and after their top six, they know they have to minimize chances allowed on their own end. This is a risk but if Holtby wins, not a lot of goals will be scored.
Ben Scrivens ($7,300) – This is a honest to goodness gamble as we take “prosperity now” to a whole new level. Edmonton has won four straight and are facing a high volume shooting team in Nashville. If Scrivens can keep the Oilers in it and the Oilers top six plays well then this could be a high save, winning situation. This won’t be easy and surely there will be tense moments but on a light night, there’s not much else.
Others to consider: Pekka Rinne ($8,900), Jimmy Howard ($7,600) — What else is there?
Mike Ribeiro ($4,200) – This is a value kind of night at the center position. Ribeiro has nice numbers with six points in eight games. It’s a pretty cheap play on the lightest of nights and the Predators have a tendency to click on faster ice. Stacks will be everywhere and it would not be shocking to see the Ribeiro line get stacked as they can be a handful.
Marcus Johansson ($3,800) – It is always fun to take different roads to the cash. Johansson is a cheaper alternative on a night like this where many will go heavy on Nicklas Backstrom. He may only play about 15 minutes a night but as long as he shoots the puck more, that is more points for you. The “pivot” plays with high flying rookie Andrei Burakovsky at times. A key is special teams effectiveness with the Swede. The more events benefit him.
Others I like: Nicklas Backstrom ($5,800), Pavel Datsyuk ($5,400)
Value: Marc Arcobello ($3,000)
James Neal ($6,900) – Nashville and Neal have been a pretty nice match. His shot totals are usually always a good thing though he does come off of an uneventful last game where Neal only had two shots. Edmonton has a tendency to rely a lot on Ben Scrivens so Neal will get his chances. Can he cash in on one or two? It indeed is quite possible along with at least four shots on goal.
Filip Forsberg ($4,600) – This is another one of those light night plays as Forsberg has thrived with the newly found ice time. Playing with Mike Ribeiro and James Neal has really helped his value and they should fare well against an Edmonton top six that does not always play well on the other end of the ice. This could be a fun stack on a desolate night.
Andre Burakovsky ($3,900) – Simply Burakovsky has been a very pleasant surprise. His ice time has fluctuated and did play less than 13 minutes in his last game. However, it will bounce back and forth but the 19 year old is one smooth skater and if he sneaks in any power play time, that is a bonus.
Others I like: Alex Ovechkin ($8,200), Justin Abdelkader ($4,400) Nail Yakupov ($4,000)
Value: Jesse Joensuu ($2,500), Tom Wilson ($2,500)
John Carlson ($5,000) – Carlson’s value dropped nearly 20% in three days which makes him a good bit more attractive. Granted, Detroit is a low event team but a few goals have to come from somewhere. Mike Green is a little too high of a price, despite the higher production, and the injury risk will always be there. As for Carlson, his overall value is too high to pass up at that price.
Ryan Ellis ($4,300) – It turns out Roman Josi has been eclipsed in fantasy by Ryan Ellis? Yes there is no full moon but it indeed has happened in the early going. Will it continue? No one is sure. However, Ellis is seeing around 20 minutes of ice time and that is something he never saw with Barry Trotz. That will benefit his owners against Edmonton.
Others I like: Mike Green ($6,200), Shea Weber ($6,000), Niklas Kronwall ($4,900).
Value: Danny DeKeyser ($3,100), Mark Fayne ($2,900).
Thanks for reading guys and hopefully the picks help you out. If you have any questions, fire them away at me on twitter @ChrisWasselTHW and i’ll do my best to answer them.
Good luck today!