TOP OPTIONS TO CONSIDER
Top Line Stacks
Red Wings vs. SenatorsDylan Larkin ($6,500) – Tyler Bertuzzi ($6,100) – Robby Fabbri ($5,400)
The Red Wings take on an Ottawa team tonight that has allowed four or more goals in five straight games (all losses) coming into this bottom-feeder showdown with the Red Wings. While the Red Wings hardly feature a ferocious offense, their top line does feature some players capable of putting up big nights together against a team as poor as Ottawa. Dylan Larkin has been far more effective at home, averaging 11.3 DKFP, vs. 8.9 on the road, and attempted 16 more shots on goal at home vs. the road this year (equal amount of games). With injuries affecting the Wings, he’s been paired with Fabbri of late, who has scored five PPG for the Wings this year already (all in home games) and gets a great matchup against an Ottawa team starting a third-string goalie who allows the third-most shots against per game. The Wings’ L1 isn’t a line to stack on regular slates, but on a three-gamer vs. perhaps the worst defensive team in hockey, they represent solid value and are cheap enough to allow you to pay up for multiple studs at other positions.
Superstar to TargetNathan MacKinnon ($8,500), COL vs. PIT – The Avalanche and Penguins matchup features two top fantasy studs in McKinnon and the Penguins Evgeni Malkin ($7,300), who should both be popular targets on this small slate. While taking the discount on Malkin certainly isn’t a terrible idea, MacKinnon’s home splits make him a near-impossible fade here. The leading shot-taker in the league has averaged 5.6 SOG at home this year — vs. just 3.83 on the road — and takes on a Pittsburgh squad that remains decimated by injuries both upfront and on defense. While Colorado slumped near the end of its road trip, losing two of their three East Coast games, look for McKinnon and the Avalanche to rebound quickly here against a vulnerable Pittsburgh squad that may not have the depth right now to stop MacKinnon in his favorite venue.
Value on OffenseDominik Kahun ($3,000), PIT at COL – As mentioned above, the Penguins are dealing with major injuries again and because of that Kahun, who’s a regular bottom-sixer for the Penguins, has been seeing plenty of time on the Penguins top-line of late as a result. Kahun’s played over 17 minutes in each of his last two games, almost exclusively beside the Penguins’ best player giving him some instant fantasy value at such an insanely cheap price. The Avalanche are a solid home team but still allow the seventh-most SOG against per game and feature the 10th-worst penalty-kill. Kahun and the other cheaper Pens forwards are all in play in as targets here in big GPPs.
Filip Zadina ($4,300), DET vs. OTT – Zadina has been called upon to fill some of the void caused by injuries and he’s done an admirable job of late in a top-six forward role. The 20-year-old has now recorded eight SOG in his last two games, while also scoring once in each of his last two starts as well. With him currently seeing time on the Red Wings PP1, his price tag here looks remarkably cheap tonight considering the match-up against Ottawa who carries the second-worst GAA in the league into this game. Zadina’s in a featured offensive role right now for Detroit and a great value target here in a prime matchup for Detroit’s offensive players.
Stud GoaliesPhilipp Grubauer ($8,000), COL vs. PIT – On a three-game slate that features two of the worst defensive teams in hockey and two third/fourth-string goalies likely gaining starts, Grubauer looks like a relatively solid play, despite the fact he’s coming into this game off a loss. The Avalanche set up as solid (-145) home favorites against Pittsburgh and, considering Colorado allow the seventh-most SOG per game, Grubauer is always in play to hit the DK 35-plus save bonus as well — a feat he’s accomplished in three of his last 10 games. He’s a solid target on a slate with few good options to choose from in net.
Adin Hill ($7,100), ARZ at CAR – The Coyotes have suffered injuries to each of their top two goalies and so far they’ve been relying on Adin Hill to carry the load. The 23-year-old looked good in his first start, stopping 37 of 39 SOG, and wasn’t given much help last night in a 4-0 loss to the potent Lightning. Hill’s main attraction though is his price as his low salary will let you fit in multiple studs elsewhere. The Coyotes are the biggest underdogs on the slate tonight but with Arizona allowing 32.5 SOG against each night—10th most in the league—he should have a chance at hitting the DK save bonus, even if he’s not the favorite to pick up the win.
Value on DefenseJohn Marino ($3,700), PIT at COL– With injuries to two of their top-4 defensemen the Penguins really have no choice but to rely on Marino for a heavier role. While he hasn’t been ultra-productive of late, the rookie has picked up assists in back-to-back games and comes into this game locked into a PP2 role against the Avalanche, who sports a below-average penalty-kill. While he’s not a high-volume shooter, Marino’s picked up his blocked shot rate, hitting the DK blocked shot bonus four times now in his last 10 starts and is going up against a high volume shot team in Colorado. At well under $4K, he’s got decent upside on a slate which doesn’t offer much cheap value on defense.
Power-Play DefensemenCale Makar ($5,500), COL vs. PIT – Makar’s flashed huge upside at certain points this season as the rookie has been a mainstay on the Avalanche’s power-play. While he’s not going to accumulate a ton of blocked shots for you, the offensive-minded defenseman is averaging 2.8 SOG over his last 10 starts and takes on a Pittsburgh team that is extremely thin on defense. While you can certainly pay up for one of the studs on this slate in Dougie Hamilton ($7,000) or Kris Letang ($6,100), the Colorado offense has been lights out for the most part at home this year and Makar brings similar upside to those players here at a cheaper price.
Thomas Chabot ($5,700), OTT at DET – The Senators anchor on the blueline hasn’t been super productive of late from a pure points perspective, but he’s still racking up big ice time every game and producing solid peripheral stats for his owners on a nightly basis. Chabot’s averaged 3.3 SOG per game and over 30 minutes of ice time per night over the Sens last 10 games and yet still carries a sub-6k price tag tonight in a match-up with the Red Wings. While I’ve outlined the Senators’ defensive woes in detail here, the Wings are just as bad, featuring the league’s third-worst penalty-kill. While he hasn’t topped 20 DKFP in the last month or so, we could easily see that trend break here as the Wings present a big opportunity for the Ottawa power-play and Chabot to get on track with a big game.
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