This Thursday offers us a large and fascinating 11-game slate, as we have multiple games with puck totals at 6.5 that could push into shootouts. There are also lots of injury situations to be keeping an eye on here as the Lightning’s forwards, Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov and Anthony Cirelli have all been ruled out. This opens up some serious value options could open up for Tampa Bay. Sami Vatanen is also labeled as day-to-day for New Jersey heading into their game with Detroit tonight and Evgeny Kuznetsov is out for the Capitals in their game against Avalanche.
TOP OPTIONS TO CONSIDER
Set your lineups here: NHL $44.4K Twine [$10K to 1st]
Top Line Stacks
Devils vs. Red WingsJack Hughes ($4,700) – Kyle Palmieri ($5,600) – Damon Severson ($4,400)
The Devils’ first overall pick has started to put up a little more consistent production of late, as he comes into this game with three points in his last four games and scored for the first time in over 10 games in his last outing. This mini-breakout could come at an opportune time, too, as the Devils will be hosting the Red Wings tonight, a squad that remains the worst team in hockey, and features the league’s sixth-worst penalty-kill. With Hughes playing alongside Palmieri, stacking these two makes sense against such a weak opponent and it’s worth noting that Palmieri comes in with four goals in his last four games. With few other solid wingers to choose from, using defenseman Severson, who is seeing first-unit power-play minutes and has points in seven straight games, makes a ton of sense when completing this value trio. Targeting the Devils power-play tonight can save you cash and make for a potential breakout target given Hughes’ improved play of late.
Superstar to TargetLeon Draisaitl ($7,900) EDM at TBL – Draisaitl put the Oilers on his back in their first game without Conner McDavid, who is set to miss the next couple of weeks. The German put up four points in the Oilers’ 5-3 win over Chicago, as his line scored four of the five goals. Despite averaging 23.5 minutes of ice time and having scored six points in his last two games Draisaitl’s price remains relatively unchanged tonight as he’s well under $8K and less expensive than 10 other players on the slate. Tampa Bay has been stingy defensively of late, but are likely to be short-handed tonight with three of their top-six forwards banged up and questionable for this game. Even in a tough road matchup, Draisaitl feels like a must target, as the Oilers are too thin upfront to do anything but ride their last remaining superstar until McDavid returns.
Value on OffenseCorey Perry ($2,700), DAL at TOR – The Stars adjusted their lines again and Perry looks to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the move, as he’s was bumped up a couple lines onto the wing with Tyler Seguin ($6,500). The former Duck still sees power-play time and played over 19 minutes in his first game in the new role, landing four shots on goal (SOG). With such an affordable price-tag Perry looks like a near must-play if he’s going to continue to play this kind of heavy minutes. He’s also got a great opponent to land you a kind of upside game, as the Leafs currently allow the eight-most SOG per game and gave the ninth-worst penalty-kill in the league. Perry’s a sharp value no matter what format of games your targeting on DK tonight.
Kevin Fiala ($4,500), MIN vs. NYR – Fiala has been a near must-play of late, as he comes in having scored 10 points and five goals over his last five games while also recording 16 SOG in his last three starts. Playing on a line alongside Zach Parise ($5,100), who is also playing better of late, Fiala somehow still remains at the same price on DraftKings, as he was before scoring three points in his last game. The Rangers have played better of late but are a prime matchup for any top-line winger, and especially one playing as well as Fiala, as they allow the second-most SOG per game in the league. Until his price adjusts to his recent output, don’t stop targeting him in DFS. It’s not hyperbole to call him the best value on the slate.
Stud GoaliesElvis Merzlikins ($7,300), CLB at BUF – Merlikins comes in on a two-game losing streak but it’s hardly a reason to stop rostering him. In those two losses, Merzlikins hasn’t allowed more than two goals and stopped 28 of 30 shots against, when facing a potent Lightning offense his last time out. The Sabres are a much better matchup for the rookie as the Blue Jackets come into this road game as very slight -109 favorites. While there are bigger favorites out there in terms of win probability at the goalie position, it’s hard to find a better value on DraftKings given Merzlikins’ recent form.
MacKenzie Blackwood ($7,800), NJD vs. DET – Blackwood has been playing out of his mind lately, as the Devils’ new starting goalie has now stopped 83 SOG in a row and is coming in off back-to-back shutouts. While it’s hard to believe, the Devils actually enter this game against Detroit as -195 favorites on the puck line putting Blackwood in a great position here to pick up the win bonus. Given his recent play and the Devils penchant for allowing a ton of SOG — they allow the 11th most per game — Blackwood looks an easy target tonight and is likely to be an important player on this slate, one way or the other.
Value on DefenseAndy Greene ($3,800), NJD vs. DET– Greene has been an insanely consistent fantasy producer — comparative to his cheap price-tag — over his last 10 games as he’s now averaging 3.2 blocked shots per game over his last 10 starts and has hit the blocked shots bonus on DraftKings in four straight games. Averaging over 20 minutes a game on the season, he’s also been producing more offensively of late as he’s averaged 1.3 SOG in his last 10 games and has at least shown the ability to show up with a garbage assist every so often. Greene’s unlikely to get you over the 15-point barrier on DK, but his blocked shot ability and ability to surprise every so often offensively give him a great floor projection, making him a nice value target against a weaker team like Detroit.
Power-Play DefensemenJohn Carlson ($7,500), WAS at COL– Carlson has been in a mini-breakout of late, recording five points in his last three games. The Washington defenseman is priced like an elite forward tonight but with some injuries to multiple star forwards around the league, it may be a decent time to consider using him on this slate. The Capitals have a solid matchup tonight against the Avalanche, who feature the 13th worst penalty-kill in the league and allow the 12th most SOG per game, and it’s definitely a game environment where Carlson and the Capitals’ power-play could go into hyper-drive at some point. With this game featuring an O/U at 6.5 that could even push to 7.0 before close, Carlson could be the key to unlocking a big lineup on a slate which has the potential to produce a lot of big fantasy totals.
Ivan Provorov ($4,700), PHI at FLA – Provorov has also started to heat up of late as the Philadelphia’s main power-play QB comes into this game averaging 3.5 SOG in his last two games and having recorded points in two straight games as well. The uptick in production is good to see, especially ahead of a matchup with Florida, who rank in the bottom 10 in the league in terms of SOG allowed per game and penalty-kill percentage. The Philadelphia power-play has been lackluster most of the year but with Provorov playing over 25 mins a game lately and having such an affordable salary, this looks like a great time to consider stacking him with one or more of the Flyers PP1 forwards.
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