Monday gives us a small four-game slate that features some pretty juicy fantasy matchups. Both Ottawa at the Rangers and Pittsburgh at Boston have puck totals of 6.5, with big fantasy producers in play in both games. The other two games don’t have as much fantasy appeal, although Nashville at Detroit does set up as a potential mismatch to take advantage of. Despite there being just four games, they’ll be nice ways to differentiate yourself as four of the top 12 teams in goals scored per game are in action.
Top Line Stacks
NYR vs. OTT
Ryan Strome ($5,000) – Artemi Panarin ($6,900) – Jesper Fast ($3,800)
The Rangers’ top line has a nice matchup tonight. Ottawa has just three wins on the year and again is bottom 10 in terms of goals allowed on the season. Strome has taken over first-line duties for the Rangers and comes into tonight’s game with points in six straight games. Strome’s resurgence makes him a nice value play here as he’s been paired with the ultra-talented Panarin of late, who comes into this game having averaged three SOG and a point per game on the season. These two should see all the power play time they can handle as the Rangers are short on playmakers with Mika Zibanejad likely out again for this game. You can pair them with Chris Kreider ($5,000), who will see first-unit power play time as well, or go cheap with = Fast, who is likely to see a majority of the minutes at even strength with this pair. Fast isn’t a high-volume shooter, but he’s playing more than 16 minutes a game and offers salary flexibility, which will allow you to roster an additional stud.
Superstar to Target
Filip Forsberg ($7,300), NAS at DET– Forsberg comes into this game averaging just under 4.5 SOG per game, putting him in contention for the SOG bonus essentially every night on DraftKings. The Predators’ winger is in a killer matchup tonight against Detroi, which has allowed the third-most SOG against in the league thus far and is featuring the fourth-worst penalty kill in the league as well. Forsberg is averaging more than three minutes of power play time per game and still is quite affordable at this price point. He might not produce quite at the level of Bruins star David Pastrnak ($8,400) but, given the discount and matchup here, the consistent Forsberg looks like a solid anchor play for this smaller slate, regardless.
Value on Offense
Alex Galchenyuk ($4,200), PIT at BOS – Galchenyuk was able to come back from an early-season injury two games ago and will be making his third straight start in a row here. The former Canadian and Coyote is seeing his minutes gradually increase, and he played 14 minutes in his most recent game, mostly beside Evgeni Malkin ($5,900). Given their elite centers, there’s almost always some value in the Penguins’ wingers for DFS, and Galchenyuk’s price still is depressed given his overall talent level. He should see his power play exposure and overall ice time continue to increase over the coming games and makes for a great buy-low target tonight.
Danton Heinen ($3,500), BOS vs. PIT – The Bruins are
165 favorites tonight in a game with a puck total of 6.5. Boston also comes in averaging the sixth most goals per game, making its second and third-line wingers solid targets here. Heinen enters this game with three points over his past two games and is seeing consistent second-line minutes while averaging over a minute and a half of power play time per night. He’s a boom-or-bust target given his lack of peripheral stats but has better pure upside potential than most players at his price point tonight.
Mike Smith ($8,100), EDM vs. ARI – This is a bit of a revenge game for Smith, who will be taking on one of his past squads in the Coyotes tonight. The 37-year-old has started the season well for Edmonton, posting a .931 save% through nine appearances and enters this game as a -120 favorite. Arizona isn’t a high-volume team in terms of SOG, but the Oilers have given up the ninth-most SOG against so far on the season. Regardless, Smith enters this game having stopped 84 of 86 shots against in his past two games and, with the added motivation of facing his old team here, he’s in a nice spot for a big game on this slate.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Mikko Koskinen is starting tonight’s game in goal for the Oilers.
Alex Georgiev ($7,800), NYR vs. OTT – While it might be tempting to chase the cheap salary and save volume potential of Anders Nilsson ($7,000) on the other side of this game, Georgiev is the much safer bet. The Rangers’ young netminder comes into this slate having won each of his past two starts, while stopping 61 of 63 shots faced. Despite being #notgood, the Senators still are averaging more than 30 SOG per game, and the Rangers enter this matchup as -185 favorites, the largest on the slate. Georgiev might be a chalk pick tonight, but he’s playing far better than his opponent and should post decent save volume, even as a heavy favorite.
Value on Defense
Justin Schultz ($3,800), PIT at BOS – We don’t have many cheap options on defense to sift through on just a four-game slate, so we should give Schultz — who is seeing solid first-unit power play time for the Penguins every night — a hard look. Despite playing just over 20 minutes a night, the former Oiler still is averaging nearly three SOG per game and also is averaging just over three minutes of power play time per night. He’s in a bit of a point drought, but if you need savings, chancing him for a breakout makes sense given the lack of other value options.
Jacob Trouba ($5,700), NYR vs. OTT – Trouba’s been anchoring the power play for the Rangers for the most part this season. It hasn’t paid off in a big way point-wise yet, but he does enter this game averaging well over three SOG per game and 2.5 blocked shots per game as well. For DraftKings scoring purposes, that kind of volume gives him a great floor every time he takes the ice, and he’s got a better-than-average matchup tonight against Ottawa, which features the 10th-worst penalty kill in the league. Trouba’s a nice pay-up candidate at defense here who won’t break the bank.
Torey Krug ($5,100), BOS vs. PIT – Krug still is seeing his regular allotment of power play time for the Bruins this year and comes into this game against the Penguins averaging more than four minutes of power play time per night. The offensive-minded D-man doesn’t have the greatest matchup, but Boston comes into this game with the most effective power play in the league, scoring at a 32% clip. Krug’s an easy, affordable way to get exposure to this effective unit and makes for a great stacking target with one of Boston’s big first-unit forwards as well.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is wavegoodbye) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.