The NHL schedule is packed with 13 games Wednesday. The Bruins are the only club playing for the second consecutive night, whereas their division rival Maple Leafs are the largest favorite of the evening. Additionally, representing the parity of the schedule, there are a number of games with small favorites, including marquee matchups between Tampa Bay and St. Louis, Nashville and Vegas, and Edmonton and Colorado.
Top Line Stacks
Hurricanes at Rangers
Andrei Svechnikov ($6,700) – Sebastian Aho ($7,100) – Teuvo Teravainen ($6,300) The Rangers have allowed the most expected goals per 60 minutes in the league, and Aho, Svechnikov and Teravainen have clicked for 6.47 goals per hour and a 57.9 Corsi For percentage at 5-on-5. Carolina’s top offensive trio skates together in all situations and is also in top form with 14 goals and 20 assists through its past eight games.
Bruins at Senators
Jake DeBrusk ($4,000) – Jack Studnicka ($3,300) – Charlie Coyle ($4,200) Even with improved recent play, Ottawa still ranks third last in expected goals against per hour. DeBrusk has found his scoring groove with two goals and an assist through his past two games, and Coyle is coming off a three-point showing against Montreal on Tuesday. Studnicka also found the scoresheet in his NHL debut against the Canadiens. Their low combined cap hit creates lineup flexibility, too.
Maple Leafs at Red Wings
Andreas Johnsson ($4,600) – Auston Matthews ($7,500) – William Nylander ($5,500)
This is a low cap hit to load up Toronto’s top line against the defensively inept Red Wings. Through two games under new head coach Sheldon Keefe, Matthews, Nylander and Johnsson have generated 16.77 high-danger scoring chances per hour while dominating possession with a 59.3 Corsi For percentage. Detroit has allowed the most goals per hour in the league through its past 22 games, too.
Superstar to Build Around
Alex Ovechkin, WAS vs. FLA ($8,300) – With just two tallies, a helper and a 5.7 shooting percentage through his past eight outings, Ovechkin is primed for a bounce-back outing, and Florida could be the perfect opponent. The Panthers have surrendered 31 goals through their past eight contests and allowed 3.62 per road game for the campaign, after all.
Value on Offense
Sean Monahan, CGY at BUF ($5,800) – The Sabres are reeling along a 2-8-2 stretch with 3.5 goals against per contest, so this is a good matchup for Monahan to build on Monday’s goal and continue a statistical-correction run. It was just the sixth of the season for the veteran center, and his current 2.26 points per hour significant lag behind his 3.31 mark from last season.
James Neal, EDM at COL ($4,600) – There’s a special teams mismatch in this contest with Edmonton boasting the second-ranked power play in the league while Colorado owns a 21st-ranked 77.5 penalty-kill percentage. Neal is projected to skate alongside Connor McDavid ($8,500) and Leon Draisaitl ($8,200) on the No. 1 unit Wednesday, and he found the back of the net with the man advantage last time out.
Filip Zadina, DET vs. TOR ($2,800) – Positioned in a top-six role and on the No. 1 power-play unit, Zadina’s salary is low enough to take a flier on him as an upside source of cap relief. He’s struggled to fulfill his offensive upside as a pro, but the sixth overall selection from the 2018 draft owns an elite shooting arsenal.
Tuukka Rask, BOS at OTT ($8,200) – While there have been some minor peaks and valleys in Rask’s play this season, he’s won four consecutive games to improve to 11-2-2 with a .931 save percentage, 2.23 GAA and two shutouts. The Bruins are favorites and have won four straight, surrendering only eight goals during the stretch. Additionally, Ottawa probably has punched above its weight class during its current 7-3 stretch.
Semyon Varlamov, NYI at LA ($8,000) – Sporting an active 7-0-2 record with a .920 save percentage and 2.39 GAA, Varlamov is positioned to stay hot against the lowly Kings. Los Angeles has scored just 1.83 5-on-5 goals per game this season, and the Isles are set for a bounce-back showing after losing their past two outings.
Sergei Bobrovsky, FLA at WAS ($6,900) – Turn to the veteran Russian if looking for a low-priced flier. The two-time Vezina Trophy winner has underwhelmed this season with an .888 save percentage and 3.45 GAA, but Bobrovsky is still capable of stealing a game. Washington also has lost consecutive games to inferior opponents, so the Caps could be in the midst of a mini rut.
Value on Defense
Shea Theodore, VGK at NSH ($4,400) – This salary doesn’t match Theodore’s recent surge, as he’s collected two tallies, four helpers, 24 shots and eight blocks while logging 21:38 of ice time (2:46 on the power play) through his past eight outings. Additionally, with Nashville ranking second last in penalty-kill percentage, this checks out as a plus-matchup for the power-play quarterback.
Jake Gardiner, CAR at NYR ($3,200) – As noted this is a solid matchup for the Hurricanes, and Gardiner is eyeing positive regression from his current offensive slump. The veteran blueliner has just a single assist through his past 10 contests, and his 0.89 points per 60 minutes for the campaign are well below the 1.52 mark he posted over the previous three seasons. He still is logging power-play time and beginning 57.0 percent of his 5-on-5 shifts in the offensive zone, too.
Cale Maker, COL vs. EDM ($6,400) – Even after being held off the scoresheet Saturday against Toronto, the rookie is ranked second among all regular defensemen in points per 60 minutes this season with a 3.25 mark. He’s being deployed advantageously with 62.0 percent of his 5-on-5 shifts beginning in the offensive zone while also quarterbacking the No. 1 power-play unit. It’s also worth noting, Makar has marked the scoresheet in 17 of 23 games for the year.
Tyson Barrie, TOR at DET ($4,800) – Now boasting a four-game point streak, Barrie’s resembling the defenseman who topped 55 points in each of the previous two seasons. He’s projected to continue skating with the No. 1 power-play unit in the noted soft matchup against Detroit, and it appears he’s more comfortable with the post-Babcock Maple Leafs.
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