Every week, we as DFS participants, have choices to make. Do we want to go contrarian? What high-level player are we paying for? Who is someone we are staying away from? What’s the best value this week? Lastly, what stack is the one to consider this week? What I’ve done is answered all those questions in one article. Below you’ll find the top player for each of the questions above.
High-Level Must Start: Aaron Rodgers $9800
It’s amazing what Rodgers has done this season at Lambeau Field. He’s thrown 20 touchdowns, zero interceptions, and is averaging a little less than 300 passing yards per game. He has thrown three or more touchdowns in seven of the team’s 12 games. Rodgers is truly playing on another level. He can get the job done against just about any defense, but this week presents itself with a great matchup. He’s playing the Falcons which have allowed at least one touchdown in all but two games, and have given up 300+ passing yards in six of their 13 games this year. In the last three road games, their defense has surrendered more than 250 yards, and 2 touchdowns in each of those games. Rodgers has 11 touchdown passes in his last three games at home. He should have no issue throwing the ball all over the Falcons defense this weekend.
Great Value: Jonathan Stewart $3800
DeAngelo Williams is expected to miss Week 14, and Jonathan Stewart is expected to get the start. This reminds me of Isaiah Crowell a couple of weeks back. Stewart should get the bulk of the carries. He is on the road with a good matchup and is at the same price that Crowell was at ($3800). Although I’m not as excited as I was for Crowell, Stewart still makes a great play. The Saints run defense has been carved up in recent weeks. In the last four games, they have allowed five touchdowns and 100+ rushing yards in three games. In addition, running backs have scored more than 20 fantasy points in each of those games. Stewart carried the ball eight times for 46 yards against the Saints earlier this season. In his career, he’s averaged 4.87 yards per carry on 110 carries against them. Stewart should get plenty of volume this weekend, and at almost the minimum price, it’s a great bargain if you ask me.
Contrarian Play: Teddy Bridgewater $5500
He really hasn’t done much this season to get all excited about starting him. However, he’s only thrown two passing touchdowns in a game twice this season, and they’ve been in the last two games. They have been home games for Bridgewater, and that’s where this game will take place. He has also thrown at least one touchdown in six consecutive games. Not to mention, the Jets are one of the worst pass defenses in the league, especially on the road where they have allowed two or more passing touchdowns in each game. They are giving up 18.8 fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. The Jets are tied with the Bears for most passing touchdowns allowed this season with 27. While I’m not expecting a 300+ passing yard game from Teddy, I can see a 260-2-0 stat line this week against the Jets. Many people won’t be looking his way, so this could be a good chance to take a cheap flier on him and stack the rest of your teams. I would only consider him in a tournament.
Player to fade: Jeremy Maclin $6800
Maclin is expected to see a lot of Richard Sherman this week, and as a fantasy owner, I want no part of that. It can turn out to be a long day for him. The Seahawks have allowed just one receiving touchdown in the last eight games, and only four for the season. They are allowing the fewest fantasy points per game to opposing receivers (14). Maclin has been streaky in the last four games as he has scored less than 12 fantasy points in two of the games.
Stack Play: Matthew Stafford $7900 to Calvin Johnson $9500
After two tough road games, Matthew Stafford bounced back with a big game on Thanksgiving Day. He threw for 390 yards and two touchdowns. In his last two home games, he’s thrown four touchdowns and 570 yards. It’s clear he’s happy to have Johnson back. In those two games, Johnson has caught 18 passes for 159 yards and three touchdowns. The Bucs defense has allowed at least one touchdown pass in all but one game. Against receivers, they are giving up 24.5 fantasy points per game and have allowed 16 receiving touchdowns, which ties them for the second most. They’ve been playing well against the pass as of late, but if you look at some of their numbers on the road against good quarterbacks, it’s scary. They gave up more than 300 passing yards and two or more touchdowns in three games on the road against Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, and Ben Roethlisberger. There’s only one concern with them this week, and that is, will they get benched because of blowout? I’ll take my chances.
Defense: Washington Redskins $2400
The Redskins will host the Rams on Sunday. The Rams don’t really have an explosive offense, and tend to turn the ball over often. They have 19 turnovers this season. They have also allowed 35 sacks. In five homes games the Redskins have 17 sacks. This is likely going to be a low scoring game, so if you’re looking for a cheap defense to fill in your roster, the Redskins are a viable option.