We’ve got what projects as an extremely lopsided game in Minnesota, but there are still plenty of betting angles to look at. Thursday Night Football best bets went 2-2 last week, and are 18-13 on the season. Let’s took at some betting angles to consider.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. WASHINGTON REDSKINS (8:20 P.M. ET)
Player to score and team wins: Dalvin Cook (-200)
We’re laying a lot of juice here, but this is a great way to combine a couple of extremely likely outcomes for a reasonable -200. For starters, I think we all see the Vikings coming out of this one with a victory, even if they’re 7-10 points away from covering the spread.
So now we just need Cook to score, which is something he’s been doing consistently this season. He has eight rushing touchdowns in seven games, only failing to score in a flukey game against the Giants, in which he went for well over 200 yards from scrimmage. Washington has been terrible against the run this season, and Cook will take advantage. Cook also pops at +375 to score the game’s first TD.
Total Rushing Attempts: Dalvin Cook OVER 18.5 (-112)
Sticking with Cook to have a big game, this sets up as a spot for him to see a heavy workload. Alex Mattison has mixed in for 28 carries over the last three weeks combined, which is the only cause for concern here. If this one’s a blowout at halftime, Mattison could be just as involved as Cook in the second half.
Cook’s gone over this number four times in seven games this season, including twice in the last three games since Mattison’s gotten more involved in the offense. The one game Cook failed to get 19 carries was an 18-point victory over the Eagles, a game in which he got 16, and Mattison got a season-high 14. Cook’s coming off a season-high 25 carries against the Lions last week, though.
Total Receptions: Stefon Diggs OVER 5.5 (-127)
No Adam Thielen (hamstring) opens up some very reasonable receiving props here. Diggs has snagged seven passes in three of his last four games, and he has been targeted 19 total times in the last two weeks. There should be room for even more targets with Thielen out of the mix, and the cushy Washington defense should help Diggs to find his way to six or more receptions again.
Total Receptions: Olabisi Johnson OVER 3.5 (-118)
Same idea here, with Johnson sliding into the WR2 role in Thielen’s absence. Johnson’s role in the offense was already growing, as he caught all nine of his targets in three previous games to last week. He topped 3.5 receptions with Thielen in the lineup in both Week 4 in Chicago and Week 5 in New York. With Thielen out most of Week 7, Johnson saw a season-high eight targets, and caught four of them. Another eight targets would put Johnson easily over four catches at his current catch-rate.
Spread – Quarter 1: MIN -3.5 (-117)
I expect Minnesota to get off to a quick start in this one. We’ll likely need a first-quarter touchdown, rather than two field goals, but this team’s been coming out of the gates strong recently. The Vikings have scored 20 total points in their last three first quarters combined, and a touchdown in each of the last two. If they can do that again (in a far better matchup), we even have room to hold Washington to a field goal and still cover this spread. With a lot of points to cover for the game, I like targeting the early lead.
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