Betting on the Super Bowl is unlike any game. Not only do we get the standard betting options that are available for every game on DraftKings Sportsbook, but we get flooded with a plethora of options to target almost any angle or narrative for the game that you could imagine.Here are my favorite bets to target on the San Francisco 49ers:
BETS TO CONSIDER
QUARTERS: SF 1Q ML (-107)It’s well documented how poor of a start the Chiefs have gotten off to in the postseason. After the 1Q they trailed 21-0 to Houston (eventually 24-0), and 10-7 to Tennessee (eventually 17-7). Both of those games were home games, and against much lesser competition. KC has been electing to defer when it wins the coin toss, and the San Francisco defense has been getting offenses off the field quickly to begin games. The Niners came out and smacked the Packers early, and were tied 7-7 against Minnesota after one. We do have the fallback of a push here on a tie.
GAME PROPS: SF FIRST TEAM SCORE (-108)This is a similar bet that takes a slightly different angle of the Niners’ early success in games, and the Chiefs lack of success. The Niners have scored first in both their playoff games, while the Chiefs have been scored on first in both of theirs. I’m looking for this trend to keep going on both sides.
PLAYER PROPS (QB): JIMMY GAROPPOLO PASS ATTEMPTS
UNDER 29.5 (-114)For a guy that threw eight passes in the NFC Championship game, I was surprised this number was set so high. Obviously, Jimmy G should be called upon to do more than he had to against the Packers to beat the Chiefs, but throwing 30 times isn’t exactly how the Niners want to win this game. In fact, He’s attempted just 27 passes in the entire postseason and stayed under 29.5 in four consecutive games. Garoppolo attempted 30 or more passes seven times in 18 games this season, and just twice since Week 11.
PLAYER PROPS (QB): JIMMY GAROPPOLO COMPLETION PERCENTAGE
OVER 64.5 (-114)Just because the Niners don’t throw a lot, it doesn’t mean they’re bad at it. Garoppolo enters the Super Bowl with a 68.8 completion percentage overall, and he was better than 64.5 in 14 of his 18 games. Just continuing to make simple plays and play within the offense gets him to this mark.
PLAYER PROPS (WR): KYLE JUSZCZYK RECEIVING YARDS
UNDER 12.5 (-150)This just feels like way too high of a number for a fullback, although I’ll admit, he does have some impressive numbers this season. He did hit the over on this number in six of his 14 games this season, but a couple of his best games as a pass-catcher did come with George Kittle out of the lineup. It could just take one to get him to this mark, but Juszczyk doesn’t even have a target in the postseason.
RAHEEM MOSTERT (+900)This one makes the most sense to me. Mostert plays are a bit square since he’s coming off a 200-yard, four-touchdown game, but running the ball is the key to San Francisco’s game plan. If the Niners win, it’ll be by running the ball, and continuing to run it with the lead. Getting +900 is a cheap price here.
NICK BOSA (+2500)
DEE FORD (+8500)The other narrative to San Francisco winning this game is shutting down Patrick Mahomes. It’ll be tough to do, but if the pass rushers can come up with a couple of key plays, maybe one’s in line for the award. Bosa and Ford are the two I’d look at, but you obviously want to bet really small here.
POTENTIAL PLAYSTevin Coleman (shoulder) is still in doubt. If he’s ruled out, I’d play Mostert OVER 15.5 carries before that moves up. If Coleman is going to play, I’d play the UNDER on his carries. Sportsbooks that are offering Coleman props before his status becomes official have it set at 9.5. I like him to play a limited role and carry less than 10 times if he plays.
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