We’ve got a massive SNF Showdown to conclude the regular season, with the Seahawks and 49ers squaring off for the NFC West title. Seattle’s a three-point dog at home, with the total set at 46 points. Here’s how the slate breaks down.
Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices
Set your lineups here: NFL $700K Sunday Night Showdown [$200K to 1st]
SUNDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN SPOTLIGHT
Russell Wilson ($10,000; $15,000 CP) is worth paying up for in the primetime spot, and even playing at captain if you can afford it. He’s been significantly better in home games this season, averaging 25.3 DKFP in Seattle. San Fran’s secondary is also banged up compared to the first time these teams met.
Tyler Lockett ($9,400) broke out of a slump against Carolina, but then fell right back into it last week against Arizona — catching just 1-of-7 targets in an elite matchup. I’d rather pay down for weapons around Russ, but Lockett could make for a contrarian spend up spot.
DK Metcalf ($8,400) is getting nearly as expensive as Lockett, but seems to be a more consistent option. Prior to getting shutdown by the Cardinals last week, DK had scored double-digit DKFP in eight of his past 10.
David Moore ($1,400) is your punt play at WR, but I’d rather play Wilson with a mid-priced receiving option. My favorite way to do that is with Jacob Hollister ($5,000). Hollister averages 11.4 DKFP in Seattle this season, and posted an 8-62-1 line (20.2 DKFP) on 10 targets the first time he saw this defense.
Travis Homer ($7,400) is the next man up at RB for Seattle, and while he scored 10.2 DKFP in relief last week, the Seahawks have brought in help.
The addition of Marshawn Lynch ($4,200) makes Homer a fade for me. The rookie is just too expensive. Marshawn is very affordable and, although there should be rust, he still could see a significant workload. I’ll take the cheap play here in cash or tournaments.
Jason Myers ($4.000) and Seahawks D/ST ($3,400) are both considerations. The SEA D/ST went for 18 DKFP in the matchup earlier this season.
San Francisco 49ers
Jimmy Garoppolo ($9,600) has been a really boom-or-bust fantasy play this season. He’s scored under 13 DKFP in three of his past four games, and scored just 13 DKFP against the Seahawks earlier this year. I’d much rather pay the $400 to go up to Wilson, but if you want to be different, rostering Jimmy G is certainly one way.
George Kittle ($10,400) is the obvious spend up spot on SF. He missed the game against Seattle back in Week 10, but has been a beast since — 18-plus DKFP in four of his past five games. Seattle ranks 30th versus TE.
Emmanuel Sanders ($9,200) feels way too expensive to pay for given his lack of consistency. While he went off for 37 DKFP against the Saints, it’s also his only double-digit DKFP game in his past seven outings.
Deebo Samuel ($9,000) has picked up the slack in the meantime. The rookie WR scored 22.2 DKFP against the Seahawks in Week 10, starting a streak of scoring double-digit DKFP in 6-of-7. I’d rather pay up here than for Sanders, but again, Kittle is the guy.
Kendrick Bourne ($3,200) is your punt play at WR, but is a little more expensive than you’d generally like to see.
The Niners went from having a jam-packed backfield to featuring Raheem Mostert ($8,800), and leaving everyone else useless from a fantasy outlook. Mostert’s been featured for about four and a half games, going for double-digit DKFP over his last five. Seattle ranks 22nd in DKFP allowed to RB, so Mostert feels like a safe play give his floor on touches.
Robbie Gould ($3,800) is worth a look, but I would be nervous to pay this much for the 49ers D/ST ($4,400) on the road, especially against a strong offense.
Final Score: Seattle 23, San Francisco 20
This is going to be a coin flip game, but the playoff-type atmosphere should give the Seahawks a little bit of an edge. If Marshawn Lynch can rip off a big play, the building will go bananas, and give another boost to the Hawks. I’ll take a stab at Seattle +150 given the circumstances.
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