For wide receivers, volume is necessary. That’s especially true in cash games, where we sacrifice depth of target and ceiling in exchange for a lot of chances.


These are the receivers I project to see the most targets in Week 7 (Sunday/Monday main slate only):

1. DeAndre Hopkins: 12 targets – Has now seen at least 11 targets in all six games and is on pace for 240 targets. Note that Demaryius Thomas led the NFL in the category last year with 184. It’s getting tough to fade Nuk, even as his price has risen to $8600.

2. Julio Jones: 11 targets – Even with a gimpy hamstring, Julio saw 10 and 11 targets in Weeks 5 and 6, respectively. Should be far healthier now following 10 days off.

3. Odell Beckham Jr.: 10 targets – Media is asking why the Giants aren’t getting Beckham the ball more even though OBJ is averaging 10.0 targets per game. Mini squeaky wheel spot?

4. Brandon Marshall: 9 targets – Marshall has seen at least nine targets in all five games and now the Jets are way up in pace as a big underdog at New England. Expect the targets to flow.

5. Antonio Brown: 9 targets – With Mike Vick mercifully on the pine, Brown’s projection begins to climb back up. He’s still too expensive given Landry Jones’ limitations and Martavis Bryant’s return.

6. Julian Edelman: 9 targets – When the Jets played the Dolphins in Week 4, Darrelle Revis went into the slot a decent amount to cover Jarvis Landry (via PFF). Edelman could get the same treatment.

7. Calvin Johnson: 9 targets – Last week was the time to be on the Lions’ pass game. Now the whole world will be on them despite elevated price tags and a far tougher spot vs. Vikings.

8. Allen Robinson: 9 targets – When teams play the Bills, they pass, pass and pass some more. You don’t have to beg Blake Bortles to throw it at A-Rob, who has racked up 54 targets in the last five weeks.

9. Keenan Allen: 9 targets – This assumes Allen’s hip flexor injury is near 100 percent and also that Stevie Johnson (hamstring) is back to steal some looks.

10. Larry Fitzgerald: 8 targets – We know this is the top DvP matchup of the week as the Ravens secondary has no prayer of slowing down Carson Palmer and friends. Fitz has at least eight targets in 5-of-6 games and is averaging 9.0 on the season.


Figuring out the top-end guys (above) is relatively easy. The low-end wideouts are much harder – and more valuable. Each week this season, I’m going to discuss wide receivers under $5000 who I project for at least five targets.

Note: The Following projections are based on the Main Slate Sunday/Monday games only.

1. Martavis Bryant, Steelers — $4700

Welcome back, Martavis. In his first game off suspension and subsequent injury, Bryant played on 62.1 percent of the snaps and saw eight targets. That’s way up from last year’s usage, when Bryant was in for 47.2 percent of the snaps. Meanwhile, Markus Wheaton sunk down to 58.6 percent against the Cardinals, deservedly getting his role slashed. We know Bryant is a special, game-changing talent who should cost around $6500 if Ben Roethlisberger were playing. The trick is projecting Bryant with Landry Jones, who has been dreadful in just about every NFL opportunity he’s had (outside of last week). I do think Bryant will get in the 5-7 target range against a bad Chiefs secondary.

Projection: Six targets

2. Michael Crabtree, Raiders — $4300

Crabtree continues to fly far under the radar even though he’s seen at least nine targets in all five games he’s fully played this year and is at 9.6 targets per game overall. We also have this bye-week quote from OC Bill Musgrave: “He’s been terrific. We just want to keep building his role in the offense.” The Chargers have been nothing short of excellent against wideouts this year, but Crabtree is still significantly underpriced for someone seeing the volume he does.

Projection: Eight targets

3. Willie Snead, Saints – $4300

Snead has played no less than 61 percent of the snaps in each of the last four games. During that time, he’s seen at least five targets in each while averaging 7.2. Now comes a shootout spot against at Indy – the game has a total of 52, by far the highest on the board this week. Per PFF, Snead runs 41 percent of his routes from the slot and 31 percent at LCBs. He should mostly avoid shutdown RCB Vontae Davis, who just plays his side.

Projection: Seven targets

4. Michael Floyd, Cardinals – $3200

Looking to get cheap exposure to the week’s premier DvP matchup? Floyd is your man. He’s played on at least 70 percent of the snaps in each of the last three weeks, seeing target counts of 7, 3, 8. This is not some UDFA flier – Floyd is a beastly 6’2/220 who went 13th overall in the 2012 NFL draft. He’s been passed up by Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown, but this guy can still play. Floyd was inches away from having three touchdowns against the Steelers last week.

Projection: Six targets

5. Stefon Diggs, Vikings — $4200

Owners that were paying attention Sunday morning got on Diggs. He was announced as the starter in place of Charles Johnson (ribs), proved he could win at the NFL level in Week 4 against the Broncos, was facing a broken Chiefs secondary and cost just $3500. This spot is a little different for Diggs as Johnson could return and the matchup against the Lions is merely good instead of great. Still, the Vikings coaches have said that Johnson might not get his job back once healthy. It’s impossible to see Diggs not having a major role.

Projection: Five targets is Johnson plays, seven targets if Johnson sits

6. Leonard Hankerson, Falcons — $4200

The Falcons are coming off a much-needed 10-day break. Julio Jones (hamstring) and Hankerson (ribs) both appear close to 100 percent. Hankerson has a low floor on a team that will feature Julio and Devonta Freeman heavily, but he has seen 6.3 targets per game on the year. Against a very burnable Titans secondary, Hankerson remains in GPP consideration.

Projection: Six targets

7. Jamison Crowder, Redskins — $3700

The Redskins’ top slot man has a whopping 35 targets in his last four games, catching 25 balls during that span. The 5’8/185-pounder hasn’t sniffed the end zone and hasn’t gone over 87 yards yet, but he’s going to keep seeing volume in the form of screens of quick hitters – especially with DeSean Jackson (hamstring) still sidelined. Jordan Reed’s potential return from his latest concussion does take a bite out of Crowder’s opportunity.

Projection: Six targets

8. Mike Wallace, Vikings — $4200

Wallace was dreadful against the Chiefs in Week 6, catching just two of nine targets with one bad drop and another ball to him that was intercepted. It’s possible Teddy Bridgewater will have less confidence in his “No. 1” receiver going forward. That should be easy with Stefon Diggs playing so well and Charles Johnson possibly returning.

Projection: Five targets