For wide receivers, volume is necessary. That’s especially true in cash games, where we sacrifice depth of target and ceiling in exchange for a lot of chances.


These are the receivers I project to see the most targets in Week 15 (Sunday/Monday main slate only):

1. Julio Jones at Jaguars: 14 targets – The Jags quietly boast one of the league’s true funnel defenses, as they rank 11th in rush defense DVOA (vs. 27th pass) and 5th in YPC allowed (3.64). Julio is in a prime bounce-back spot after getting shut down by Josh Norman and friends last week. The price drop to $8500 is a bonus.

2. Antonio Brown vs. Broncos: 12 targets – The matchup doesn’t get any tougher, as Brown will have to deal with Chris Harris (PFF’s No. 3 CB), Aqib Talib (No. 27) and Bradley Roby (No. 29). The Broncos rank No. 1 against opposing fantasy WRs and are No. 1 in pass defense DVOA.

3. DeAndre Hopkins at Colts: 11 targets – This is a squeaky wheel spot as the Texans are lamenting Hopkins’ meager target count of late: 8, 9, 6 in last three games. Remember that Nuk lit Vontae Davis and the Colts on fire in Week 5, ripping off an 11-169-0 line. No Brian Hoyer (concussion) is a ding.

4. Alshon Jeffery at Vikings: 10 targets – The Vikings’ slow pace of play is a concern, but Jeffery is averaging 12.1 targets per game in his seven healthy ones this year. When he faced the Vikings in early November, he gave Xavier Rhodes and company 10-116-1. The price jump to $7300 stings a bit, but Alshon is still underpriced relative to his talent level and role.

5. Odell Beckham vs. Panthers: 10 targets – Defensive Player of the Year Josh Norman will be on Beckham for the majority of this game. As Julio Jones, Brandin Cooks, Dez Bryant, DeAndre Hopkins and T.Y. Hilton have already found out this year, that’s a problem. On the plus side, PFF’s Mike Clay expects OBJ to be free of Norman for roughly 25 percent of his snaps thanks to slot formations.

6. Demaryius Thomas at Steelers: 10 targets – The Broncos won’t be able to employ Brock Osweiler as a game manager in this one. The Steelers’ elite offense is going to put points on the board and the Broncos run game projects to struggle. This Pittsburgh run defense ranks seventh in DVOA and seventh in YPC against.

7. Jarvis Landry at Chargers: 10 targets – Keep an eye on his pesky knee. But if healthy, Landry’s target floor is intact. He proved Monday night (18 targets) that the Week 13 five-target game was an outlier fueled by Matt Schaub’s ineptitude. Landry is still averaging 10.2 targets per game on the season. Note that Jason Verrett only goes into the slot 10 percent of the time.

8. Allen Robinson vs. Falcons: 9 targets – Vontae Davis was on Robinson for 26-of-37 routes last week (via PFF). Therefore, Blake Bortles smartly spread the ball all over the field. Expect A-Rob to get back toward double-digits this week, just as he has in 7-of-13 games this year.

9. Jeremy Maclin at Ravens: 9 targets – Even in a soggy game against rising stud Jason Verrett last week, Maclin got nine targets. Now he gets a dreamy matchup against the Ravens’ weekly leaky secondary that ranks 30th in pass defense DVOA.

10. Larry Fitzgerald at Eagles: 9 targets – Perhaps we shouldn’t be surprised that Fitz is slowing down sharply at the end of the season. He’s 32 years old and John Brown/Michael Floyd are now healthy and playing at a really high level. Fitz also has the toughest matchup among the trio as he won’t see as much of Byron Maxwell/Eric Rowe. He’ll see more of Malcolm Jenkins.


Figuring out the top-end guys (above) is relatively easy. The low-end wideouts are much harder – and more valuable. Each week this season, I’m going to discuss wide receivers under $5000 who I project for at least five targets.

Note: The Following projections are based on the Main Slate Sunday/Monday games only.

1. John Brown, $4900 at Eagles

With Brown, Michael Floyd and Larry Fitzgerald all healthy, it’s difficult to project volume on a week-to-week basis. We do know that Brown has played on 80.8 percent of the snaps across the last four games, averaging 5.7 targets per day in those. We can raise his projection up to the seven target range because of how fast the Eagles play – they allow opposing offenses to run 70.7 plays per game, most in the league by a wide margin.

Projection: Seven targets

2. Michael Floyd, $4400 at Eagles

With both Floyd and John Brown healthy for the last three games, Floyd has played on 63.9 percent of the snaps. It’s a low number to rely on, but he is averaging 7.6 targets per game during that span and has seen 21 in the last two weeks. A gifted and physical athletic specimen, the Eagles woeful corner duo of Byron Maxwell and Eric Rowe would have tons of problems with Floyd if they were healthy. Note that both Maxwell and Rowe are nursing ankle injuries this week.

Projection: Seven targets

3. Dorial Green-Beckham $3800 at Patriots

The Titans are 14-point underdogs at New England Sunday, suggesting they’ll be trailing for much of this game. That should lead to volume for Green-Beckham, especially with Kendall Wright (ribs) looking doubtful. DGB set a season-high in snaps with Wright out last week, getting 88.7 percent and seeing seven targets. Predictably, he was inefficient (3-53-0) thanks in part to Darrelle Revis. The matchup isn’t great this week either, but Green-Beckham is a true physical freak.

Projection: Seven targets

4. Stefon Diggs $4000 vs. Bears

A good place to look for underpriced and underowned WR assets is in those coming off bad matchups. For example, Julio Jones off the Josh Norman game or Allen Robinson off Vontae Davis (twice now). Diggs has faced Patrick Peterson and Richard Sherman the last two weeks, predictably getting held to a total of four catches for 34 yards. Now he gets a softer spot at home against the Bears. He’s still Mehddy Bridgewater’s No. 1 WR, as he played on 68-of-68 snaps last week and led the team with seven targets.

Projection: Seven targets

5. Willie Snead $4600 vs. Lions

Snead’s calf wasn’t an issue against the Bucs last week as he played on 71.7 percent of the snaps and ripped off a 7-122-0 line on eight targets. Now he gets to come home to the dome and it’s possible that Darius Slay follows Brandin Cooks around for at least part of this game. That would leave Snead with a very plus matchup in a game the Saints have an implied team total of 27 points.

Projection: Seven targets

6. Ted Ginn $4600 at Giants

Ted Ginn is the kind of player we like to use at very low ownership because his range of outcomes is so wide. Now that he’s coming off back-to-back two-touchdown games, I fear he’ll be higher owned than he should. On top of that, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Prince Amukamura are no pushovers on the outside no matter how many yards this pass defense gives up weekly. Ginn is a bit of a thin play this week, but he will see at least one bomb from Cam Newton.

Projection: Five targets

7. Anquan Boldin $3900 vs. Bengals

Boldin oddly only saw three targets last week even though he played on 89.3 percent of the snaps and ran 40 pass routes. Quinton Patton smashed his previous career-high with nine targets, a number that shouldn’t happen again. Note that Boldin has seen at least seven targets in eight games this year and has been at double-digits in two of Blaine Gabbert’s five starts. So I expect the volume to be there again, but I probably won’t have much exposure to Boldin. Rostering 35-year-old guys 14 games into the season when they’re part of the league’s worst offense isn’t my thing.

Projection: Seven targets

Honorable mention: Travis Benjamin at Seahawks (eight targets), Brandon LaFell vs. Titans (six targets), Davante Adams at Raiders (six targets), Tyler Lockett vs. Browns (six targets), Kamar Aiken vs. Chiefs (eight targets), Donte Moncrief vs. Texans (seven targets), Marvin Jones at 49ers (six targets)