For wide receivers, volume is necessary. That’s especially true in cash games, where we sacrifice depth of target and ceiling in exchange for a lot of chances.


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TOP-10 WR TARGET PROJECTIONS

These are the receivers I project to see the most targets in Week 11 (Sunday/Monday main slate only):

1. Julio Jones vs. Colts: 12 targets – It’s hard for me to pay $9300 for a wide receiver that will see a lot of Vontae Davis Sunday. But I don’t think Kyle Shanahan and Matt Ryan will shy away from scheming opportunities to their all-world wideout.

2. Mike Evans at Eagles: 12 targets – Vincent Jackson (knee) expected to sit out again and Austin Seferian-Jenkins (shoulder) remains very questionable. This is an up-pace game for Evans, who is averaging 13.2 targets over his last four.

3. DeAndre Hopkins vs. Jets: 11 targets – Julio has a very tough matchup and Hopkins has an impossible one. Quarterbacks have a 44.3 rating and recorded one touchdown while throwing at Revis this year. I’m not going to be spending $8800 on Nuk.

4. Demaryius Thomas: 11 targets – Regular readers know I believe Brock Osweiler will be a massive upgrade for Demaryius and the entire Broncos offense. This duo showed some chemistry last week as all seven of DT’s catches came after Peyton left the game.

5. Brandon Marshall: 10 targets – The Texans play at the second-fastest pace in the league, taking just 23.47 seconds between offensive plays. That should allow Marshall to be around his season average of 10.7 targets.

6. Calvin Johnson: 10 targets – If you watched the Lions host the Bears earlier this year, you know what can happen when Matthew Stafford gets a soft defense at home. The Raiders corner group is better now that Nate Allen is back playing safety and T.J. Carrie is at corner, but it’s still a unit we can attack.

7. Dez Bryant: 9 targets – The last time Dez and Tony Romo (probable, collarbone) played together in Week 1, Dez cost $8700. This week, he’s $7700 and gets an undersized Dolphins corner group. The upgrade from Weeden/Cassel to Romo is obviously exponential.

8. Jarvis Landry: 9 targets – The Cowboys will likely put impressive rookie Byron Jones on Landry, which is a concern. But it won’t stop Landry from doing his thing as a low-ceiling underneath target. He’s averaging 9.7 targets per day yet gets a pathetic 9.8 yards per reception.

9. Larry Fitzgerald: 9 targets – Not even the Seahawks could slow down Fitzgerald, who went 10-130-0 on 15 targets last week. Michael Floyd and John Brown are both fighting hamstring issues.

10. T.Y. Hilton: 9 targets – In Matt Hasselbeck’s two starts earlier this year, Hilton got 13 and 9 targets. The Colts are going to need to throw again as they’re 6-point dogs on the road against the Falcons.

CHEAP PRICE, HIGH VOLUME

Figuring out the top-end guys (above) is relatively easy. The low-end wideouts are much harder – and more valuable. Each week this season, I’m going to discuss wide receivers under $5000 who I project for at least five targets.

Note: The Following projections are based on the Main Slate Sunday/Monday games only.

1. Danny Amendola vs. Bills, $4000

Julian Edelman played both slot and Z in the Patriots offense. Danny Amendola is not particularly suited to playing the Z spot, which is why we’ve heard whispers of Keshawn Martin “filling” Edeman’s role. It’s an item worth noting as it caps Amendola well below Edelman’s projections. Not only is he less talented, but he also won’t have the exact same usage. Still, Amendola is a fine slot man in his own right, has rapport with Tom Brady and has a plus matchup against a defense that teams throw against 63 percent of the time (seventh-most in league). It’s hard not to be very high on Amendola in cash games.

Projection: Eight targets


2. Marvin Jones at Cardinals, $4300

First, let’s look at Jones’ usage. He’s playing on 83.0 percent of the snaps on the season, including a 93.0 mark (66-of-71) against the Texans on Monday night. Jones has seen ample targets during that playing time, averaging 6.4 targets per game overall and 8.2 across his last five. Now we get a sneaky plus spot, as pointed out by ESPN’s Mike Clay. Patrick Peterson will shadow A.J. Green and Tyrann Mathieu will man the slot, leaving Jones to do work against Jerraud Powers. Jones makes for an interesting GPP play as few will be on him thanks to the perception of the Cardinals’ pass defense and a sub-standard game log.

Projection: Seven targets


3. Brandon LaFell vs. Bills, $4300

LaFell was 23.3 percent owned across DraftKings last week and finished with just 2-66-0. But he did see six more targets, giving him 30 in the four games he’s played this season. Now the Patriots are thinned out at pass-catcher, as Julian Edelman (foot) joins Dion Lewis (knee) on the sideline. Look for LaFell, Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski to hog targets against a Bills team that virtually every opponent goes pass-heavy against. Last time the Patriots played Rex Ryan’s unit, they recorded 10 running back rush attempts. Tom Brady dropped back to throw 61 times.

Projection: Seven targets


4. Stevie Johnson vs. Chiefs, $3900

I thought Stevie was a little unlucky to only have 7-68-0 in the game prior to the bye. He got tackled by his shoelaces just outside the end zone in the fourth quarter and Chargers had a really hard time sustaining drives. The situation hasn’t really changed now, as there are only four healthy wideouts on the roster with Keenan Allen (kidney) done and Malcom Floyd (shoulder) looking doubtful. Johnson is going to be featured once again and remains grossly underpriced.

Projection: Eight targets


5. Davante Adams at Vikings, $4600

Adams had an awful game against the Lions and quiet stud corner Darius Slay in Week 11. He failed to separate and dropped at least two easy balls, earning comps to Markus Wheaton. But Adams still recorded 17.9 DraftKings points thanks to an outrageous 21 targets. That came on the heels of an 11-target outburst against the Panthers the week before. Expecting that kind of massive opportunity this week is a mistake against the slow-paced, run-heavy Vikings – especially when Aaron Rodgers was visibly frustrated with Adams at the end of last week. But he’s still a great bet for at least seven targets from arguably the best quarterback in football.

Projection: Seven targets


6. Sammy Watkins at Patriots, $4800

Watkins (ankle) finally looked healthy against the Jets last Thursday night, playing on 59-of-66 snaps. We can ignore his 3-14-0 line as he was up against Darrelle Revis. Now that Watkins has had a long week and gets a far softer matchup, he’s certainly in play with Tyrod Taylor. The last time Watkins faced the Pats, he recorded 6-60-1 on eight targets.

Projection: Eight targets


7. Kamar Aiken vs. Rams, $4800

I was always skeptical on Aiken because his promotion to the No. 1 WR role was not based on merit – it was because of desperation. An already thing Ravens WR corps lost Steve Smith and Breshad Perriman. Aiken had one of the best possible matchups a wideout can have last week (vs. JAX) and still only had 7-73-0 on 14 targets. Now comes a far tougher spot, at St. Louis. Aiken is a good bet to see targets again, but efficiency in a low-scoring game is a concern.

Projection: Seven targets


Honorable mention: Chris Givens (6 targets), Jamison Crowder (6), Michael Floyd (6 if healthy), Pierre Garcon (7), Rishard Matthews (6).