For wide receivers, volume is necessary. That’s especially true in cash games, where we sacrifice depth of target and ceiling in exchange for a lot of chances.


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TOP-10 WR TARGET PROJECTIONS

These are the receivers I project to see the most targets in Week 10 (Sunday/Monday main slate only):

1. DeAndre Hopkins: 12 targets – Nuk is coming off a bye as a 10.5-point underdog in an offense that won’t have Arian Foster. Twelve targets may be conservative given projected game flow.

2. Mike Evans: 11 targets – Dallas’ slow pace is a slight concern to Evans’ volume. But we’ve seen what can happen when the Bucs get behind and Vincent Jackson (knee) isn’t out there. Evans got 19 targets against the Giants and only drops kept him from an epic performance.

3. Demaryius Thomas: 11 targets – Thomas saw a ton of Vontae Davis last week, which funneled targets to Emmanuel Sanders. Expect the pendulum to swing back to DT this week.

4. Odell Beckham Jr.: 10 targets – Bill Belichick’s ability to stop the enemy’s No. 1 option combined with Beckham’s struggles against double teams scares me. Also note OBJ “only” averaging 10.2 targets per game. Similarly tiered players like Julio Jones (13.3), Antonio Brown (13.8 when Big Ben starts) and DeAndre Hopkins (14.1) see more volume.

5. Alshon Jeffery: 10 targets – Matchup against an underrated Rams secondary is difficult, but it’s clear that Alshon and Jay Cutler have something special going on. Targets in their four games together this year are 11, 11, 15, 16.

6. Julian Edelman: 10 targets – Certainly a good spot against a Giants team that is better against the run than the pass, and also one whose strength is at outside corner (assuming Prince Amukamura returns). Edelman hasn’t had more than seven catches in any of his last six games, but it’s coming.

7. Allen Robinson: 10 targets – The Ravens have given up the 2nd-most points to opposing wideouts and the 10th-fewest to opposing running backs. It’s a perfect funnel spot to get on Robinson, especially with Allen Hurns (foot) banged up.

8. Calvin Johnson: 10 targets – Fighting a bit of an ankle issue, but shouldn’t be a real concern coming out of the bye. The Lions are going to be trailing plenty in this game at Lambeau, meaning volume for Megatron.

9. Antonio Brown: 9 targets – I won’t be paying $8800 for a wide receiver when his quarterback is Landry Jones. But the Steelers would be insane not to force-feed Brown the ball at least nine times.

10. Jarvis Landry: 9 targets – The Eagles’ rabid pace means more possessions than usual for the Dolphins. Note that Landry averages 11.2 targets in the Dolphins’ five losses vs. 7.0 in their three wins. The Eagles have been installed as 6.5-point favorites.

CHEAP PRICE, HIGH VOLUME

Figuring out the top-end guys (above) is relatively easy. The low-end wideouts are much harder – and more valuable. Each week this season, I’m going to discuss wide receivers under $5000 who I project for at least five targets.

Note: The Following projections are based on the Main Slate Sunday/Monday games only.

1. Brandon LaFell: $4100

As noted in this space last week, the Patriots have not eased LaFell in off his foot injury at all. He’s played at least 71 percent of the snaps in all three of his games and has seen at least seven targets in each as well. Now the Patriots will be playing without Dion Lewis (7.1 targets per game) and are matched up with a Giants defense that has struggled to contain outside wide receivers without Prince Amukamura (questionable, pectoral).

Projection: Seven targets


2. Kamar Aiken: $4500

Steve Smith (Achilles’) is done for the year and Breshad Perriman (knee) is nowhere close. The Ravens have no choice but to ride with Aiken as their No. 1 wideout. It’s a role he’s certainly not suited for, but it is one he can have success in against Jacksonville. The Jags have faced Ryan Fitzpatrick, E.J. Manuel and Brian Hoyer in their last three games, yet given up 612 yards with six TDs to opposing wideouts during that span. Aiken, who had at least six targets in 5-of-8 games already this year, is about to get lots more opportunities.

Projection: Eight targets


3. Davante Adams: $4200

Let’s not write off preseason darling Davante Adams just yet. In the two games since his return from an ankle injury, he’s played on 96.9 percent of the snaps. Unfortunately, he’s had to face two of the worst possible matchups for a wide receiver, Denver and Carolina. This week, Adams’ snap rate will hold around 100 percent yet he gets a soft spot – home vs. Detroit. Although Adam’s disappointing on-field performances give this play some risk, he’s still too cheap relative to his role in this matchup.

Projection: Six targets


4. Willie Snead: $4900

At some point, Snead is going to graduate from this article just like Stefon Diggs, Michael Crabtree and Eric Decker before him. That’s because he continues to get volume from a rejuvenated Drew Brees. Snead has played at least 70 percent of the snaps in five straight games, averaging 8.2 targets per game during that span. The Saints’ anemic defense certainly helps Snead as it leads to the kind of shootouts we’ve seen the last two weeks. Expect similar against the Redskins’ crumbling defense Sunday.

Projection: Eight targets


5. Golden Tate: $4600

Tate opened the season as a $6300 player and has gradually ticked down. This is the first week he’s below the $5000 mark. It’s understandable, as Tate is averaging just 5.0 catches for 47.1 yards and 0.12 touchdowns per game. Still, we can’t ignore a talented player who has at least six targets in 7-of-8 games this year with two double-digit target games. Tate is on the GPP radar in a game at Lambeau the Lions will be trailing for a lot of.

Projection: Eight targets


6. Rueben Randle: $3900

Sapped explosion due to seemingly chronic knee woes has had me off Roob all year. And it’ll probably stay that way. But Randle should see increased volume this week in an up-pace matchup against a Patriots defense that should stuff the Giants’ run game with ease. He has at least five targets in seven straight games – just note he hasn’t topped 68 yards in any of the last six.

Projection: Six targets


7. Pierre Garcon: $4800

Even with DeSean Jackson back last week, Garcon saw eight targets. A lot of that had to do with game flow in a blowout against the Patriots, but this week’s home game against the Saints is as good as it gets in terms of matchup. There’s enough room for Garcon, Jackson and Jordan Reed to hit the top end of their target range.

Projection: Seven targets