Wild Card Weekend is here! Let’s look at some top-level talent that you should either Fade or Chase.
Aaron Rodgers – $6,400 (Fade)
It hasn’t felt like a typical Aaron Rodgers type season and it is probably is in large part to the loss of wide receiver Jordy Nelson. Nelson has accounted for 43 touchdowns in the last four seasons. He still had a solid season without his number one wideout and a lack of balance in the running game. A-Rod will face a Redskins secondary that allowed 30 passing touchdowns in the regular season. The Redskins have won four straight games heading into the postseason and have a 6-2 record at Fed-Ex field. The Packers were 5-3 on the road, but have lost six out of their last 10 games. He has ranked 28th in passer rating and 17th in QBR with 15 touchdowns and five interceptions in the last nine games. It is January and I’m talking about Aaron Rodgers in the playoffs. He’s special but the offense has been trending downwards for a while. Unfortunately, Rodgers is a shaky play.
Antonio Brown – $9,600 (Chase)
I have been asked before who the best wide receiver in the NFL is.. After a season in which he caught 136 balls, 1834 receiving yards, and 10 touchdowns, my answer is Antonio Brown. He is the most expensive player on the slate this weekend and deservedly so. In two games in 2015 against the Bengals, Brown caught 13 passes, 134 yards, and a touchdown. The Bengals have kept him in check so far. Fading him might be dumb but could also pay off because he’s sure to be highly owned. Brown should be a staple of cash lineups even with a close to $10k tag.
The Vikings/Seahawks game this weekend has the second lowest point total with frigid condition. The game should be closer than it was when they played week 13. The Seahawks pounded the Vikings 38-7. The Seahawks have limited opposing running backs to 3.6 yards per carry which is fourth-best in the league. If the Seahawks jump out in front early, Adrian Peterson’s role could be limited. Peterson had eight carries for 18 yards the first time these two teams played and now he is hampered with ankle and shoulder issues. He is obviously in play on an extremely short slate and a short list of options but this matchup is awful. Pay up to be contrarian? No thanks.
A.J. Green – $7,500 (Chase)
This will be the third time the Steelers and Bengals have met this season and Vegas has it close (-2.5) with a chance of a shootout. Both teams have been plagued with injuries on offense so the matchup on paper doesn’t look nearly as fun as it could have been with both of their squads healthy. A.J. Green should torment the Steelers corners and continue his pace of six or more receptions in all but TWO of his 10 career games against the Steelers. Green has scored touchdowns in three of the past four games against Pittsburgh. It will be tough sledding for the ground game and that should make Green heavily targeted.
Jordan Reed – $6,300 (Chase)
Jordan Reed is one of the few tight ends that can provide a ceiling similar to some elite wide receivers. When he is healthy (which isn’t often) his mixture of size and athleticism present nightmares to opposing defenses. Reed had 87 catches, 952 yards and nine touchdowns this year which were all career highs. Reed plays with physicality and is a headache for any defensive coordinator. Ten targets is a distinct possibility during Wild Card Weekend and he may be the cheapest elite option on the slate. Dollar for dollar he is a top play this weekend.