Each week, I’ll be playing the age old game, NFL style. There are always new faces that pop up, and you’ll need to know which guys to chase or fade. Get me on Twitter – @lonero_justin. Let’s get to it!
Tim Hightower – $3,900 (Chase)
When the Saints lost Mark Ingram, you assumed they were desperate to fill the role. Along came 29 year old Tim Hightower who ended up with the bulk of the carries. Hightower had 28 carries for 85 yards and a touchdown last week. This week the Saints will host the Lions under the lights on Monday night in a game that features the highest point total on the slate (50.5). It is obviously easy for us to be skeptical of using Tim this week given his absence from the league for a couple years. All we need to know is the Lions have allowed more touchdowns on the ground than any other team (18) and they are giving up 115.9 rushing yards per game. Hightower is a volume back at a sub 4k price tag. Merry Christmas.
Denard Robinson – $4,600 (Chase)
Rookie running back T.J. Yeldon is falling apart physically and no one should be surprised. They drafted him this season to be a 3-down back. Here we are in week 15 and the tread on his tires is fading. It seems fitting that “Shoe Lace” Denard Robinson filled in nicely last week in a waxing of the Colts. I’m not going to lie, his price aggravates me. How can he be in the same price range as Shaun Draughn, Gio Bernard, Buck Allen, James Starks, James White, and Latavius Murray already? Now that I’ve name dropped, I suppose his cost reflects how much volume he could potentially receive against an Atlanta Falcons run defense that has allowed the second most rushing touchdowns (17) this season. Robinson has underachieved mostly at this point, but this is a new Jaguars offense that can put up a ton of points. Use him, just don’t expect to see Walter Payton numbers.
Willie Snead – $4,600 (Chase)
For some reason I think of Willie Beamen from ‘Any Given Sunday’ when I hear Willie Snead’s name. Jamie Foxx hardly resembles Snead but maybe they can both sing. Snead bounced back in week 14 in his return from a calf injury catching 7-of-8 targets for 122 yards. Snead has showed us 25 point upside this season and Drew Brees appears to look his way often. There are negatives and positives to playing Snead. The negative side is Drew Brees could spread it to Brandin Cooks, Marques Colston, Brandon Coleman and Ben Watson as well. On a positive note, he comes at a cheap price against a Lions secondary that has allowed 20 receiving touchdowns this season. In tournaments we want to differentiate ourselves from the pack and Snead won’t be highly owned.
Robert Woods – $3,800 (Fade)
Robert Woods is to fantasy football as canned soup is to the back of the cupboard. We use him only when we have to. I’ll give him credit, he caught 5-of-7 targets last week for 106 yards. As DFS players the obvious receiving options for the Bills this season have been Sammy Watkins and Charles Clay. Clay may be sidelined with a back injury which could increase Woods role. I’m not buying it. He doesn’t provide the upside or stability of the freshly sliced cold cut’s that haven’t been touched. He is a punt.
Albert Wilson – $3,600 (Fade)
I learned this week that the Chiefs are a more successful team without Jamaal Charles than when he was healthy. Just another argument on how running backs are easily expendable and can be found everywhere. During week 14, Albert Wilson has a career day by his standards and was targeted the most of any Chiefs receiver. He hasn’t topped four receptions all season which makes him a pretty unreliable fantasy option. He does have a good matchup against the Ravens this week but don’t get too cute by playing him. Being option 4 or 5 in the passing game on the Chiefs is like being the fifth guy off the bench for the 76ers.
Isaiah Crowell – $4,000 (Fade)
Isaiah Crowell rushed for 145 yards and two touchdowns week 14 against a sad 49ers football team. If he wasn’t playing the Seahawks on the road as a -14.5 point underdog, I’d likely advocate for him.. He has become somewhat of a plodder and the Browns are a flat offense making them none dimensional. Using Crowell is best suited for large tournaments such as the Millionaire Maker. It is good to see what he is capable of doing when he is fed, but the 49ers and the Seahawks run defenses are at two different ends of the spectrum.