Everyone knows the high-priced stars that they’d love to load their lineups with, but you’ll need low-priced value plays to make it all work. Let’s look at who that might be for Week 13.
Values here are $5.5K and below for QBs, less than $5K for RB/WR, less than $4K for TE and less than $3K for DEF. Contact me with any questions on Twitter @JasonWalkerDFS.
Matt Barkley ($5,000) – He’s at the rock-bottom minimum for QB in a high paced game (both SF and CHI are top 10 pace teams), a projected close game and Barkley threw 54 times last week, scoring 25.60 DK points in the process.
Alex Smith ($5,400) – Process of elimination leads us to Smith, who has quietly put up 20.40 and 15 DK points the last two weeks, attempting 31 and 44 passes in those two games. This week’s game, in Atlanta, is forecasted to be high scoring, with the projected total resting at 49 right now and the Falcons 4.5 point favorites. When the Chiefs are trailing by a touchdown, they are the sixth fastest pace team in the league.
Andy Dalton ($5,200) – Philly has been tough this season, but they are banged up in the secondary and gave up 26.12 points to Aaron Rodgers Monday Night. Now Dalton is at home and the Bengals are favored, giving him a solid floor for his price.
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Jeremy Hill ($4,300) – He did split snaps with Rex Burkhead last week, but he got six targets and all the red zone work, taking him to 14.20 DK points despite a poor running showing against the top ranked Ravens. Given the aforementioned favorites status of the Bengals, at home, Hill is solid for cash games here again.
James Starks ($4,400) – He’s not a great running back, but he is at home, the Packers are forecasted to score 26.3 points and are favored by seven. You want the undisputed RB on that team, and Starks, who got 54 of the 71 running back snaps and five of the seven targets out of the backfield, makes for another solid cash game play here.
Kenneth Dixon ($3,700) – He finally passed Terrance West in snaps last week but West got the most red zone work. Against the Dolphins, who are 19th against the run and 6th against the pass, Dixon should see more work and makes for the higher ceiling as a tourney punt play.
Tim Hightower ($4,800) – Just because Mark Ingram has been hot does not mean that Hightower won’t get work against the second worst defense and in the Superdome. He offers cheap tourney access to a high projected total (53.5).
Tyreek Hill ($4,600) – The Chiefs are finding interesting ways to access Hill’s playmaking, even using him in the Wildcat formation to get him a score last week. This week, the Chiefs will likely fall behind, and Hill, who was targeted ten times last week, will be a primary vehicle for the Chiefs to score.
Editor’s Note: Marvin Jones is a “longshot” to play against the Saints today, per Ian Rapoport. Be sure to check his status before game time.
Marvin Jones ($4,400) – The game has a high projected total, he received 11 targets last week and he has a top matchup against Delvin Breaux. There are three reasons to consider jumping back to Marvin this week at his ridiculously low $4.4K price.
Marquess Wilson ($4,000) – It was Wilson that emerged from Barkley’s 50+ pass attempts Week 12 with 11 targets, eight catches and 125 yards, and Wilson has the best individual matchup this week in the high pace game against the 49ers.
Mohamed Sanu ($4,400) – Sanu has the recent target and red zone volume in this high game total and the best matchup, lined up against the very weak Phillip Gaines. Sanu leads the team with five targets inside the 10 yard line this season.
Tyler Boyd ($4,800) – Strong correlation with QB Andy Dalton, obviously, Boyd stepped into his new role as top WR and came across with a solid, nine-target, five catch outing and now will be at home with a slightly easier matchup for him.
Eric Ebron ($3,900) – Forget last week and target the Saints in this high total, likely passing-friendly game for Ebron and the Lions. He played 49 of 61 snaps, so availability is not a concern, just matchup, something rectified by playing New Orleans who is 21st ranked against tight ends this season.
Vance McDonald ($2,900) – This is a good matchup against the Bears, who are in the bottom ten at defending the tight end position. McDonald and Colin Kaepernick clearly have a vibe together, as McDonald has at least six targets in each of the the last five games, including eight against Miami in Week 12.
Coby Fleener ($3,500) – He saw significantly less snaps last week, but they really did not need the pass catching tight end as they were blowing doors last week. Fleener goes against the 28th ranked Lions TE defense this week, and while he is always considered to be a trap play, he will have access to touchdowns this week and needs to get a look.
San Diego Chargers ($2,900) – The Bucs are 28th in turnovers per drive while the Chargers defense is second at creating turnovers per drive — with the Chargers as 3.5 point favorites at home and Jameis Winston sometimes turnover prone, I think they are a solid play here.
Washington Redskins ($2,400) – The risky road play is Washington, who has the seventh best pass rush against the 26th ranked pass protection of the Cardinals. Also, Arizona is 25th in turnovers per drive on offense.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.