WATCH: VALUE PLAY – RANDALL COBB
Everyone knows the high-priced stars that they’d love to load their lineups with, but you’ll need low-priced value plays to make it all work. Let’s look at who that might be for Week .
Values are $6K and below for QBs, less than $5K for RB/WR, less than $4K for TE and less than $3K for DEF. Contact me with any questions on Twitter @JasonWalkerDFS.
Dak Prescott ($6,000) – It’s a home game, and he’s facing a Packers pass defense that was the worst part of their defensive offering this season, ranking in the bottom five. With the Packers likely to overplay to stop Ezekiel Elliott, it will be on Dak to produce in a favorable matchup. His salary also allows excellent flexibility when trying to get more solid throughout the other positions.
Alex Smith ($5,400) – Another flexibility play, as his $5,400 salary helps significantly with rostering some of the more expensive players on the slate. Smith playing at home which will help as well with weapons like Tyreek Hill, Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce.
Dion Lewis ($3,900) – It is go-time now for the Patriots, and this is why they have been working Dion Lewis back into game shape late in the season. Lewis should resume his pass catching and rushing duties now that it is the postseason, the same kind of workload that thrust him into DFS relevance last season before his injury.
Tevin Coleman ($4,500) – He will continue to split time with Devonta Freeman, but Coleman has plenty of snap, target and red-zone equity in a huge projected team total (28.3) to make value at his salary.
Terrance Williams ($3,100) – He has solid target, reception and snap volume, who also grades out as having the best individual matchup of the slate against Damarious Randall. The Cowboys also have a high projected team total (28.5), and if the game theory is that the Packers will try to stop Elliott and leave the game in Dak’s hands, Williams will benefit at nearly min salary.
Paul Richardson ($4,100) – With a game script sporting a high projected game total and the Seahawks chasing the host Falcons, the Seahawks will likely have to pass against a Falcons defense that finished as one of the bottom teams in DVOA. Richardson has filled the Tyler Lockett role nicely and has caught two touchdowns in the past three games.
Jeremy Maclin ($4,300) – Come playoff time, veteran QBs like Alex Smith tend to lean on veteran pass catchers like Travis Kelce and Maclin, who hauled in four catches his last game.
WATCH: VALUE PLAY – JARED COOK
Jason Witten ($3,500) – With a rookie QB in a tight game looking for a dependable receiver and a home game to boot, Witten should be looked to plenty in this game. Witten caught 10 passes in the last game before the Cowboys wrapped everything up, and the full point per reception increases his floor.
Jared Cook ($3,900) – In the playoff game against the Giants last week, Cook was targeted nine times and brought down five of those. With red zone magnet Jordy Nelson likely out, Cook is in the mix for those end zone targets.
Atlanta Falcons ($2,600) – Favored in their home game, the Falcons will get a Seahawks offensive line that ranked 25th in Adjusted Sack Rate and finished in the middle of the pack in turnovers per drive.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jaywalker72) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.