From obscurity a week ago, there have been some huge salary jumps like Donte Moncrief and Martavis Bryant, who now enter the Top 20 WRs after increases of around $2,500. Brandon LaFell also finds himself in a surprising spot as our 11th WR this week, as he and Odell Beckham Jr. saw their price tags increase $1,200 since last week. With 6 teams out of action, there have been significant price shake-ups leading to values deeper down the list across all positions.
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Alex Smith, NYJ @ KC, $5,700 – Smith enters Week 9 as the 20th QB salary, priced only $700 above the QB minimum. All 3 QBs on the Redskins roster are priced higher this week. Although he has yet to throw for 300 yards, he tends to make efficient use of his throws. In Weeks 3 and 4 he combined for 6 TDs, but has trailed off as of late scoring only twice in his last 3 games. Smith gets the benefit of staying at home this week to face a terrible Jets secondary that has already surrendered 22 TDs. An added bonus is that he is likely going to get you 20-30 rushing yards, although his true make-or-break value relies on his TD production. There are only 5 starting QBs priced lower this week.
Allen Robinson, JAX @ CIN, $4,900 – Although it’s hard to fully consider him a value after his $500 increase this week, Robinson should still provide a strong bang for your buck. The rookie from Penn State has nearly doubled the reception count of the next highest Jaguars WR, with 39 catches. His usage has been consistent since Week 2, as he has averaged almost 9 targets per game since then. Robinson’s main deficiency has been his lack of TD production, but he has squashed that notion the past 2 weeks with back-to-back scoring efforts. He has quickly become a favorite of Blake Bortles, and provides lots of value as our 27th WR on a major bye week when options are limited.
Cordarrelle Patterson, WAS @ MIN, $4,800 – Patterson finally proved to have a pulse last week after recording his first double-digit target game of the entire season. Excluding a 67-yard run in Week 1, he has managed only 246 total yards over the first 7 games, an average of 35 yards per contest. Before catching 6 balls for 86 yards last week, Patterson’s price bottomed out in Week 8 at $3,300, which is roughly half of his Week 2 salary. Now his price is back on the upswing increasing $1,500 since last week. I’m not sure this classifies him as a value but his ups-and-downs illustrate how volatile some players can be in the salary structure. It’s hard to have confidence in a player who has failed to record a 100-yard receiving performance or emerge as a go-to threat in the redzone.
Jeremy Hill, JAX @ CIN, $4,000 – With Giovani Bernard not practicing Wednesday after suffering a hip injury in the 4th quarter last week, his Week 9 status is certainly in question. If Bernard misses time, Hill is the obvious beneficiary with an ideal matchup at home this weekend against the Jaguars. The Bengals offense has been in a funk with A.J. Green out, but he’s expected back this week. Best case scenario for Hill is Green returning and Bernard being inactive, which would immediately make him one of the better plays this week. Keep an eye on the injury report up until gametime because your patience here could pay big dividends.
Jason Witten, ARI @ DAL, $3,200 – The 9-time Pro Bowler produced his best fantasy performance of the year in an overtime loss to the Redskins last week. He was targeted 8 times finishing with 5 catches, 70 yards, and a game-tying TD in the 4th quarter. Although he has way more value to the Cowboys than is captured in the box score, he shouldn’t be priced only $200 above the TE minimum. Although Tony Romo‘s back injury could keep him out of action, Brandon Weeden filled in nicely last week scoring on his only drive of the game. He would not be a huge detriment to Witten’s value if called upon again. The Cowboys will look to bounce back Sunday in a key NFC matchup of 6-win teams as they face the Cardinals. As our 20th priced TE, Witten offers great value at the position.
5 More to Consider
Ryan Tannehill, SD @ MIA, $6,300
Julian Edelman, DEN @ NE, $4,100
Alfred Morris, WAS @ MIN, $3,900
John Brown, ARI @ DAL, $3,800
Zach Ertz, PHI @ HOU, $3,800
5 Deeper Values to Consider
Brandon Weeden, ARI @ DAL, $5,000 (if active)
Lorenzo Taliaferro, BAL @ PIT, $3,300
Stedman Bailey, STL @ SF, $3,000
Isaiah Crowell, TB @ CLE, $3,000
Jared Cook, STL @ SF, $3,000