Week 11 marks the last week of byes as the Browns, Steelers, Giants, and Saints are missing from action. Andrew Luck and Colin Kaepernick will also be sidelined, while Tony Romo makes a much needed return for the Cowboys, who are currently on a 7-game skid. Lets take a look at some key players in the late games.
Adrian Peterson, GB @ MIN, $6,800 – Despite rumbling for 203 yards last week on his 3rd consecutive 100-plus yard effort, AP finds himself at his lowest price of the year. He is under $7,000 for the first time all season, at a price $1,000 less than his Week 4 value. This discount is surprising given that the Vikings host an opponent that ranks 24th against the run, surrendering 116 YPG. After a lost season, Peterson has lead his team to a 7-2 start, with a whopping 227 yard lead in this year’s rushing title with 961 yards. Last week, AP tied O.J. Simpson’s NFL record of six 200-yard rushing games, and doesn’t look to be slowing down anytime soon. At a price $1,600 less than leading RB Devonte Freeman, plug him in at a surprising discount for Week 11.
Danny Woodhead, KC @ SD, $5,300 – Woodhead’s 45 receptions ranks him 2nd among RBs, and he has been a clear go-to for Phillip Rivers, with Keenan Allen and Branden Oliver out for the year. Oliver had amassed 32 touches in the 3 weeks before he went down, leaving Melvin Gordon and Woodhead as the main threats out of the backfield. In the first week following Oliver’s injury, Woodhead finished with 23 points, and his 16.7 PPG puts him 8th among RBs. Whenever the 2-7 Chargers are playing from behind, Woodhead has been the focus and Rivers has demonstrated full trust in him. With Ladarius Green’s status also in question, that leaves Woodhead and Antonio Gates as the primary targets for the Chargers.
Tyrod Taylor, BUF @ NE, $5,200 – After 3 straight games under 200 passing yards, few would put much confidence in Taylor despite his hot start. But after suffering an MCL sprain, he seems to be back to full strength, and has averaged 7 rushing attempts per game this season. His running ability certainly adds value to the position, and facing a Patriots team that has the ability to put up big points, he should continue to be aggressive. In their last meeting, Taylor finished with 4 TDs and a season high 29 points. With a full arsenal of weapons at his disposal, he should have another opportunity to put up big numbers. At just $200 above the QB minimum he is a high ceiling, low-cost play this week.
Davante Adams, GB @ MIN, $4,600 – Adams has had the lion share of looks for the Packers over the past 2 weeks with 32 targets. Although they have translated into monster numbers, he has still reassumed his role as the number 2 target for Green Bay behind Randall Cobb. In his sophomore season from Fresno State, Adams will be heavily relied upon by Aaron Rodgers in the 2nd half of the year. Over the past 2 weeks, he has an impressive 17 catches for 173 yards. With a price tag outside the top 20 WRs, he has some value at a $2,100 discount from Cobb this week.
Brandon LaFell, BUF @ NE, $4,300 – With the Patriots losing Julian Edelman for what seems to be the remainder of the regular season, LaFell will need to step up to fill the void. After being activated from the PUP list in Week 7, he is still regaining form coming back from a foot injury, but will be critical for New England’s stretch run. Danny Amendola is another player that will take on a larger role, but LaFell is likely to see the most snaps. He has averaged 11 PPG the past 3 weeks, and that number should be on the uptick moving forward. LaFell faces a beatable Bills secondary that has yielded 252 YPG through the air, and is a high-upside option on Monday night in New England.
Charles Clay, BUF @ NE, $4,000 – Aside from a blown coverage that led to an 87-yard TD for Odell Beckham Jr. last week, Malcolm Butler held the wideout to 3 catches for 14 yards. If Butler can clamp down similarly on Sammy Watkins, this could mean a big day for Clay who is Tyrod Taylor’s favorite target over the middle. With the absence of LB Jamie Collins, Clay should create mismatches for the Patriots, and be a major PPR factor. He scored in his first meeting against New England this year and will have another chance to do so on Monday Night Football. He is a cheap start this week as the 10th priced TE.
More to Consider
Aaron Rodgers, GB @ MIN, $7,500
Marshawn Lynch, SF @ SEA, $6,700
Tyler Eifert, CIN @ ARI, $5,900
Jeremy Maclin, KC @ SD, $5,000
Charcandrick West, KC @ SD, $4,500
Danny Amendola, BUF @ NE, $4,000