As the preseason continues, it’s unfortunate but almost inevitable that some players will suffer injuries. In fact, there have already been some significant injuries that will force some players who were set to start Week 1, to be ruled out. Below I’ll go over some of the injuries thus far and how it can affect DFS players at the start of the season.
Jordy Nelson WR – Torn ACL – Out for the season
Nelson’s injury has created a ton of buzz questioning the need for preseason games. He suffered an injury in his second catch of the team’s second preseason game. This injury affects almost the entire offense. It hurts Aaron Rodgers because Nelson accounted for 43 of Rodgers’ touchdowns in the last four seasons. However, other players benefit from his injury. Randall Cobb ($8000), Davante Adams ($4400), Jeff Janis ($3000), Eddie Lacy ($7500), and Richard Rodgers ($2500) all should see an increased roll. I would throw in Ty Montgomery into the list, but we are talking about Week 1, and I’m not anticipating him moving ahead of Janis by then. Cobb already was one of the better receivers last season, but now that Nelson is out, he could be even better. His $8000 may appear steep, but if you weigh in his volume, efficiency, and red zone targets, he may actually be a bargain in Week 1. Cobb caught 72% of his targets, caught 91 passes, and was targeted 27 times in the red zone (Nelson was targeted 32 times). Adams also becomes an interesting option at his low price. He’ll be the number two receiver in one of the best offenses in the league, led by arguably the best quarterback in the game. Lacy could see a boost in targets and should be the core of many cash game’s lineups at his reasonable price. You can consider Janis a flier, or punt play in Week 1. Rodgers did throw 10 touchdowns against the Bears last season, so if he carves them up like that once again, Janis could be the recipient of a touchdown. The one player that intrigues me the most is Richard Rodgers who is at a dirt cheap price. At the bare minimum, it’s almost a no brainer to plug in Rodgers at tight end in tournaments. The 6’4 sophomore tight end can be an appealing target for Aaron Rodgers in the red zone in Week 1. The tight end position is very volatile. If you’re not paying for Gronk, or like in this case, he plays Thursday and isn’t available for Sunday’s tournaments, then what I would suggest is looking for the cheapest tight end with a good matchup and in a good situation. Richard Rodgers fits both of those descriptions. It also helps that he is at the cheapest possible salary for a tight end and has a very good matchup.
C.J. Spiller RB – Knee Surgery – Questionable for Week 1
Spiller had a knee scope procedure done, but is expected to be ready for Week 1. If by any chance he isn’t ready for the first week, Mark Ingram ($5600) becomes a back to seriously consider. With no threat to lost touches to Spiller, Ingram could be forced to run the ball 20+ times. Last season, anytime he carried the ball 20 or more times, he never scored fewer than 16.7 fantasy points, including two 27 fantasy point performances. He closed out the season with a rushing touchdown in each of the last three games, and could very well start off last season where he left off if Spiller is out.
Mike Evans WR – Hamstring- Sitting out preseason, Questionable for Week 1
The Bucs have decided to shut Evans out for the rest of the preseason due to his hamstring injury. At this time it appears that it’s a minor injury and that he’ll be ready for Week 1. However, hamstring injuries tend to linger and if that’s the case, he could sit out or play at less than 100% healthy and being a decoy essentially. Vincent Jackson ($6000) is already in play Week 1, but even more so if Evans sits Week 1 out. He remains tournament play only because, despite more volume, Jackson still offers a low floor as he’s a boom-or-bust type player.
Zach Ertz TE – Groin Surgery – Doubtful for Week 1
Ertz underwent groin surgery and is doubtful to start the season. At this point, it’s not looking like he will be suited up with his team in the season opener against the Falcons. Being that this could potentially be a shootout, there are several players to keep in mind from this offense. Jordan Matthews ($7200), Nelson Agholor ($5700), Brent Celek ($2500), and even Darren Sproles ($3300) could possibly see and expanded role in Week 1. You might also want to consider Ryan Mathews ($3600) because of his price. Of the bunch, Celek makes the most sense. He’s at the absolute minimum for a player at his position and has a great matchup. This game has an over/under of 53.5 points and a spread of 1.5. It’s clear that Vegas thinks this game will be high scoring and close, which is always a plus for pass catchers. It’s tough to find value like this in such a volatile position, so the low risk in the price you’re paying is definitely worth the possible reward.Keep an eye on…..
- Browns running back situation
- Bucs running back situation
- Cowboys running back situation
- Redskins tight end situation
- Patriots wide receiver situation
That’s all for now, until next time!