Eagles @ Giants

Point Total: 51.5
Spread: Giants -3


DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Eagles 30th 31st 27th 7th 26.7
Giants 31st 28th 25th 31st 27.1

Neither of these teams have anything to play for, although the Eagles will be playing without head coach
Chip Kelly for the first time all season so its possible we see them a little more amped for this game.

QB/D

The Giants defense has been supremely giving to opposing QBs allowing the most yards passing of any team all season. Sam Bradford has actually passed for more than 300 yards in two straight games and been not terrible for fantasy. I see Bradford as very capable of getting you 20+ fantasy points against a Giants defense who don’t rush the QB or defend opposing receivers very well. He’s a consideration this week in a game which should feature little to no defense.

I have almost similar feelings about Eli Manning this week as well. The Eagles have allowed 3 or more passing TDs in 4 of their last 6 games and the second most TDs to opposing QBs all season. Manning had an awful week 16 but gets his favorite target back for this game and should hopefully have a much easier time against the porous Eagles defense. He’s definitely a possibility for a big game as well.

RB

The Giants have been one of the worst teams to target for RBs this season. Four Backs continue to be in the mix for carries and all of them eat into each other’s fantasy potential. The Eagles run defense has been crumbling as the season has rolled on and got rolled by David Johnson a few weeks ago. It’s possible either Shane Vereen or Rashad Jennings has a decent game here as the Eagles have given 29 receptions and 6 TDs to RBs over their last four games. Either could be a decent value play this week as they’re both priced under 4k and should split the majority of the work between them.

The Eagles also are splitting time between four backs and with Chip Kelly out of the picture it’s almost impossible to tell how things will break down this week workload wise. I love the matchup but unless word comes out that one of Sproles, Murray or Mathews is injured then I’d probably just avoid all three. It’s a situation to monitor but likely to avoid to unless something changes.

WR/TE

Here’s the targets from the Eagles past two games:


Player Week 15 Week 16
Zach Ertz 14 18
Jordan Matthews 11 8
Darren Sproles 4 9

TE Zach Ertz has an astounding 32 targets over his last two games making him a virtual must play this week given his price is still only $3600. The Giants have been horrible at covering the TE position all year and allowed the bigger but slower Kyle Rudolph to have a big game against them on far less targets last week. Ertz has developed chemistry with QB Sam Bradford (finally) and should be in for at least a decent game, and possible a massive one in week 17… A lot of what I just said can be applied to WR Jordan Matthews as well. Matthews started the season poorly but has taken off the last couple of weeks recording back to back games with 100 yards and a TD. WRs have been having their way against the Giants of late and Matthews size and skill make him an excellent target in this game at only $4700 as well.

New York gets Odell Beckham back for week 17 which is good news for fantasy purposes. The Eagles secondary is one of the worst in the league and have given up 8 TDs to the position over their last 5 games. It appears as if Byron Maxwell will be covering Beckham in this game which is great news for fantasy. Eagles rookie CB Eric Rowe has arguably been their best defensive player the past couple of games and will likely see more of Reuben Randle in this game which might limit his upside as a play this week. Either way I’d definitely make Beckham a target if you’re thinking about paying up at WR and probably even consider Randle who is still only $3600 and could also benefit from the Eagles propensity for giving up TDs to WRs… I don’t mind Will Tye in this game as a secondary option for Eli to throw too either, I’m just not sure how’d you play someone at TE who is more expense ($4000) than Zach Ertz on DK, yet getting far less targets every week.

Gameflow: This should legitimately be called the no defense bowl. Neither of these teams have shown anything on defense the past few weeks (or all season for that matter). I expect the Eagles to be somewhat happy that supposed “tyrant” Chip Kelly is gone and the Eagles pass game has been clicking lately as well. I’ll take them to win a game I’m anticipating may look like flag football at times.

Eagles 34 Giants 28

Primary Targets:

Zach Ertz $3600
Jordan Matthews $4700
Odell Beckham $9000

Secondary Targets:

Shane Vereen $3800
Sam Bradford $5300
Eli Manning $5600
Rueben Randle $3600


Steelers @ Browns

Point Total: 47.5
Spread: Steelers -10


DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Steelers 26th 32nd 2nd 25th 20.5
Browns 27th 26th 17th 6th 26.9

The Steelers still have a shot at making the playoffs with a win this week although they’d need a Jets loss as well. It will be all hands on deck for Pittsburgh. Cleveland has nothing to play for but that is nothing new for them.

QB/D

I was all set to suggest Johnny Manziel as a play this week versus a Pittsburgh defense who’s given up lots of points to the QB position this year. However, Manziel is out with a concussion meaning Austin Davis will start at QB. Even though Pittsburgh has serious issues in their secondary I still can’t recommend Davis who won’t get you any of the run points you could have counted on with Manziel. Given the lack of prep time for Davis Pittsburgh’s defense might even end up being a decent tournament play this week at $3500.

Ben Roethlisberger burned everyone with a terrible game last week but gets an equally good matchup in week 17. The Browns have allowed the fourth most passing TDs on the year and struggled to defend the pass since the loss of Joe Haden early in the year. While Roethlisberger might not be your favorite person right now if you roster him this week you’ll be getting him at a much lower ownership percentage and in just as good a matchup. I like him to bounce back in this game and think he’s a great target week 17.

RB

The Cleveland run game isn’t fit to be used in this game, especially considering how stout the Pittsburgh run defense is. While many may flock to PITT RB DeAneglo Williams in this game realize that the Cleveland run defense has been very solid lately (after a poor start) and have only allowed one rushing TD in their last 8 games. Given that Williams will see huge volume in this game, both in the run and the pass, I still think he’s in a good spot this week to perform. At $7100 he’s pricy but remains one of the safest options in DFS at RB, even if the matchup is a little tougher than it appears.

WR/TE

Here’s the passing targets for the Steelers the past two weeks:


Player Week 15 Week 16
Antonio Brown 20 10
Martavis Bryant 14 4
Markus Wheaton 11 6

I mentioned before how Julio Jones had a chance to break a couple receiving records this week, well Antonio Brown isn’t that far off a couple either. Brown would need 22 catches to break the all time season record which is nearly impossible but just goes to show you how good a year Brown has had. The Browns don’t really have a shut down corner and I can’t see their secondary doing what Jimmy Smith did last week (keeping Brown to just 7-61). He should be primed for a monster week and along with Beckham, Hopkins and Jones will be one of four elite WRs with great matchups… Don’t look now but Markus Wheaton and Martavis Bryant have almost the same number of targets and fantasy points over the last two games. While I still side with Bryant in the talent department the fact is Wheaton has the trust of his QB right now and is $1200 cheaper than Bryant. Both men will have good matchups and are fine tournament targets but Wheaton’s expanded role of late makes him the better value pick this week.

The Browns are incredibly thin at WR right now and might be without Travis Benjamin in this game too. That being said I want no part of any Cleveland WR in this game even though the matchup is better than average. Cleveland WRs only caught 6 balls last week and without Manziel probably won’t fair much better in this game… TE Gary Barnidge is in a decent spot here and has had some past success with Davis going for 5-59 the last time he started. I’m not huge on rostering Browns this week without Manziel playing but Barnidge could legitimately see 12+ targets as the only viable passing target. AT $4700 he’s a sheer volume play but will up against a weak secondary who hasn’t covered good passing catching TEs well at all.

Gameflow: I expect Pittsburgh will be good and mad in this game after blowing it last week versus the Ravens. The Steelers can still get in with a win though and I doubt motivation will be hard to come by for them. Cleveland’s actually been fairly solid lately but now is forced to start their third string QB which is probably the death blow and might make this game more one-sided than it was going to be.

Steelers 31 Browns 14

Primary Targets:

Antonio Brown $9300
Ben Roethlisberger $6900
Gary Barnidge $4700

Secondary Targets:

DeAngelo Williams $7100
Markus Wheaton $4000


Titans @ Colts

Point Total: NA
Spread: NA


DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Titans 28th 22nd 4th 22nd 26.2
Colts 25th 39th 21st 20th 25.6

The Colts still have some kind of crazy odds of making the playoffs but need a win and a Texans loss and about 5 other things to go their way. The Titans were done in November.

QB/D

The Colts are either going to start Ryan Lindley or Josh Freeman at QB this week, and no matter who it is it will be a disaster. Injuries have forced their hand but the Titans Defense is definitely in play for me this week at only $2500. If Freeman starts I might consider them a must play.

Marcus Mariota returned to practice this week but I’d be shocked if the Titans let him play in a meaningless game. This means Zach Mettenberger will likely get the start against a Colts defense who has been mediocre/terrible most of the year but really rose up last week and gave the Dolphins all kinds of trouble. The bottom line is that Mettenberger has put up an average of 13 fantasy points through two starts and the Titans have one of the slowest paces of play n the NFL. This game projects to be ugly and I don’t want any part of either sides QB in this game.

RB

Frank Gore had a nice week 16 against a terrible Miami run defense but gets a stiffer test this week against a Titans run D who has only allowed one rushing TD in its last 6 games. I wouldn’t completely write off Gore though who is only 4k in price and could get a big workload given who is going to be at QB for the Colts this game. The Colts have so few options this week that I think seeing Gore get an uptick in targets and carries makes sense and that makes him a decent value play despite the tougher matchup.

There’s no sense in discussing the Titans RB position. The Titans have declared that they’d like to get Bishop Sankey more work but last week had David Cobb and Antonio Andrews in the mix as well. None of these three are what I’d call high upside options and there’s better min priced punts out there for week 17 in my view.

WR/TE

Here’s the passing targets from the Titans last two weeks of play:


Player Week 15 Week 16
Dorial Green Beckham 9 4
Delanie Walker 4 15
Harry Douglas 2 12

The Colts have a pretty awful secondary and have allowed four 100 yard receivers against them in their last four games. Right off the bat you have to think this is a great spot for Delanie Walker. The Colts have not been great at covering the TE and with Walker working mainly out of the slot he is likely to give Indy all kinds of trouble. While I expect Walker to see a few less targets this week than last he might be more efficient then he was against Houston and will have an excellent shot at finding the end zone. He’s priced well under other elite options at TE and is a great play in this game for fantasy… At WR Harry Douglas and Dorial Green Beckham have flip-flopped decent games and both could be in play this weekend. The Colts best corner looks set to go up against Green Beckham which makes Douglas a little more intriguing in my mind. Both could be considered good value options in tournaments though.

As for Indy I am not sure if there’s a less attractive group of pass catches for fantasy this week. The fact they’ll have a QB from off the street throwing them the ball and the fact the Colts as a team have only one passing TD in their last three games makes all the Colts WR and TEs off limits and bad investments for fantasy purposes.

Gameflow: This should be the ugliest game of the week, although STL-SF might have something to say about that. The Titans as a team have been horrible at winning games all season and the Colts actually have something to play for in this game. That being said I can’t look past who is starting at QB for the Colts (Lindley or Freeman) and I’ll take TENN to put an end to Indy’s completely forgettable 2015.

Titans 16 Colts 13

Primary Targets:

Delanie Walker $5600

Secondary Targets:

Frank Gore $4000
Harry Douglas $3800
Titans D $2500


Redskins @ Cowboys

Point Total: 39.5
Spread: Cowboys -3.5


DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Redskins 19th 24th 20th 14th 23.7
Cowboys 4th 6th 28th 2nd 22.7

Another game that has zero meaning as the Redskins have clinched the division title and have no shot at a bye and the Cowboys are playing for nothing.

QB/D

The Redskins will be resting any ailing starters in this game on offense and defense. As much as I like the matchup for the Skins defense versus Kellen Moore the fact their squad might not be at 100% and aren’t playing for anything worries me. Conversely, even if QB Kirk Cousins starts for the Redskins it’s highly unlikely he plays 100% of this game. I’d recommend avoiding Cousins and might even consider the Cowboys defense as a play if Cousins sits. They’ve held opponents to under 20 points in three of their last four games and would be at home against an unmotivated, and likely undermanned Washington offense.

RB

With Matt Jones ailing Pierre Thomas played on 32 snaps last week and looked great doing so. Thomas caught 7 passes for 67 yards and had fresh legs which is a big thing for RBs at this time of year. Its likely Jones will sit again in this game given it’s lack of meaning and I would not be shocked to see Thomas play a ton of snaps again this week. Depending on how things break down from a personnel standpoint for Washington this week Thomas could be a steal at only $3400 and would be great in DraftKings ppr scoring setup.

Dallas continues to give Darren McFadden the bulk of the workload, and even though his ppr stats haven’t been great lately he’s reeled off over 300 yards rushing in his last three games. I again come back to a lack of motivation for the Redskins and how the defense might be effected if some of the starters are rested. The Skins have really struggled against the run at times this season and given up 5 rushing TDs to RBs in their last 4 games. I really like McFadden this week at only $4900 and think he could really benefit from the meaninglessness of this game for Washington.

WR/TE

With the Skins likely resting some starters I won’t give you their past targets but try and instead update you on who might be a viable play for this game. I expect both Jordan Reed and Desean Jackson to play little in this game and possibly not at all. Reed is too valuable to risk and Jackson is nursing a bit of an injury. I’d avoid both… Pierre Garcon might get extra snaps and targets as a result. Garcon has been a disappointment most of the season but he’s still extremely talented and capable of capitalizing on an increased opportunity if it came his way. Watch the news to see if Jackson and Reed are deactivated this Sunday and consider him if so… Lastly I fully expect Jamison Crowder to play a lot this week. Crowder’s had a nice season as the third or fourth passing target and should see a ton of snaps this week as the Skins rest more important players. While he’s struggled for targets recently he might be the only viable receiver who plays the second half for the Skins this week and at $3500 would be great value if he is.

Dez Bryant is out this week and that leaves Brice Butler and Terrence Williams as the two main outside WRs. Both of these players saw 8+ targets last week and could once again be targeted heavily in this game. Of the two I like the talent on Butler more who is really playing for a job next year in this game and made some great catches last week. He’s big and extremely athletic so could be capable of a surprise big game here against a very gettable (and unmotivated) Washington secondary. Butler’s an interesting min-priced play in tournaments for me week 17.

Gameflow: Who knows how this game will go. The Redskins have said they’ll play to win but they would be stupid to play any of their starters for more than a quarter. I’d suggest things stay close for a half and then Dallas gets a little edge in the second once Washington’s impact players all head to the bench. I’ll take the Cowboys in what will probably feel to most like a preseason game.

Cowboys 20 Redskins 14

Primary Targets:

Darren McFadden $4900
Jamison Crowder $3500
Pierre Thomas $3400
Brice Butler $3000

Secondary Targets:

Dallas D $2100
Pierre Garcon $4200 (if no Reed and Jackson)


Raiders @ Chiefs

Point Total: 43.5
Spread: Chiefs -7


DvP Ranks vs QB vs RB vs WR vs TE PPGA
Raiders 22nd 14th 22nd 30th 25.1
Chiefs 9th 27th 3rd 1st 18

The Chiefs can still catch the Broncos for the division title and would need a win here and a Denver loss. The Raiders are only playing for pride but against a division rival shouldn’t be lacking for motivation.

QB/D

Raiders QB Derek Carr put together a nice fantasy run mid-season but has now failed to crack 300 yard passing mark in each of his last 4 games. Carr has also turned the ball over more in that span too throwing 6 INTs versus just 7 TDs in his last 4 games. The Chiefs defense has been very opportunistic lately recording 7 INTs in their last 5 games and will be at home in front of a ruckus crowd, they’re a great this week, although you might have trouble fitting them in at their expensive price of $4000.

I’ll take a pass on Alex Smith and his consistent play this week for fantasy purposes. The Raiders defense has been trending well lately and has allowed 1 passing TD or less in 5 of its last 7 games. Ultimately this game looks like it could be a close, low scoring affair and I don’t see a breakout from the usually conservative Chiefs QB here.

RB

Latavius Murray had a fine week 16 but runs into a bit of a brick wall here in the Chiefs week 17. The Chiefs have allowed the third fewest fantasy points to RBs on the season, although they may be without two of their best front 7 players this week in Tamba Hali and Justin Houston. Murray played on 81% of the snaps week 16 and was more of a force in the passing game last week as well, taking in 5 balls. While he did have success versus the Chiefs the last time these two teams played I just don’t see huge upside for Murray against a defense that typically forces teams away from the run game. I’ll take a pass most likely on Murray in week 17.

The snaps last week at RB for KC were as follows: Charcandrick West 48, Spencer Ware 6. For the amount of volume West got in week 16 he really did have a pretty disappointing week. West was on the field a ton but hardly got a sniff in the pass game which is very troubling considering the Chiefs typically use the RB a ton passing wise. In a game where the Chiefs could be running a ton late West has value but he’s certainly no lock for a big game and more of a pure matchup play for me this week than anything else. Consider him for tournaments but look for backs with higher ppr upside if possible.

WR/TE

Here’s the passing targets for the Raiders last two weeks of play:


Player Week 15 Week 16
Michael Crabtree 11 8
Amari Cooper 10 3
Seth Roberts 1 6

Amari Coper could be the X-factor in this game for the Raiders. Cooper has been bottled up at times by elite CBs this year (see last week versus Jason Verrett) but gets a slightly more giving KC secondary this week. Cooper will likely matchup with CB Sean Smith this week who’s improved his play as the year has gone on but still susceptible to getting burned for a big game—like he did in week 12 by Sammy Watkins. Cooper’s a risky tournament play for week 17 but has bigger upside than many at his position… Michael Crabtree keeps getting the most targets from this Raiders receiving group every week but hasn’t put up those monster games like we saw him do at the start of the season in quite some time. He should get 8+ targets again in this game but is hard to trust at his inflated price of $5900, I’ll be looking elsewhere this week for help at WR.

The Chiefs Jeremy Maclin has now scored 5 TDs in his last 5 games and seen his usage increase ever since Jamaal Charles went down. Maclin will likely matchup with the solid David Amerson in this game but considering he burned this same Raiders group for one of his biggest games of the year in week 13 (95 yards 2 TDs) I’m not sure it matters. Maclin’s price increase is slightly worrisome but his recent play makes him a fine target for cash games and tournaments alike… TE Travis Kelce found the end zone in week 16 for the first time in four weeks. He’ll matchup with an Oakland defense this week who has allowed the second most TDs to the position thus far in 2015. At $4700 it’s possible the Chiefs turn to him on more quick screens to counter the Raiders improved pass rush. He’s good value at TE week 17.

Gameflow: This should be a close game. The Raiders have played solid teams like the Chiefs tough all year and already have a win over the Broncos in Denver on their resume. The Chiefs are obviously rolling and while I’d like to pick the Raiders here I think only a huge let down by the Chiefs at this point stops them from winning this game. It’s possible that happens but I’ll still side with the home team here and the more solid QB.

Chiefs 23 Raiders 21

Primary Targets:

Travis Kelce $4700

Secondary Targets:

Amari Cooper $6000
Charcandrick West $5700
Chiefs D $4000
Jeremy Maclin $6400


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